Terrible-Disgust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$613

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-12 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 29% -$104

Other

38% 27% +$46

Tech

7% 40% -$5

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+103	$20	1¢	$1	-$19	05-22 22:30
Stripe IPO before 2027?	Yes	+20	$2	5¢	$1	-$1	05-22 22:29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-10 16:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$88	91	57	+34	Down	+$12	05-11 06:39
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$88	338	338	+0	Yes	+$48	05-22 22:05
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$66	370	370	+0	No	+$46	05-22 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$30	68	0	+68	Up	-$30	05-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 17:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$20	103	0	+103	open	—	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$20	50	0	+50	Down	-$20	05-10 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$19	26	11	+16	Down	-$11	05-11 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$17	25	14	+11	Down	-$3	05-11 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$16	18	12	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$15	28	17	+12	Up	-$9	05-11 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$15	35	0	+35	Up	-$15	05-22 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$14	533	0	+533	Up	-$14	05-10 16:39
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$12	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	05-31 14:33
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	10-12 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$12	228	0	+228	Down	-$12	05-22 23:25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	116	0	+116	No	-$10	05-22 22:11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	1	$10	26	0	+26	Yes	-$10	05-22 22:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	-$10	05-22 22:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	1	$10	143	0	+143	Yes	-$10	05-22 22:14
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$10	465	0	+465	No	-$10	05-10 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-26 20:33
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$6	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-18 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$6	15	5	+10	Up	-$2	05-26 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	05-10 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$6	31	0	+31	Down	-$6	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	05-11 06:40
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	05-22 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-10 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-10 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 09:28:55	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x678c10…
08-28 18:00:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x25e357…
06-18 05:32:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaebb02…
06-18 05:32:08	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4e4338…
06-18 05:32:02	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x0e1196…
06-18 05:31:11	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x07ce1c…
05-31 14:33:30	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	139	2¢	$3	0xf133b4…
05-31 14:33:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x2367e7…
05-27 07:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x53e65a…
05-26 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x52abd1…
05-26 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0e734d…
05-26 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6ff016…
05-26 20:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcee2fc…
05-26 20:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x03f8a5…
05-26 20:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x403ff0…
05-26 20:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb825cb…
05-26 20:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x612599…
05-26 20:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x589cd1…
05-26 20:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x866962…
05-26 20:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf98f7c…
05-26 18:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7cb5f6…
05-26 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ca8c8…
05-26 13:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28bd94…
05-23 12:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9e8769…
05-22 23:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0700e3…
05-22 23:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa3ac9a…
05-22 23:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0xfb6324…
05-22 23:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa65774…
05-22 23:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x329d25…
05-22 22:32:31	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xca3462…
05-22 22:32:12	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xf02127…
05-22 22:31:16	Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x698431…
05-22 22:30:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x27a943…
05-22 22:29:56	Stripe IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xee79d6…
05-22 22:29:49	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x91e15f…
05-22 22:29:42	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4b0843…
05-22 22:25:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xef08fa…
05-22 22:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf07f25…
05-22 22:19:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2352b1…
05-22 22:18:33	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x2a15db…
05-22 22:18:24	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf14204…
05-22 22:17:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5e45bc…
05-22 22:15:28	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0219d6…
05-22 22:14:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xcac561…
05-22 22:11:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x7793ab…
05-22 22:05:31	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	370	15¢	$56	0x7319fe…
05-22 22:05:22	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	338	20¢	$68	0xa3a1eb…
05-22 17:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x5174ef…
05-22 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb24920…
05-22 13:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe5fbfd…
05-11 17:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xd85ba5…
05-11 17:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93f17b…
05-11 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x30051f…
05-11 17:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa6ee71…
05-11 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xab5034…
05-11 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x50185d…
05-11 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb0404e…
05-11 17:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0xcc8799…
05-11 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x57843e…
05-11 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc37593…
05-11 17:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x6505e4…
05-11 17:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe7ee27…
05-11 16:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3f0d96…
05-11 16:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xb92cad…
05-11 16:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x76b4e0…
05-11 06:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4d1f97…
05-11 06:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x07e004…
05-11 06:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x372d30…
05-11 06:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	57	58¢	$33	0xf1e068…
05-11 06:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xca8a44…
05-10 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcce38c…
05-10 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4d8ef5…
05-10 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x63b71d…
05-10 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3752ab…
05-10 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf964f0…
05-10 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd509eb…
05-10 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd51166…
05-10 19:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa167bd…
05-10 16:53:16	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1cc052…
05-10 16:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb5d338…
05-10 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x995958…
05-10 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x52a992…
05-10 16:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x4d7168…
05-10 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb3f78f…
05-10 16:37:18	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	338	6¢	$20	0x05d2e3…
05-10 16:36:42	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	465	2¢	$10	0x5e4826…
05-10 16:36:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xcf3b48…
05-10 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1cca06…