Palatable-Pattern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-20 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-2

Tech

15% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$4

Crypto

4% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No		-7	$-6	81¢	$-6	$-0	07-20 06:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes		-7	$-1	20¢	$-1	$-0	07-20 06:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 21:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	07-20 06:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	05-08 18:33
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-11 19:10
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	07-20 06:13
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in May?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	$-2	05-08 19:51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 08:04
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	1	$2	23	0	+23	open	—	05-19 21:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	1	$1	0	7	-7	open	—	07-20 06:13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 04:28
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 00:35
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	07-20 06:13
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 01:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-18 00:40
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-07 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 06:13:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xcd3b34…
07-20 06:13:48	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x964bf2…
07-20 06:13:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x477351…
07-20 06:13:30	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xe46550…
05-21 01:32:36	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7200d0…
05-19 21:11:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x4d6f08…
05-19 21:11:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x1675e4…
05-18 00:40:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0000e8…
05-18 00:35:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdc2078…
05-15 08:04:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x3866ca…
05-15 04:28:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8dffc9…
05-11 19:10:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x4c1b07…
05-08 19:51:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in May?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x677438…
05-08 18:33:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xbca709…
05-07 10:19:49	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x37d6d1…
05-07 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7816fe…