Definitive-Consideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$764

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

3,878

Trades

11,810

lifetime

Volume

$63.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-02 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Sports

78% 75% -$606

Crypto

22% 66% -$157

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 458 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	36	$1.2K	1,366	926	+441	Milwaukee Brewers	-$146	05-10 02:23
mlb hou sd 2026 08 07	37	$507	617	0	+617	Houston Astros	+$92	08-08 02:43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	9	$435	452	12	+440	Philadelphia Phillies	+$6	04-26 03:01
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	11	$257	133	133	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$3	05-05 02:33
mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	20	$249	459	36	+423	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$45	07-19 23:35
mlb ari wsh 2026 07 25	54	$245	503	0	+503	Washington Nationals	-$14	07-25 22:38
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	6	$226	117	117	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$2	05-10 02:50
mlb cws tor 2026 07 17	12	$192	639	0	+639	Chicago White Sox	-$5	07-18 01:29
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	22	$188	140	90	+51	Colorado Rockies	+$17	05-09 02:01
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	23	$186	115	97	+19	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$4	05-07 22:04
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	21	$185	108	108	+0	Chicago Cubs	-$3	05-09 01:31
mlb det chc 2026 07 20	25	$181	336	0	+336	Detroit Tigers	-$2	07-21 04:07
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	18	$165	102	102	+0	Kansas City Royals	-$1	05-09 01:42
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	23	$150	90	82	+7	Tampa Bay Rays	-$1	05-08 01:46
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	16	$145	80	80	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$1	05-07 20:50
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	16	$143	94	94	+0	Washington Nationals	-$1	05-09 01:34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	19	$143	91	91	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	-$1	05-08 04:25
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	16	$141	87	87	+0	Athletics	-$3	05-09 01:30
mlb atl bal 2026 07 24	15	$138	374	0	+374	Atlanta Braves	-$3	07-25 02:20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	21	$124	70	70	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	05-01 01:51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals	28	$124	239	0	+239	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$15	09-09 03:01
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$120	129	0	+129	Colorado Rockies	+$9	04-23 03:11
mlb laa min 2026 07 10	15	$120	241	0	+241	Los Angeles Angels	-$2	07-11 02:47
mlb min chc 2026 07 17	16	$118	238	0	+238	Minnesota Twins	+$6	07-18 02:10
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	12	$115	72	53	+20	New York Mets	+$3	05-07 04:17
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	17	$113	78	78	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$1	04-29 22:28
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	13	$111	74	74	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1	05-07 03:54
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	12	$110	60	60	+0	Boston Red Sox	$0	05-07 01:20
mlb min nyy 2026 07 04	15	$108	255	0	+255	Minnesota Twins	+$6	07-04 20:33
mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	12	$104	117	22	+94	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$74	07-11 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x346bd8…
11-02 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5888a6…
11-02 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xb4d1ae…
11-02 21:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x9a1015…
11-02 21:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xff1758…
11-02 21:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe8f9fd…
11-02 21:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7ab24c…
11-02 21:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x606db2…
11-02 20:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xaf0771…
11-02 20:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x52b82f…
11-02 20:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8f260c…
11-02 20:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x6eac58…
11-02 20:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x1ab784…
11-02 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x85bf45…
11-02 19:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1dff79…
11-02 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe677c5…
11-02 19:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xed7e04…
11-02 19:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf46514…
11-02 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0694db…
11-02 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x198396…
11-02 18:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xafadd0…
11-02 18:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7e6ace…
11-02 18:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbd2c93…
11-02 17:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc12db4…
11-02 17:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x396eb9…
11-02 17:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xf53f19…
11-02 17:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x0e3492…
11-02 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1c4d52…
11-02 16:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x32c824…
11-02 16:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xf3acd4…
11-02 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8e3654…
11-02 16:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x0097ba…
11-02 16:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x17f2d5…
11-02 16:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x75a988…
11-02 16:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf039c7…
11-02 16:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x291630…
11-02 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x0807f9…
11-02 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xa7a4ae…
11-02 15:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x4a1474…
11-02 15:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb3253d…
11-02 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x119ef7…
11-02 15:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x408b0e…
11-02 15:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x89b47f…
11-02 15:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x372cde…
11-02 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf71942…
11-02 14:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa02527…
11-02 14:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xf6152e…
11-02 14:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x23d0af…
11-02 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xcb4ada…
11-02 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x116dad…
11-02 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xbf6581…
11-02 14:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x900b3c…
11-02 14:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xff761c…
11-02 14:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa9cc52…
11-02 14:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x9e725a…
11-02 13:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc3de37…
11-02 13:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x344f88…
11-02 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x68040d…
11-02 13:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xde3872…
11-02 13:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x96dbc9…
11-02 13:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5c334d…
11-02 13:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x315b98…
11-02 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x07add9…
11-02 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x470f3c…
11-02 12:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd2dea7…
11-02 12:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x98a424…
11-02 12:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xab1a99…
11-02 12:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x999f90…
11-02 12:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x7147bb…
11-02 12:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xc60c10…
11-02 12:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x1ad8a5…
11-02 11:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x5e1519…
11-02 11:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xa6c9c3…
11-02 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6adaab…
11-02 10:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xc1ef87…
11-02 10:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7062cb…
11-02 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x484d80…
11-02 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x83fbdf…
11-02 09:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa2f8e6…
11-02 08:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x09ac5d…
11-02 08:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf4fdbe…
11-02 07:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x81e862…
11-02 07:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x85e769…
11-02 07:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5247ea…
11-02 07:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf6ba0a…
11-02 06:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1e8318…
11-02 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xb163a9…
11-02 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x4e7207…
11-02 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x0326fd…
11-02 06:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xf8e8ef…
11-02 06:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x30b3e7…
11-02 06:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x0d1607…
11-02 06:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x27fc9b…
11-02 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc05e6a…
11-02 06:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc62e3e…
11-02 05:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xa9bc3d…
11-02 05:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x980cbe…
11-02 05:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x59151e…
11-02 05:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x29deab…
11-02 05:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xde4202…