Subdued-Seaside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

3,847

Trades

4,739

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-18

last 11-13 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$81

Other

0% 29% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	11-14 07:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	6	$14	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?	4	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-29 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:10 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-29 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-27 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-18 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-06 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-02 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-29 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-23 16:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-11 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-28 08:09
Solana Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-09 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:25 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 10:50 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$0	08-25 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-02 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:10 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-24 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-02 07:34
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$0	09-05 14:49
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 14:53
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 12:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-10 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-25 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:35 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-25 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-30 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:40 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-02 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-30 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-28 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x053d57…
11-14 07:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x255f6c…
11-14 07:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf4b0f0…
11-14 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6c2c7c…
11-14 07:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xad5469…
11-14 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9f3f06…
11-13 15:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x898056…
11-13 15:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb84127…
11-13 15:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5a0a1e…
11-13 15:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x49c3e2…
11-13 15:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xef32cd…
11-13 15:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb5ab67…
11-13 15:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x56c5bf…
11-13 15:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc2faf…
11-13 15:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfa17f3…
11-13 14:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0628d2…
11-13 14:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x78562d…
11-13 12:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb20947…
11-13 12:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6bc25d…
11-13 12:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc14f4f…
11-13 11:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf9be1…
11-13 11:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9e82e1…
11-13 11:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbda529…
11-13 11:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x94e647…
11-13 11:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd9968e…
11-13 11:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe96896…
11-13 11:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x48513d…
11-13 11:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x49e6e6…
11-13 11:11:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4e2dcf…
11-13 10:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x302f11…
11-13 10:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8ba1ee…
11-13 10:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x16d53f…
11-13 09:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0f0081…
11-13 09:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0331f3…
11-13 08:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe87d04…
11-13 08:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2f094e…
11-13 08:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd4039f…
11-13 08:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2783a3…
11-13 08:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x662f3b…
11-13 08:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x71c4d3…
11-13 08:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x05f5ec…
11-13 08:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x64babd…
11-13 08:12:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa20ba6…
11-13 08:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xee1e4f…
11-13 08:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc54385…
11-13 07:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x532bc5…
11-13 07:28:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdd7d3c…
11-13 07:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7f4096…
11-13 07:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd83986…
11-12 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2b4775…
11-12 15:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa91533…
11-12 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3a734b…
11-12 14:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39866b…
11-12 14:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd6378e…
11-12 14:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd74a0b…
11-12 14:47:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x08c55f…
11-12 14:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd17193…
11-12 14:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x590897…
11-12 13:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf3710c…
11-12 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd29a5f…
11-12 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd0bdf3…
11-12 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x974c41…
11-12 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c5a58…
11-12 13:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x91bab2…
11-12 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2d11eb…
11-12 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbd7518…
11-12 13:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x18f8e3…
11-12 13:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x27d1bf…
11-12 13:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3f17d5…
11-12 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x17813e…
11-12 12:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2fb1e8…
11-12 12:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x502eaa…
11-12 11:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3bebf…
11-12 11:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xeb5a82…
11-12 11:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcc3666…
11-12 11:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x287662…
11-12 10:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xaaf31f…
11-12 10:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe16b34…
11-11 16:44:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x505309…
11-11 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x6981e9…
11-11 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5d117e…
11-11 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1c6908…
11-11 16:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc4f413…
11-11 16:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6dcc0b…
11-11 15:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe2d4d8…
11-11 15:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x649f27…
11-11 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe7cb84…
11-11 15:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4c153e…
11-11 15:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x552b09…
11-11 11:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfc476c…
11-11 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x104fd8…
11-11 11:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb72e57…
11-11 11:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x249638…
11-11 11:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3be339…
11-11 10:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x181801…
11-11 10:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x870836…
11-11 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x55ec0e…
11-11 10:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xba1fbf…
11-11 10:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5e81c6…
11-11 09:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe83000…