Turbulent-Case — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$375

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

1,703

Trades

4,017

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-05 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$375

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:15 UTC	5	$58	120	+120	Up	+$22	06-05 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$55	120	+120	Down	-$55	05-25 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	8	$48	160	+160	Up	-$48	05-23 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:55 UTC	3	$46	120	+120	Up	-$46	06-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$45	120	+120	Down	+$75	05-27 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:45 UTC	6	$44	80	+80	Down	-$4	06-05 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:05 UTC	2	$43	80	+80	Up	-$3	06-25 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$43	120	+120	Down	-$43	05-25 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$43	120	+120	Down	+$77	05-25 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 02:15 UTC	2	$43	80	+80	Down	-$3	06-26 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:15 UTC	3	$42	80	+80	Up	-$2	07-01 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:45 UTC	9	$40	80	+80	Up	$0	06-04 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$40	100	+100	Up	-$40	05-26 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:10 UTC	2	$39	80	+80	Down	+$1	07-06 21:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:30 UTC	6	$39	80	+80	Up	+$1	06-04 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 23:00 UTC	2	$39	80	+80	Up	-$39	06-05 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$39	80	+80	Up	+$1	05-29 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$39	120	+120	Up	+$81	05-30 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$38	80	+80	Up	+$2	06-29 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	7	$38	77	+77	Down	-$1	06-29 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 12:15 UTC	2	$38	80	+80	Up	+$2	06-29 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$38	80	+80	Up	+$42	05-25 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:50 UTC	4	$37	80	+80	Up	-$37	06-07 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$37	80	+80	Up	-$37	05-23 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	16	$37	118	+118	Down	-$37	05-30 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$36	80	+80	Down	-$36	05-29 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$36	80	+80	Down	-$36	05-30 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$35	120	+120	Down	-$35	05-25 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$34	80	+80	Down	+$46	06-04 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	2	$34	80	+80	Down	+$6	06-05 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x575b9f…
11-05 23:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7ac0f9…
11-05 23:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x6f1914…
11-05 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa64e73…
11-05 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3230e2…
11-05 21:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x8dc416…
11-05 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x40749c…
11-05 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x3639e5…
11-05 17:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbf8807…
11-05 17:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6735d7…
11-05 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcfa54e…
11-05 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4dc6fe…
11-05 17:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x717dd3…
11-05 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x8018c4…
11-05 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x237d94…
11-05 16:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xf116dc…
11-05 16:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xed4b98…
11-05 16:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e45cb…
11-05 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfae630…
11-05 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa9b82a…
11-05 16:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd0271b…
11-05 16:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe336fa…
11-05 15:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0dd5ce…
11-05 14:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xbe9242…
11-05 14:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5b37ec…
11-05 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf8160f…
11-05 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x10d774…
10-30 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5348ff…
10-30 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcb1b15…
10-30 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xabee05…
10-30 17:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xcd2934…
10-30 17:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x55a491…
10-30 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc57a5e…
10-30 15:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc93f88…
10-30 15:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x36e4bb…
10-30 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xce5b5b…
10-30 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x99d97d…
10-30 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xa7eec1…
10-30 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x82971e…
10-30 14:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfc69f1…
10-30 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x4c230e…
10-30 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1b47fc…
10-30 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x020b29…
10-30 13:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8753ef…
10-30 13:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4133e3…
10-30 12:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5668b…
10-30 12:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc838d8…
10-30 11:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x7c590b…
10-30 11:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x2aee4c…
10-30 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0be789…
10-30 09:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2c3ac8…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x3e6514…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x176f94…
10-30 07:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaef458…
10-30 05:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfd246e…
10-30 04:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x2f5b54…
10-30 04:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x16ece3…
10-30 04:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7dc9dc…
10-30 03:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb1a59a…
10-30 01:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6ef77b…
10-30 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf8d47…
10-30 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x752d8f…
10-30 00:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf6d6e7…
10-30 00:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x835a11…
10-30 00:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x644405…
10-30 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x33768f…
10-29 22:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdc16ff…
10-29 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9304fa…
10-29 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xb54483…
10-29 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x5be05b…
10-29 22:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeb45fb…
10-29 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb2066a…
10-29 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8538b5…
10-29 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xad016b…
10-29 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0a9011…
10-29 21:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa12a6b…
10-29 20:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3b19e…
10-29 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5aa9af…
10-29 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfcf6fd…
10-29 17:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd3be62…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xbabce6…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x0b3418…
10-29 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2b9018…
10-29 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1a6832…
10-29 14:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x535498…
10-29 14:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5ff4e5…
10-29 14:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xfa0b63…
10-29 14:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x241f7c…
10-29 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd8724f…
10-29 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9ae0e6…
10-29 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x11b5b7…
10-29 09:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18087f…
10-29 02:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd76ecd…
10-28 18:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0c889d…
10-28 18:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6f2535…
10-28 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x3d1fde…
10-28 12:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xce42e1…
10-28 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x58cd90…
10-28 01:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x62a7f5…
10-27 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7f27fd…