Silky-Thrush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

6,010

Trades

35,676

lifetime

Volume

$108.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 09-16 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$2,135

Other

0% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 10:45 UTC	36	$404	436	396	+40	Up	+$223	04-01 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 22:45 UTC	71	$381	431	392	+38	Down	+$38	03-27 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 19:15 UTC	129	$313	335	295	+40	Down	+$28	03-20 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 18:00 UTC	105	$298	333	286	+47	Down	+$11	03-20 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:00 UTC	105	$270	290	262	+28	Up	+$33	03-21 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC	99	$256	265	235	+30	Up	+$15	03-20 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 17:15 UTC	72	$230	250	220	+30	Down	+$11	03-20 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 11:00 UTC	19	$173	196	161	+35	Up	+$88	03-28 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 15:45 UTC	48	$168	180	157	+23	Down	+$11	03-20 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 16:15 UTC	59	$166	215	135	+80	Up	-$5	03-20 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:45 UTC	51	$153	209	95	+114	Up	-$15	03-28 12:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 00:45 UTC	63	$146	160	138	+21	Down	+$31	03-20 01:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 22:30 UTC	49	$145	146	135	+11	Up	+$36	03-23 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	33	$133	166	99	+67	Up	-$6	03-26 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 18:30 UTC	46	$130	321	15	+306	Down	-$108	04-06 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 08:00 UTC	51	$129	145	110	+35	Up	+$6	03-22 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:30 UTC	49	$128	142	115	+27	Up	+$9	03-23 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 15:15 UTC	31	$127	904	0	+904	Down	-$117	04-02 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC	51	$126	140	111	+28	Up	+$2	03-20 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:45 UTC	37	$120	359	10	+349	Up	-$98	04-02 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 06:00 UTC	61	$120	225	80	+145	Down	-$3	03-22 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 18:30 UTC	43	$117	129	99	+30	Up	+$3	03-20 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 11:30 UTC	47	$115	130	105	+25	Down	-$2	03-20 11:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 21:00 UTC	40	$115	214	51	+164	Down	+$1	03-29 21:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC	45	$114	130	99	+31	Down	-$5	03-21 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:30 UTC	49	$112	145	95	+50	Down	+$16	03-21 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 03:00 UTC	46	$111	125	94	+31	Down	+$5	03-21 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 17:00 UTC	33	$108	125	94	+31	Down	+$6	03-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 22:30 UTC	39	$107	118	90	+28	Up	+$10	03-20 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 21:30 UTC	45	$105	122	94	+28	Down	+$11	03-21 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 03:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x083031…
09-16 02:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x87b4d6…
09-16 01:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x6582db…
09-16 00:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xdaa45d…
09-16 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa0b44c…
09-15 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x6358cc…
09-15 13:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x741003…
09-15 11:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x94951a…
09-15 09:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x63d273…
09-15 09:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf4cd52…
09-15 08:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xd447fc…
09-15 07:21:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd2576e…
09-15 05:52:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x61c880…
09-15 04:05:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa48128…
09-15 03:22:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xe43878…
09-15 01:39:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x83c493…
09-14 21:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd956b6…
09-14 19:23:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xe57ac6…
09-14 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5f3391…
09-14 14:50:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x54463a…
09-14 14:14:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xfb54c7…
09-14 12:22:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x2493af…
09-14 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x85509c…
09-14 06:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xcfa9c9…
09-14 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x45e8d0…
09-14 00:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x00e0ed…
09-13 21:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4cea63…
09-13 19:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xda3fc8…
09-13 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8e212d…
09-13 09:54:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa26cf0…
09-13 07:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3e5ff9…
09-13 05:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xe06bc6…
09-13 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x35fcca…
09-13 05:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xda996d…
09-13 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x4dbb60…
09-13 00:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc07da8…
09-12 23:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x69409a…
09-12 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9e58ff…
09-12 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xb2f455…
09-12 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x6eb768…
09-12 20:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfb0bbd…
09-12 19:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x50d809…
09-12 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x1a0213…
09-12 14:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3e3fa7…
09-12 11:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xefacdb…
09-12 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd83adb…
09-12 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x3a5807…
09-12 06:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x423317…
09-12 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xd74491…
09-11 19:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x93be3e…
09-11 19:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xe5b6bd…
09-11 15:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5f1dc7…
09-11 11:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xfcbdb9…
09-11 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa622a9…
09-11 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x2ea304…
09-11 06:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x62b559…
09-11 04:26:13	bitcoin up or down september 11 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7ef628…
09-11 00:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9db3b6…
09-10 22:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8056d3…
09-10 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd5e3ed…
09-10 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x40ca74…
09-10 11:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x0c6290…
09-10 08:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfa8e5c…
09-10 08:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x77849f…
09-10 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x06e389…
09-10 04:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb8dd4c…
09-10 03:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd15b65…
09-10 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb4cc23…
09-09 23:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xe97c77…
09-09 23:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x762abf…
09-09 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8c4a96…
09-09 23:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc66a3b…
09-09 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x649ccd…
09-09 17:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x8e8737…
09-09 15:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x8aff8a…
09-09 12:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x1949fe…
09-09 10:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe716dc…
09-09 10:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xd7cb0d…
09-09 08:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x7d0c1d…
09-09 08:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xfdb998…
09-09 06:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf62d90…
09-09 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd8a2a1…
09-09 04:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3af5da…
09-09 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1373a4…
09-09 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xca98e3…
09-09 00:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xafdab2…
09-08 22:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x30dedf…
09-08 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xcbddc1…
09-08 18:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd1be5a…
09-08 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x34cae5…
09-08 17:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x98be19…
09-08 17:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x08b5b1…
09-08 16:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x43b8f5…
09-08 15:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xba9251…
09-08 14:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x98f48f…
09-08 14:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5743cb…
09-08 14:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x26e84f…
09-08 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x7102bc…
09-08 12:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xaa2f20…
09-08 10:20:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-08 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x1f013a…