Half-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$431

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

10,830

Trades

22,699

lifetime

Volume

$267.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$437

Politics

0% 50% +$7

Other

0% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$534	425	367	+58	Up	+$156	09-10 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	12	$436	333	325	+9	Down	+$76	09-08 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$394	290	281	+9	Up	+$83	09-18 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	8	$391	350	350	+0	Down	+$43	09-20 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	14	$384	315	281	+34	Up	+$82	09-13 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$366	285	285	+0	Down	+$66	09-20 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:55 UTC	17	$365	329	269	+60	Down	+$79	08-17 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$356	245	245	+0	Up	+$96	09-13 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	12	$339	292	252	+40	Up	+$75	09-13 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:35 UTC	7	$337	286	269	+17	Down	+$35	09-19 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$335	307	267	+40	Up	+$53	09-13 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$334	256	256	+0	Up	+$84	09-12 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:40 UTC	11	$330	235	235	+0	Up	+$90	09-17 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:10 UTC	15	$329	264	256	+8	Down	+$29	04-05 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	7	$325	280	255	+25	Down	+$63	09-04 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$307	250	250	+0	Up	+$47	09-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	7	$302	341	241	+100	Down	+$60	09-20 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	9	$298	270	266	+5	Up	+$81	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 00:20 UTC	5	$297	388	252	+136	Up	-$5	09-17 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$294	235	235	+0	Up	+$54	09-13 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:40 UTC	3	$294	247	185	+62	Down	+$34	09-29 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:20 UTC	7	$290	289	272	+17	Down	+$47	09-16 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:20 UTC	14	$285	193	193	+0	Up	+$85	09-17 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$280	195	195	+0	Up	+$80	09-13 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC	7	$277	289	224	+65	Down	+$44	09-19 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$277	190	190	+0	Up	+$77	09-12 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:35 UTC	6	$275	247	234	+13	Down	+$29	07-31 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:30 UTC	9	$272	196	196	+0	Up	+$72	09-28 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:30 UTC	4	$272	230	184	+46	Up	+$83	09-17 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	15	$270	239	239	+0	Down	+$50	09-19 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdaba15…
10-29 17:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1f65bb…
10-29 17:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7bcd13…
10-29 17:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x324045…
10-29 17:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa185fa…
10-29 17:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2ae86…
10-29 15:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x71bb53…
10-29 15:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x16afc1…
10-29 15:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c3a26…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x762d42…
10-29 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xefe467…
10-29 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x07844e…
10-29 08:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd7b0da…
10-29 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xba93f5…
10-29 08:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xfbaf41…
10-29 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6cd609…
10-29 08:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x082977…
10-29 07:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf40cfd…
10-29 07:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf19026…
10-29 07:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x6e4edd…
10-29 07:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x2b2472…
10-29 07:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe77397…
10-29 07:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1b9e91…
10-29 07:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x4c2714…
10-29 07:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x305c2e…
10-29 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0ee981…
10-29 07:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x1e196b…
10-29 07:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x712387…
10-29 07:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x8b9e9e…
10-29 07:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x3be45d…
10-29 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe1d3c9…
10-29 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9eea85…
10-29 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x38dc61…
10-29 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x25e33d…
10-29 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x09f7dc…
10-29 07:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x6a2c47…
10-29 07:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x547685…
10-29 07:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x4a00f9…
10-29 07:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x3265c8…
10-29 07:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4f60bf…
10-29 07:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3751e6…
10-29 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1dfdf5…
10-29 07:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdcffd5…
10-29 07:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea536a…
10-29 07:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3f4df6…
10-29 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xf4c5c8…
10-29 07:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x8c8760…
10-29 07:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfc1fda…
10-29 07:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x861e19…
10-29 07:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b6b77…
10-29 07:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3dfaa0…
10-29 07:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x0e54b5…
10-29 07:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9261af…
10-29 07:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08f397…
10-29 06:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x158bb2…
10-29 06:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd63f42…
10-29 06:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf570ae…
10-29 06:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7fd0f9…
10-28 22:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xddfdfe…
10-28 21:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c5021…
10-28 20:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e8fc9…
10-28 20:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xba7fdc…
10-28 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdea10e…
10-28 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x87f29a…
10-28 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x631d56…
10-28 20:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x08aff7…
10-28 20:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xabea9b…
10-28 20:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xeec1c8…
10-28 20:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x5996d4…
10-28 20:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x82718f…
10-28 19:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x614461…
10-28 19:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3fd50a…
10-28 19:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x94a718…
10-28 19:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbb803c…
10-28 19:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x14c5f1…
10-28 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe30b4b…
10-28 19:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0e6f96…
10-28 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x9dbc17…
10-28 19:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd67187…
10-28 18:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x31515f…
10-28 18:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc0cb61…
10-28 18:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8bf9ab…
10-28 18:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x964042…
10-28 18:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x08087a…
10-28 18:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x585557…
10-28 18:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x51477b…
10-28 18:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xbe63ad…
10-28 18:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x809292…
10-28 18:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x3aae53…
10-28 18:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5ed94e…
10-28 18:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9fe9b1…
10-28 18:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x8fb387…
10-28 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x0d23c5…
10-28 18:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x601bc0…
10-28 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xef941a…
10-28 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x9e65ae…
10-28 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xadda0d…
10-28 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x6bfd36…
10-28 18:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x8fe678…
10-28 18:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xaeb991…