Positive-Velocity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$147.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$544

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-15 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% +$6

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Crypto

1% 67% $-71

Sports

1% 58% $-103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	10	$55.1K	34,583	34,583	+0	open	—	07-06 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$24.7K	10,045	18,905	-8,861	open	—	06-23 17:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	14	$16.7K	10,300	10,300	+0	open	—	07-11 22:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$15.5K	8,333	8,333	+0	open	—	05-21 17:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$15.0K	7,529	7,529	+0	open	—	04-30 14:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$8.2K	1,000	9,424	-8,424	open	—	06-02 05:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$2.4K	1,246	1,246	+0	open	—	06-09 06:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	2	$2.1K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	06-14 23:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$995	526	526	+0	open	—	06-02 02:20
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	3	$451	232	232	+0	open	—	06-21 18:01
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	3	$270	147	147	+0	open	—	07-15 20:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$251	135	135	+0	open	—	06-19 06:54
btc updown 5m 1781013600	2	$225	149	149	+0	open	—	06-09 14:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$208	113	113	+0	open	—	05-11 01:29
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	2	$208	111	111	+0	open	—	06-23 18:57
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	2	$164	85	85	+0	Spurs	+$4	05-13 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$162	99	99	+0	open	—	05-11 23:59
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$158	110	110	+0	open	—	07-06 02:16
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 13:57
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	2	$145	190	190	+0	Cavaliers	$-95	05-12 01:44
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	07-01 03:58
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	06-24 04:00
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-29 01:23
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	05-30 05:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	05-28 06:15
btc updown 5m 1783499400	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	07-08 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	05-14 18:10
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	06-21 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	5	$100	60	60	+0	Up	+$20	05-13 09:54
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$100	55	55	+0	Thunder	$-0	05-08 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:47:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	147	98¢	$145	0x94f466…
07-15 20:39:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x2f00d2…
07-15 16:32:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x0880b3…
07-12 03:01:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	66	74¢	$49	0x84f5ef…
07-12 00:35:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xddd753…
07-11 22:18:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4,595	81¢	$3,722	0x0a2503…
07-11 22:18:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	800	81¢	$648	0x793804…
07-11 22:17:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,500	81¢	$2,025	0xada5e4…
07-11 22:12:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,405	81¢	$1,948	0x72c5c8…
07-11 17:13:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x45b2b3…
07-10 19:38:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x5e1bd9…
07-10 19:38:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	475	81¢	$385	0x3bfa15…
07-10 19:38:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xdc7080…
07-10 19:38:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xb4cf0f…
07-10 19:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0xb8b6c7…
07-10 19:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xaf8e54…
07-10 19:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x79adf3…
07-10 19:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x659899…
07-10 19:38:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x59a1f6…
07-10 19:38:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9,585	81¢	$7,764	0x8197cd…
07-10 18:41:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb9cfb0…
07-09 17:24:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x67158e…
07-08 08:34:31	btc updown 5m 1783499400	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4bd8d8…
07-06 07:16:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	12,000	98¢	$11,796	0x98194e…
07-06 02:16:22	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	110	53¢	$58	0x2477eb…
07-06 01:40:22	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xce80a7…
07-05 17:21:55	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8b01ed…
07-04 16:50:13	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x309e36…
07-04 01:51:01	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xbd4c31…
07-02 16:23:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xe9189f…
07-02 02:04:08	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0xd2905c…
07-02 01:46:49	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x947c7c…
07-01 03:58:46	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xbc5ad5…
07-01 02:22:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xc2777c…
06-30 22:19:34	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x78ad15…
06-30 17:49:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x371810…
06-29 18:44:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x7d3f07…
06-29 07:23:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x66da33…
06-29 07:23:14	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x75744b…
06-28 20:27:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,822	84¢	$2,370	0x2f735d…
06-28 20:27:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xa4d290…
06-28 20:27:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9,161	84¢	$7,695	0xa8c080…
06-28 18:56:52	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1da641…
06-27 10:00:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13,499	73¢	$9,854	0x50063a…
06-25 23:49:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9,245	71¢	$6,600	0x69264b…
06-25 22:04:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9,085	75¢	$6,813	0xb029b3…
06-24 13:57:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x58dca1…
06-24 13:46:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	265	74¢	$196	0x78e01d…
06-24 13:43:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x21e9e3…
06-24 04:00:05	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x8c6ca5…
06-24 03:40:41	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x2c97a2…
06-23 18:57:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0xe9e250…
06-23 18:48:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x971420…
06-23 17:51:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	12,983	75¢	$9,700	0xf3f4e0…
06-23 17:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10,045	97¢	$9,696	0xacebf2…
06-23 00:18:07	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x95eb00…
06-21 18:01:49	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x598118…
06-21 17:53:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x841418…
06-21 17:38:20	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x47a6f2…
06-21 01:41:04	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x287310…
06-20 01:04:29	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x58964a…
06-19 06:54:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0xa476dc…
06-19 03:29:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0xfa86b1…
06-19 02:38:22	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9b7b60…
06-18 23:28:02	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xee1dd7…
06-18 11:13:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	27	64¢	$18	0x802ae2…
06-18 11:13:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x077e98…
06-18 09:42:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7f1e95…
06-14 23:17:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,365	73¢	$1,000	0xe55544…
06-14 23:17:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,102	96¢	$1,061	0x5ee546…
06-13 13:48:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7,534	81¢	$6,072	0x694837…
06-13 13:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,145	81¢	$928	0x315383…
06-12 09:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8,861	79¢	$7,000	0x525076…
06-09 14:03:15	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	SELL	149	84¢	$125	0x6d4e73…
06-09 14:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781013600	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc444b0…
06-09 06:56:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	1,102	91¢	$1,000	0x9ec18c…
06-09 06:56:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,246	99¢	$1,230	0xa2d871…
06-06 14:50:57	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfce795…
06-05 18:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xc3f661…
06-05 01:17:43	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x86782f…
06-04 05:18:46	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x012fab…
06-04 05:18:45	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6ccf27…
06-02 05:34:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	1,246	96¢	$1,200	0x787d93…
06-02 05:29:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$25	0xf45b26…
06-02 02:20:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0xa946e3…
06-02 02:20:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	526	94¢	$495	0xb4174d…
06-01 13:57:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xd8d4fa…
06-01 13:56:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	8,424	97¢	$8,129	0x13bbc5…
06-01 13:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xe747fb…
06-01 13:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0x2b29e1…
06-01 01:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x65d7e2…
05-31 12:11:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0a1b21…
05-31 12:02:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x0ede29…
05-30 05:02:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xce50ee…
05-29 21:21:50	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x05cae0…
05-29 01:23:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xf32526…
05-29 01:23:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$54	0x416b2f…
05-28 06:16:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9cffd7…
05-28 06:15:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x2780b3…
05-28 03:29:23	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf20373…