Productive-Mailman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$38

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,831

lifetime

Volume

$324.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$822

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-02 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$1

Crypto

39% 100% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-450	$-441	98¢	$-440	+$0	06-02 13:41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No		-400	$-344	96¢	$-382	$-38	06-02 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	36	$7.0K	4,410	2,666	+1,744	open	—	02-02 16:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 20	34	$4.7K	2,866	1,820	+1,046	open	—	01-20 17:47
bitcoin above 92k on january 2	9	$4.5K	2,237	2,237	+0	open	—	01-02 16:46
bitcoin above 98k on january 14	28	$4.4K	2,701	1,801	+900	open	—	01-14 18:30
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	31	$4.4K	3,259	1,139	+2,120	open	—	02-01 19:02
spx up or down on january 6 2026	11	$4.2K	2,982	1,190	+1,792	open	—	01-06 20:27
spx up or down on march 25 2026	53	$4.1K	2,424	1,706	+718	open	—	03-25 20:13
bitcoin above 90k on january 7	6	$4.0K	2,579	1,446	+1,133	open	—	01-07 16:51
spx up or down on march 24 2026	22	$4.0K	1,588	2,500	-912	open	—	03-24 19:57
bitcoin above 66k on february 16	13	$3.7K	2,000	1,700	+300	open	—	02-16 17:00
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	18	$3.7K	2,799	900	+1,899	open	—	01-27 17:19
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	8	$3.6K	2,530	1,100	+1,430	open	—	01-30 18:24
bitcoin above 94k on january 5	4	$3.4K	2,248	1,124	+1,124	open	—	01-05 16:59
bitcoin above 64k on february 12	6	$3.2K	2,579	660	+1,919	open	—	02-12 17:01
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	27	$3.2K	1,947	1,327	+620	open	—	01-29 16:57
djia up or down on march 4 2026	10	$3.2K	2,297	897	+1,400	open	—	03-04 23:56
hood up or down on march 6 2026	7	$3.1K	1,582	1,582	+0	open	—	03-06 20:52
spx up or down on february 9 2026	14	$3.1K	2,947	131	+2,816	open	—	02-09 20:51
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	16	$3.0K	1,517	1,517	-0	open	—	03-04 16:54
spx up or down on march 11 2026	14	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-11 20:24
aapl up or down on february 23 2026	56	$2.8K	1,506	1,317	+189	open	—	02-23 21:08
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	34	$2.8K	1,924	891	+1,033	open	—	02-24 15:08
spx up or down on march 30 2026	8	$2.6K	1,163	1,463	-300	open	—	03-30 20:26
spx up or down on february 20 2026	10	$2.6K	1,809	809	+1,000	open	—	02-20 20:40
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	10	$2.5K	1,231	1,307	-76	open	—	02-09 16:43
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	12	$2.5K	1,517	1,000	+517	open	—	01-29 16:47
spx up or down on january 14 2026	6	$2.4K	1,775	675	+1,100	open	—	01-14 20:45
bitcoin above 92k on january 8	13	$2.4K	1,406	1,029	+377	open	—	01-08 16:50
crint aus ind 2026 02 28	16	$2.4K	1,269	1,168	+101	open	—	03-01 09:23
bitcoin above 96k on january 15	19	$2.4K	2,070	300	+1,770	open	—	01-15 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:41:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	450	98¢	$441	0x21a51e…
06-02 13:40:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	SELL	400	86¢	$344	0x9d8d70…
05-28 18:09:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6cb1d9…
05-28 18:09:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x617849…
05-27 15:16:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xc7c28e…
05-25 09:48:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf59964…
05-24 15:59:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x019c88…
05-24 15:59:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x26635a…
05-24 15:56:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe27c71…
05-24 15:28:39	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1b4b16…
05-24 10:41:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x222108…
05-24 09:23:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xffe793…
05-21 19:57:06	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0bba12…
05-21 19:51:29	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d38e8…
05-21 19:50:24	nflx up or down on may 21 2026	Up	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xef4e18…
05-18 20:07:47	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x0ae920…
05-18 19:58:47	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x7b1f2b…
05-18 19:55:53	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5fee5…
05-18 19:55:06	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xcdd61c…
05-18 19:55:06	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e08e6…
05-18 19:54:17	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0x391a99…
05-18 19:53:42	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a126e…
05-18 19:51:52	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d9ae6…
05-17 16:18:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x2a6bd1…
05-17 10:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$119	0x0fb122…
05-17 10:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43f84c…
05-17 10:29:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x693449…
05-17 09:47:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xbf6051…
05-17 09:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x83e63b…
05-17 08:20:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$58	0xa97374…
05-16 16:00:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4e974b…
05-16 15:45:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xd8eb52…
05-14 23:35:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3bd00a…
05-14 19:59:23	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x793155…
05-14 19:56:52	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5cedda…
05-14 19:56:00	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb60bb…
05-14 19:55:14	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6762da…
05-14 19:49:38	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d3704…
05-14 19:49:28	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc606f9…
05-14 17:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x642d35…
05-14 16:24:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x10915d…
05-14 16:24:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01ef7f…
05-14 16:20:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	334	100¢	$334	0x623d97…
05-10 18:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xa36d1b…
05-10 16:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x20f05b…
05-10 15:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc0812a…
05-10 15:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x1c79d4…
05-10 15:56:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x796d37…
05-10 15:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba4cb3…
05-10 15:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x73364e…
05-10 15:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x19d973…
05-09 13:15:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb2f3d0…
05-08 21:35:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0x9b1a78…
05-08 21:22:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xddabad…
05-08 21:19:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x48951e…
05-08 21:19:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x4adf2f…
05-08 21:19:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xffeab4…
05-08 15:01:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4f0afe…
05-08 14:37:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0xa7cd3e…
05-06 20:29:22	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8d23d9…
05-06 20:25:17	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x0a4316…
05-06 20:16:40	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb8271…
05-06 20:09:21	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaa1d3…
05-06 20:03:31	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x90c540…
05-06 19:53:45	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x258e26…
05-06 19:53:38	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafb88b…
05-06 19:53:26	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x338a82…
05-06 19:53:19	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x7540df…
05-05 20:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46c2eb…
05-05 19:54:30	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc09295…
05-05 19:53:50	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb2bca8…
05-05 19:53:26	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6ade60…
05-04 22:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3fcdb1…
05-04 19:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x1e7463…
05-03 18:33:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x57a8e9…
05-03 15:31:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x93ae87…
05-03 00:22:38	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0b0168…
05-02 17:38:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5591b7…
04-30 22:49:20	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfb9319…
04-30 18:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x78dfb1…
04-30 17:03:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x867b68…
04-30 13:23:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x880711…
04-30 11:46:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcc6393…
04-29 20:00:46	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x25ce65…
04-29 19:58:16	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd8bfa0…
04-29 19:57:44	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x56a5cc…
04-29 19:54:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2a3615…
04-29 17:26:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x06931f…
04-28 17:39:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xad37fc…
04-28 02:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc25048…
04-28 01:48:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x5e3f85…
04-27 23:04:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x645985…
04-27 21:35:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa2d236…
04-27 20:33:46	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x841541…
04-27 20:06:06	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4a46e7…
04-27 20:01:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a31a9…
04-27 20:01:22	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xeec868…
04-27 20:01:20	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37c31d…
04-27 20:00:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xc0547a…
04-27 20:00:14	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x570491…