Eminent-Shape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

340

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 11-01 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

97% 57% -$190

Crypto

3% 61% -$19

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$1	08-03 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$1	08-02 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?	2	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	08-01 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 30?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	07-30 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	07-31 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	07-29 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 28?	2	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$1	07-28 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$1	07-27 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	2	$73	38	38	+0	Yes	+$2	07-26 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$1	07-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?	2	$68	35	35	+0	No	+$2	07-25 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	2	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	07-21 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	07-23 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	07-21 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 18?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-18 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 19?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	07-19 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	-$1	07-18 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$1	07-20 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	52	$51	995	0	+995	No	-$51	06-12 01:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	51	$51	2,981	0	+2,981	No	-$51	06-12 00:05
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	48	$48	8,444	0	+8,444	No	-$48	06-12 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?	2	$46	45	45	+0	Yes	-$42	08-04 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	11	$34	170	170	+0	No	+$32	10-13 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	8	$27	39	39	+0	No	-$1	06-30 10:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	19	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	-$16	07-03 10:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$2	07-02 14:59
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$25	100	100	+0	No	-$13	06-14 00:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	7	$24	16	16	+0	No	-$2	07-01 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	12	$23	22	11	+10	No	+$1	06-30 01:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	07-02 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc85fba…
10-31 13:53:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95c650…
10-31 04:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaa2c6c…
10-30 11:37:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xea3a78…
10-29 11:42:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3e41de…
10-28 00:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xb3ec58…
10-27 20:30:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x014df3…
10-27 08:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x9f31f8…
10-27 08:15:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x909d78…
10-27 08:15:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xda8d88…
10-27 06:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x81f0ec…
10-27 06:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x3decae…
10-25 06:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xf44d6d…
10-25 05:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x8d84f0…
10-25 05:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x59bf6b…
10-25 04:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x34a24e…
10-25 04:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9eeba3…
10-25 04:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xae3452…
10-25 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x608143…
10-25 03:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0dbc01…
10-25 03:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa59af4…
10-25 03:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbcf246…
10-25 03:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5278c1…
10-25 02:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf718cc…
10-24 12:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8a1fcd…
10-24 06:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x919cfe…
10-23 05:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xb7c327…
10-23 05:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x63da84…
10-23 02:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xedcb0f…
10-23 02:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x88ff76…
10-23 02:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa391f4…
10-23 02:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	SELL	302	0¢	$1	0x47c246…
10-23 01:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x62ce81…
10-23 00:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb02fa4…
10-23 00:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x43dc49…
10-23 00:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x419ec4…
10-23 00:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd46989…
10-23 00:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9b5722…
10-23 00:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x96e4b5…
10-23 00:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x7b3d75…
10-23 00:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xdc8a1e…
10-22 23:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x778b37…
10-22 23:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x37cb55…
10-22 23:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x9cda45…
10-22 23:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0655a6…
10-22 23:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4c4231…
10-22 23:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x399e11…
10-22 23:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x9fa029…
10-22 23:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xeed52c…
10-22 23:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xce9d00…
10-22 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbe93ad…
10-22 00:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xed3f0b…
10-22 00:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe89193…
10-21 11:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x5bc9bd…
10-21 04:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd26c63…
10-21 02:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x7ee92e…
10-21 01:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x5b35d3…
10-21 00:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xca8d6e…
10-21 00:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x9b0988…
10-21 00:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xcfee4c…
10-21 00:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa62888…
10-21 00:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe1d5c1…
10-21 00:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa20088…
10-21 00:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x53fafb…
10-20 23:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x69b008…
10-20 16:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4cd11b…
10-20 10:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d957e…
10-20 08:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xfd77bd…
10-20 08:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x034de3…
10-20 06:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x84ddb0…
10-20 05:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8b5d5b…
10-20 05:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x6db018…
10-20 05:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x619f32…
10-20 05:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf9b5a7…
10-20 04:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc572b8…
10-20 04:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x34d3cd…
10-20 04:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf89521…
10-20 03:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xcd1741…
10-20 03:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x053358…
10-20 03:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xce91ce…
10-19 05:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xc65e11…
10-19 02:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xfb4c59…
10-19 01:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x645b98…
10-18 23:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x82738c…
10-18 00:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc707a6…
10-17 16:11:11	highest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f12fb…
10-17 16:09:00	highest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 29c	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb1eb79…
10-17 09:18:15	highest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x67f9c5…
10-16 01:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x37cfab…
10-16 00:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xce02a1…
10-16 00:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xeba237…
10-16 00:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcdc0f8…
10-16 00:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x73632e…
10-14 04:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x3a3a5c…
10-14 03:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xef55da…
10-13 05:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	135	19¢	$26	0x885e39…
10-13 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0x5d864f…
10-13 02:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdfc1d1…
10-13 02:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x26583b…
10-13 02:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd2bf35…