Waterlogged-Shame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

393

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$764

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-24 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

66% 14% -$62

Crypto

30% 20% -$27

Sports

3% 11% -$15

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	2	$51	108	103	+5	Yes	+$49	04-08 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	2	$25	89	89	+0	No	+$23	10-12 11:28
highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 21c	2	$23	25	24	+1	Yes	+$23	04-10 14:46
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	3	$18	16	15	+0	Yes	+$14	04-11 13:29
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	3	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$11	06-02 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	2	$13	59	59	+0	No	+$11	10-12 10:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$10	14	14	+0	Down	+$8	10-12 07:52
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	2	$10	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	10-13 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?	2	$9	17	17	+0	No	+$7	10-12 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC	4	$8	19	18	+1	Up	+$3	04-04 15:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$6	10-12 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$7	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	06-01 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:10 UTC	2	$7	25	14	+11	Up	+$1	04-07 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 13?	2	$6	132	99	+33	No	+$4	10-13 04:47
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	10-12 10:38
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	2	$6	8	8	+0	KT Rolster	+$4	10-12 07:46
dota2 ngx pi 2026 04 04	4	$6	13	13	+0	Pipsqueak+4	+$0	04-04 13:32
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 10:46
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 10am et	4	$5	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-04 15:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:15 UTC	2	$5	9	8	+1	Down	+$3	04-09 08:19
Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	3	$5	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	10-12 11:31
cs2 cyb ep 2026 04 07	2	$5	17	14	+2	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	+$3	04-07 15:57
lol mvk gam 2026 04 11	2	$5	8	8	+0	GAM Esports	+$2	04-11 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:15 UTC	1	$5	83	0	+83	Down	-$5	04-08 19:18
atp alcaraz vachero 2026 04 11	1	$5	56	0	+56	Carlos Alcaraz	-$5	04-11 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:20 UTC	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	04-08 19:20
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	2	$5	4	4	+0	Pipsqueak+4	+$3	06-02 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:40 UTC	2	$4	9	8	+0	Down	+$0	04-04 15:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$4	77	77	+0	No	+$0	05-04 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x13f96a…
10-24 10:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0x96d3be…
10-24 10:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0xcb02b0…
10-24 10:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	214	0¢	$1	0xae582d…
10-24 10:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa81a32…
10-24 10:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb14a84…
10-24 10:43:38	Will KS Cracovia Krakow win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1e9816…
10-24 10:43:17	Will Sivasspor win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdd8a4a…
10-24 10:42:57	Will FK Tukums 2000/TSS win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25d493…
10-24 10:41:38	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x41afda…
10-24 10:31:09	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdb8de4…
10-13 21:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C or below on October 14?	Yes	BUY	402	0¢	$1	0xf999d9…
10-13 21:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	382	0¢	$1	0x19c8ea…
10-13 21:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8deb47…
10-13 21:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	265	0¢	$1	0xea4171…
10-13 20:58:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0e4d2d…
10-13 20:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1d2462…
10-13 20:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x629b64…
10-13 20:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd8f26…
10-13 20:40:45	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x2efe8b…
10-13 10:24:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x41900f…
10-13 10:23:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x234d2b…
10-13 10:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x2843a5…
10-13 09:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbc2e51…
10-13 09:34:25	Solana Up or Down on October 13?	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xf05515…
10-13 09:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xfc897a…
10-13 09:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x026f42…
10-13 09:04:31	Solana Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x33a286…
10-13 09:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x171689…
10-13 04:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x7a02e8…
10-12 13:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x4973e1…
10-12 13:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x4d7fd9…
10-12 13:17:06	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	XI Esport	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x57b40f…
10-12 13:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x7e6b1a…
10-12 13:12:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6878d1…
10-12 11:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x02eb3f…
10-12 11:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x050c59…
10-12 11:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	89	27¢	$24	0x9ea772…
10-12 11:06:50	Counter-Strike: MARTYRDOM vs MARKandLARRY - Map 2 Winner	MARTYRDOM	BUY	137	1¢	$1	0xa57297…
10-12 11:06:11	Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe2b924…
10-12 11:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf56d10…
10-12 11:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0x193949…
10-12 11:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc9c8a6…
10-12 10:59:32	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A	Sangal	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8d27e3…
10-12 10:57:20	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xea3d2e…
10-12 10:55:59	European Tour: Jonny Clayton vs Gian van Veen	Gian van Veen	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe52e7c…
10-12 10:55:44	M15 Szabolcsveresmart: Andriy Poritskyy vs Oliver Pivnik	Oliver Pivnik	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xecbebe…
10-12 10:46:05	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xcc0976…
10-12 10:42:36	Overwatch: Uwinks vs REVATI (BO5) - OCS Japan Stage 3 Group Stage	REVATI	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc57be3…
10-12 10:42:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x043a27…
10-12 10:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfdeecc…
10-12 10:41:29	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb77106…
10-12 10:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x150b3f…
10-12 10:38:59	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x64be63…
10-12 10:37:48	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xff876b…
10-12 10:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd1b60b…
10-12 10:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x72b602…
10-12 10:35:29	LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4b1ef8…
10-12 10:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	59	20¢	$12	0x6c9a90…
10-12 09:07:58	Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Thailand All Star (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	Thailand All Star	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xf96526…
10-12 08:26:40	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25ca7a…
10-12 08:26:25	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x210574…
10-12 08:26:16	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2a3771…
10-12 08:26:07	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e1ef9…
10-12 08:26:03	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd1669a…
10-12 08:23:57	Counter-Strike: MARTYRDOM vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs	MARTYRDOM	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x337892…
10-12 08:23:22	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x7062c9…
10-12 08:22:15	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc0def8…
10-12 08:21:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff4243…
10-12 08:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6ec082…
10-12 08:18:04	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x38920c…
10-12 08:16:24	W50 Stara Zagora: Madhurima Sawant vs Teodora Naidenova	Teodora Naidenova	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x05eeef…
10-12 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x9d3b03…
10-12 08:14:08	W50 Stara Zagora: Gala Ivanovic vs Yoana Moneva	Yoana Moneva	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xda5856…
10-12 08:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfccced…
10-12 08:10:19	Counter-Strike: MARTYRDOM vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs	MARTYRDOM	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x60b129…
10-12 08:09:32	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x60c7b3…
10-12 08:08:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf902af…
10-12 08:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x5b1428…
10-12 08:05:06	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7695aa…
10-12 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x99bf2a…
10-12 07:52:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x4b2d5a…
10-12 07:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x355d4f…
10-12 07:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd52fd5…
10-12 07:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xde2248…
10-12 07:46:56	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team Vitality	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xb44c3e…
10-12 07:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8dde3a…
10-12 07:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac5a72…
10-12 07:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xf65e56…
10-12 07:40:23	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	XI Esport	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf485f…
10-12 07:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb85ac3…
10-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe7d5bd…
10-12 04:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x86b955…
10-11 19:21:00	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x94339a…
10-11 19:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc124b8…
10-11 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0ab339…
10-11 18:59:37	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ed94e…
10-11 18:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x57f510…
10-11 18:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x7329b7…
10-11 18:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb28b26…