Standard-Balloon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved (30d)

123

Trades (30d)

236

6,050 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.15K

$46.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-24 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 65% +$448

Other

1% 20% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	11	$251	564	0	+564	Down	-$251	09-02 22:03
atp virtane rublev 2026 08 31 set handicap away 1pt5	3	$215	160	160	+0	Virtanen	-$12	08-31 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	12	$182	509	0	+509	Down	+$326	09-04 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	7	$174	471	0	+471	Up	+$297	09-04 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	9	$149	335	0	+335	Up	-$149	09-02 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	15	$143	324	0	+324	Up	-$143	09-02 13:16
atp cerund gea 2026 09 01 set handicap away 2pt5	4	$142	363	363	+0	Cerundolo	-$11	08-31 12:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	15	$139	251	0	+251	Up	-$139	10-16 21:12
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	18	$138	365	0	+365	Down	-$138	09-04 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	12	$126	375	0	+375	Down	-$126	09-04 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$123	184	0	+184	Up	+$61	09-02 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	18	$118	383	0	+383	Up	+$265	09-03 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC	1	$100	128	0	+128	Down	+$28	08-19 23:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	14	$97	181	0	+181	Down	+$73	09-02 13:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 22:45 UTC	2	$96	147	0	+147	Down	-$39	08-30 22:58
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	15	$94	190	0	+190	Down	-$94	09-04 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	7	$89	325	0	+325	Down	+$235	09-03 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$87	187	0	+187	Down	+$46	09-02 12:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	10	$78	238	0	+238	Down	-$78	09-02 22:01
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	9	$76	153	0	+153	Up	+$76	09-03 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	7	$76	201	0	+201	Up	-$76	09-04 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$71	158	0	+158	Up	+$87	09-02 21:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	11	$71	128	0	+128	Up	-$71	09-04 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	27	$70	134	0	+134	Up	+$64	10-15 18:57
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$69	183	0	+183	Down	-$69	09-02 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$68	121	0	+121	Up	+$54	09-02 14:02
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$67	98	0	+98	Down	+$19	09-02 14:32
XRP Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$67	116	0	+116	Down	-$67	09-04 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	1	$64	88	0	+88	Down	+$25	08-21 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 23:00 UTC	1	$63	87	0	+87	Up	-$63	08-28 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 04:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xbde857…
10-24 04:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x2f6430…
10-24 04:36:42	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1e1cc2…
10-24 04:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x1bf3fc…
10-24 04:12:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x8252e8…
10-24 03:48:24	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x95f273…
10-24 03:27:36	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xea4e41…
10-24 02:57:38	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x41b665…
10-24 02:57:33	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x7d2c8a…
10-24 02:56:57	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x284b77…
10-24 00:56:08	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x4d2f8b…
10-24 00:55:56	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x4ff716…
10-24 00:55:51	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5f572e…
10-23 18:36:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x65ac55…
10-23 08:57:45	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x94e3bc…
10-23 04:27:15	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xd459aa…
10-23 02:57:21	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa777fa…
10-22 22:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xffcf42…
10-22 22:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb00cde…
10-22 22:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x94a316…
10-22 22:12:18	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x3f3d9f…
10-22 22:10:44	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4953ff…
10-22 22:10:06	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xd130fd…
10-22 21:57:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x79f932…
10-22 21:56:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x633a0a…
10-22 20:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xe6269f…
10-22 19:12:50	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x772cc4…
10-22 16:41:05	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf8ebdd…
10-22 16:27:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc171ad…
10-22 13:54:27	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x898416…
10-22 13:08:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x17967c…
10-22 09:03:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xc6933b…
10-22 05:09:45	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xd6f1a8…
10-22 05:09:45	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xd5575d…
10-22 05:09:42	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa2bfa0…
10-22 02:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x5b20a8…
10-22 02:56:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1184ae…
10-22 02:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x4059cb…
10-22 01:28:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x0076c5…
10-22 00:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0daa2f…
10-21 23:58:02	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x683fec…
10-21 23:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x9108ed…
10-21 22:41:59	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x357982…
10-21 18:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x211085…
10-21 15:24:39	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x247352…
10-21 15:04:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x182bde…
10-21 14:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xdd64e6…
10-21 06:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xbbdb84…
10-21 06:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x07de9b…
10-21 06:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x6c0c37…
10-21 06:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x1f0d66…
10-21 04:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc2c577…
10-21 03:42:57	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x6f425a…
10-21 03:42:54	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x8619e4…
10-21 00:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x874f88…
10-20 14:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xd3f25e…
10-20 14:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x096ffd…
10-20 13:27:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x87e498…
10-20 10:47:20	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xaa04e4…
10-20 10:45:44	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xc79605…
10-20 10:45:36	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x6b0fd2…
10-20 09:57:38	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x842b37…
10-20 04:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0x6ce2e9…
10-20 04:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc6f5c9…
10-20 04:27:57	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x603596…
10-20 04:27:51	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x3f21e0…
10-20 00:52:18	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x28caf5…
10-19 21:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcaf40d…
10-19 20:38:05	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc363eb…
10-19 10:42:48	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x870a2e…
10-19 09:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x41a8f0…
10-19 09:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x74c9bd…
10-19 07:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x5dba31…
10-19 04:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x1675ed…
10-19 04:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x62112a…
10-19 04:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x205c7a…
10-19 03:43:03	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9a719a…
10-18 22:27:57	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x1da43e…
10-18 16:56:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7306ab…
10-18 16:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x32693c…
10-18 16:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xa62685…
10-18 10:05:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x5ccac7…
10-18 08:26:47	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0x381225…
10-18 08:26:36	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xb28634…
10-18 08:26:35	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$13	0xbd6986…
10-18 05:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xf0ba90…
10-18 05:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	39¢	$8	0x4570c6…
10-18 04:56:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5ed139…
10-18 04:56:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0xb987a6…
10-18 04:55:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xdf10c4…
10-18 03:03:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x98187c…
10-18 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xcd2298…
10-17 22:57:06	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x56f174…
10-17 21:42:21	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x17de79…
10-17 21:12:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x47fb64…
10-17 20:39:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xaa7751…
10-17 20:39:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xa1963d…
10-17 20:39:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x910cd4…
10-17 20:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xff5cf4…
10-17 20:12:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3d0d93…