Fatherly-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,892

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 20:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

56% 60% $-13

Crypto

43% 33% $-2

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	6	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	01-31 13:29
btc updown 15m 1776320100	4	$107	12	148	-136	open	—	04-16 06:31
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 5am et	21	$103	82	112	-30	open	—	04-17 09:59
btc updown 15m 1780991100	11	$92	111	60	+50	open	—	06-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down january 26 6am et	4	$91	96	89	+7	open	—	01-26 11:41
btc updown 15m 1781014500	9	$87	63	50	+13	open	—	06-09 14:26
solana up or down january 12 5pm et	9	$78	219	219	+0	open	—	01-12 22:28
btc updown 15m 1780934400	12	$77	55	55	-0	open	—	06-08 16:13
btc updown 15m 1776321900	6	$76	75	159	-84	open	—	04-16 07:00
btc updown 15m 1776323700	7	$75	19	128	-110	open	—	04-16 07:29
btc updown 15m 1776324600	7	$72	10	120	-110	open	—	04-16 07:38
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	4	$71	46	46	+0	open	—	01-07 22:59
btc updown 15m 1776321000	3	$70	0	132	-132	open	—	04-16 06:35
ethereum up or down january 13 10am et	9	$69	56	56	+0	open	—	01-13 15:37
btc updown 15m 1776330000	4	$69	22	101	-79	open	—	04-16 09:16
btc updown 15m 1776356100	9	$66	35	88	-53	open	—	04-16 16:29
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	8	$65	81	71	+10	open	—	04-17 14:29
lal bet vil 2026 01 17 total 1pt5	2	$62	57	57	+0	open	—	01-17 21:22
btc updown 15m 1780935300	4	$62	22	44	-22	open	—	06-08 16:28
btc updown 15m 1781019900	6	$60	57	70	-13	open	—	06-09 15:56
acn civ bur 2026 01 06 total 2pt5	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	01-06 21:07
bitcoin up or down february 16 5pm et	11	$59	40	150	-110	open	—	02-16 22:36
btc updown 15m 1780936200	4	$58	30	34	-4	open	—	06-08 16:40
btc updown 15m 1781011800	6	$58	33	94	-61	open	—	06-09 13:44
ethereum up or down january 13 2am et	28	$58	114	114	+0	open	—	01-13 07:26
btc updown 15m 1776328200	7	$58	58	56	+2	open	—	04-16 08:46
sea bol fio 2026 01 18 total 1pt5	2	$57	33	33	+0	open	—	01-18 14:58
sea int bol 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	2	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	01-04 21:35
spl haz njm 2026 01 12 haz	3	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	01-12 19:15
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 12pm et	7	$55	41	40	+1	open	—	04-15 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:46:13	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7d02…
06-09 19:06:30	es2 alm cas 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x57bf8c…
06-09 18:54:12	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xc19367…
06-09 18:54:12	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x6a6baf…
06-09 18:54:12	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x225d08…
06-09 18:53:54	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Up	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xfc91a7…
06-09 18:53:54	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xb56faf…
06-09 18:10:15	btc updown 15m 1781028000	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x05bb7f…
06-09 17:44:01	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xfa4508…
06-09 17:43:52	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xb27243…
06-09 17:38:03	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x7aa2e3…
06-09 17:33:01	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x942166…
06-09 17:26:18	btc updown 15m 1781025300	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3691c5…
06-09 17:25:07	btc updown 15m 1781025300	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x8ddb04…
06-09 17:18:31	btc updown 15m 1781025300	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9270cd…
06-09 17:05:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9b7962…
06-09 17:03:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x523c77…
06-09 16:58:04	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x1890fd…
06-09 16:57:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc6db54…
06-09 16:55:12	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc34e9d…
06-09 16:54:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb9bc1b…
06-09 16:54:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf51e8d…
06-09 16:52:34	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x30ec17…
06-09 16:52:33	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x760626…
06-09 16:52:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x59b13f…
06-09 16:52:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x6305d4…
06-09 16:43:03	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x897387…
06-09 16:43:03	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0db6b4…
06-09 16:43:03	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x046813…
06-09 16:41:04	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x8f8a90…
06-09 16:40:16	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd66ee1…
06-09 16:38:40	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x848aa7…
06-09 16:33:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x75fcf4…
06-09 16:29:07	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x8ac10a…
06-09 16:13:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8d5949…
06-09 16:06:46	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x956df1…
06-09 16:06:46	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x7f65a9…
06-09 16:06:45	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x258a56…
06-09 15:56:06	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x3f9222…
06-09 15:50:37	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x5336a8…
06-09 15:50:37	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x093eae…
06-09 15:50:03	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x325a79…
06-09 15:49:45	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x49d803…
06-09 15:46:48	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x9e7b55…
06-09 15:42:28	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xb62cb9…
06-09 15:38:58	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x25ed28…
06-09 15:34:36	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2f7040…
06-09 15:34:24	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x89e2b7…
06-09 15:32:54	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x2b2738…
06-09 15:19:15	btc updown 15m 1781018100	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x8744fd…
06-09 15:18:28	btc updown 15m 1781018100	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x599e2c…
06-09 15:12:03	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xc1570c…
06-09 15:08:06	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x75a518…
06-09 15:06:54	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x46796d…
06-09 15:06:49	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x409852…
06-09 14:59:13	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Down	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x5540d7…
06-09 14:55:00	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xa7716c…
06-09 14:54:10	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x23b803…
06-09 14:54:10	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x13aedd…
06-09 14:54:09	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2ece30…
06-09 14:52:48	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xb01412…
06-09 14:47:58	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x94174b…
06-09 14:46:46	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Down	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0x2e3b91…
06-09 14:42:37	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xee7ec5…
06-09 14:40:48	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xfa56de…
06-09 14:40:48	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbd52a9…
06-09 14:40:48	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x99c916…
06-09 14:36:25	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x74a3e6…
06-09 14:35:19	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x43b3b4…
06-09 14:26:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x9aa56e…
06-09 14:25:39	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1fb9cf…
06-09 14:21:45	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xff681f…
06-09 14:21:45	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd9b1f0…
06-09 14:21:12	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x99413b…
06-09 14:20:46	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x182043…
06-09 14:18:10	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x7bff4d…
06-09 14:18:04	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xc7df7b…
06-09 14:16:40	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x45cedc…
06-09 14:10:37	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x65c413…
06-09 14:09:54	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x14159d…
06-09 14:03:58	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe27fe0…
06-09 14:03:58	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x91b798…
06-09 14:03:58	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x448f3e…
06-09 13:55:39	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xb4516b…
06-09 13:49:21	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Up	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0x40f578…
06-09 13:47:01	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf7cbf7…
06-09 13:44:24	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x76b66e…
06-09 13:43:51	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x9de991…
06-09 13:43:30	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x1a1a00…
06-09 13:43:07	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x35c3a3…
06-09 13:38:43	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x0b9c0b…
06-09 13:38:15	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x5208af…
06-09 13:17:39	btc updown 15m 1781010900	Up	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xe4faf2…
06-09 13:13:48	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x54ca1c…
06-09 13:12:54	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xad6183…
06-09 13:12:16	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xc07a9c…
06-09 12:52:28	btc updown 15m 1781009100	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xd2f65e…
06-09 12:52:27	btc updown 15m 1781009100	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x9f7bac…
06-09 12:18:04	btc updown 15m 1781007300	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xb47794…
06-09 12:18:04	btc updown 15m 1781007300	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x44a53b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	545	$7.47M	51,745	06-09 20:26
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	520	$4.32M	45,282	06-09 14:43
Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96	315	$17.8K	1,482	05-24 21:30
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	310	$2.51M	17,367	05-15 15:49
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	300	$949	1,328	04-20 20:21
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	291	$729.2K	12,020	06-09 18:59
Prestigious-Windchime 0x826b…4ac7	290	$955	1,466	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	287	$41.3K	5,182	03-15 08:52