Fatherly-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$594

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

1,675

Trades

3,864

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-18 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

59% 57% -$341

Crypto

41% 61% -$260

Politics

0% 67% +$15

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:15 UTC	6	$127	33	140	-107	Up	+$10	07-05 05:30
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	6	$122	70	70	+0	No	-$1	01-31 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 06:15 UTC	4	$107	12	148	-136	Up	+$19	04-16 06:31
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 5am et	21	$103	82	112	-30	Down	-$4	04-17 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 07:45 UTC	11	$92	111	60	+50	Up	-$14	06-09 07:59
bitcoin up or down january 26 6am et	4	$91	96	89	+7	Down	-$13	01-26 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:15 UTC	9	$87	63	50	+13	Down	-$7	06-09 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 21:30 UTC	13	$81	54	177	-123	Down	+$12	07-03 21:44
atp kozlov mayo 2026 08 11	4	$78	50	50	+0	Stefan Kozlov	$0	08-12 21:07
solana up or down january 12 5pm et	9	$78	219	219	+0	Up	+$8	01-12 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	12	$77	55	55	-0	Up	+$10	06-08 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 06:45 UTC	6	$76	75	159	-84	Up	+$2	04-16 07:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 07:15 UTC	7	$75	19	128	-110	Down	+$0	04-16 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 07:30 UTC	7	$72	10	120	-110	Down	+$3	04-16 07:38
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	4	$71	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	01-07 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 06:30 UTC	3	$70	0	132	-132	Down	+$4	04-16 06:35
ethereum up or down january 13 10am et	9	$69	56	56	+0	Up	+$2	01-13 15:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC	4	$69	22	101	-79	Up	+$10	04-16 09:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 16:15 UTC	9	$66	35	88	-53	Down	-$5	04-16 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 21:15 UTC	6	$66	0	79	-79	Down	-$14	07-03 21:23
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	8	$65	81	71	+10	Karolina Muchova	-$4	04-17 14:29
lal bet vil 2026 01 17 total 1pt5	2	$62	57	57	+0	Over	+$11	01-17 21:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 16:15 UTC	4	$62	22	44	-22	Up	+$0	06-08 16:28
ucl kau din 2026 08 11 team total away 1pt5	3	$61	40	40	+0	Over	+$19	08-11 17:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 15:45 UTC	6	$60	57	70	-13	Down	+$4	06-09 15:56
acn civ bur 2026 01 06 total 2pt5	2	$60	40	40	+0	Over	+$20	01-06 21:07
bitcoin up or down february 16 5pm et	11	$59	40	150	-110	Down	$0	02-16 22:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 16:30 UTC	4	$58	30	34	-4	Down	-$3	06-08 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 13:30 UTC	6	$58	33	94	-61	Up	-$12	06-09 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 14:00 UTC	7	$58	36	36	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 11:21:48	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xe9c124…
10-15 15:30:40	wta olmo masarov 2026 10 15	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x900d4d…
10-15 15:27:52	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4e7443…
10-15 14:33:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xa33855…
10-15 14:29:31	wta zidanse steur 2026 10 15	Tamara Zidansek	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1df275…
10-15 13:57:22	wta zidanse steur 2026 10 15	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc7b36e…
10-15 13:55:50	wta salkova hruncak 2026 10 15	Dominika Salkova	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x981fd0…
10-15 13:27:59	wta salkova hruncak 2026 10 15	Dominika Salkova	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2060d3…
10-15 13:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8b9c19…
10-15 13:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5272d8…
10-15 12:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xfa72bb…
10-15 12:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x94af23…
10-15 12:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6c6b5c…
10-15 12:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x29a3c7…
10-15 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1eda1d…
10-15 12:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x54e98d…
10-15 12:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xa377d7…
10-15 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x480c89…
10-15 12:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7031f1…
10-15 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x76b78f…
10-15 11:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4b2b7d…
10-15 11:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdca29a…
10-15 11:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22929c…
10-15 11:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5b90b7…
10-15 10:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x8f4691…
10-15 10:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x39504c…
10-15 10:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x6eb3d4…
10-15 10:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9105ff…
10-15 10:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xd02982…
10-15 10:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2d04cb…
10-15 10:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x32e5cd…
10-15 10:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x742d4e…
10-15 10:25:14	Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xf8856d…
10-15 09:01:29	wta garcia brancac 2026 10 14	Andrea Lazaro Garcia	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9e04f9…
10-14 18:51:48	elc nor sot 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x17572f…
10-14 18:07:19	est1 pai tar 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x560e2d…
10-14 17:05:52	est1 pai tar 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x097fc9…
10-14 16:14:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x386aea…
10-14 16:14:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8bea3c…
10-14 16:06:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0xc42ef8…
10-14 16:05:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3029e9…
10-14 15:57:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x081ffe…
10-14 15:47:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x46d2f4…
10-14 15:42:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4e899c…
10-14 15:36:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe1368f…
10-14 15:28:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7521aa…
10-14 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xda9754…
10-14 14:57:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xcb578c…
10-14 14:52:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x46f00a…
10-14 14:46:34	est1 nar kur 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x935451…
10-14 14:39:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x1bb647…
10-14 14:39:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x81298a…
10-14 13:35:54	wta maneiro escorih 2026 10 14 set handicap home 1pt5	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xa1c095…
10-14 13:08:50	est1 nar kur 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9ac9e2…
10-14 12:47:20	wta maneiro escorih 2026 10 14 set handicap home 1pt5	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0dc512…
10-14 12:38:27	Will Batman Petrolspor win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7e4c2b…
10-14 11:46:16	Will Batman Petrolspor win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x6b00f8…
10-14 11:39:01	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x5ebe5a…
10-14 10:58:19	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd4f666…
10-14 10:50:28	wta ostapen pegula 2026 10 13	Jelena Ostapenko	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x397349…
10-14 10:43:59	wta ostapen pegula 2026 10 13	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x54885e…
10-14 08:59:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x96630c…
10-14 08:59:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3ee218…
10-14 08:38:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x210155…
10-14 08:30:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x11964b…
10-14 07:39:17	wta tjen snigur 2026 10 13	Daria Snigur	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x097a16…
10-14 07:23:38	atp landalu cui 2026 10 14	Martin Landaluce	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x46c4e6…
10-14 06:58:38	wta paolini bartunk 2026 10 13	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x27c18e…
10-14 06:08:19	atp landalu cui 2026 10 14	Martin Landaluce	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x1898d6…
10-13 20:25:24	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x74c64d…
10-13 20:02:12	Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: Al-Ittihad Club O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x760d83…
10-13 19:02:34	Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x4c7ebe…
10-13 19:01:48	RB Leipzig vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xc16d2e…
10-13 18:35:37	Al-Ittihad Club vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: Al-Ittihad Club O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdaed0c…
10-13 16:52:13	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x875733…
10-13 16:49:49	Racing Club de Lens vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x983364…
10-13 16:01:49	Rovereto: Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x43cf95…
10-13 15:54:15	wta koeverm andree 2026 10 13	Anouk Koevermans	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x99a33e…
10-13 15:36:59	wta koeverm andree 2026 10 13	Anouk Koevermans	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x52824f…
10-13 15:10:49	Olbia: Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa6fbea…
10-13 14:44:55	Olbia: Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0d5e9c…
10-13 14:36:01	Lisbon: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Francisca Jorge	Francisca Jorge	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0019fb…
10-13 14:20:56	Lisbon: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Francisca Jorge	Francisca Jorge	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xcf4fe0…
10-13 14:10:40	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x47639c…
10-13 13:54:17	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbe4005…
10-13 13:52:37	Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x444531…
10-13 13:38:37	Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf05a5c…
10-13 13:11:17	Bandirmaspor vs. Sivasspor: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xbbf34b…
10-13 12:12:28	Bandirmaspor vs. Sivasspor: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xb77c7d…
10-13 12:05:55	atp cadenas wehnelt 2026 10 13	Kai Wehnelt	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x387dc2…
10-13 11:15:23	atp cadenas wehnelt 2026 10 13	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x46d614…
10-13 05:57:01	Yulia Putintseva vs. Zeynep Sonmez: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x0eab94…
10-12 18:47:05	GKS Katowice vs. Wieczysta Krakow: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x642ea2…
10-12 18:38:59	Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: Malmo FF O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd2af9c…
10-12 18:00:18	Malmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: Malmo FF O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xaf2dd9…
10-12 17:46:59	Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Sumit Nagal	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x535374…
10-12 15:43:21	Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique Rocha	Sumit Nagal	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xbefde2…
10-12 15:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xf56dfc…
10-12 15:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe58818…
10-12 14:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x983fa6…