Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.19K

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

214

Trades

2,521

lifetime

Volume

$1.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

$4.67K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-11 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

62% 80% +$50,356

Politics

37% 72% +$2,507

Crypto

0% 62% -$1,357

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No		-4,361	-$2,181	68¢	$-2944	-$763	08-11 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		-2,563	-$1,307	68¢	$-1730	-$423	08-11 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	25	$87.3K	87,500	3,000	+84,500	No	+$230	01-03 23:59
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	61	$69.8K	70,000	0	+70,000	No	+$230	01-04 00:23
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	74	$53.7K	51,295	33,303	+17,991	No	+$4,644	03-03 07:15
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$49.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$100	01-01 14:40
tether insolvent in 2025	1	$45.6K	45,647	0	+45,647	No	+$46	01-01 05:04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$41.5K	41,493	0	+41,493	Yes	+$41	04-21 18:14
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$41.1K	41,197	0	+41,197	Yes	+$82	04-16 20:58
Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?	4	$40.2K	40,313	0	+40,313	No	+$92	01-07 05:11
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	15	$30.0K	30,396	0	+30,396	No	+$376	01-07 20:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$24.6K	24,655	0	+24,655	Yes	+$49	04-08 20:57
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	91	$24.5K	52,664	0	+52,664	Yes	+$28,145	01-03 09:06
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	2	$20.9K	20,915	0	+20,915	Yes	+$21	01-05 06:22
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	17	$20.8K	28,965	12,500	+16,465	No	-$955	01-07 20:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$20.8K	20,810	0	+20,810	No	+$21	06-08 04:26
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	4	$20.1K	15,601	6,842	+8,760	Yes	-$7,790	02-20 01:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	79	$16.0K	14,143	5,000	+9,143	No	+$1,097	01-13 00:15
us strikes yemen by december 31	7	$12.7K	12,823	0	+12,823	Yes	+$98	01-01 18:05
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	215	$12.3K	46,558	17,123	+29,435	No	-$9,047	01-25 01:49
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	33	$12.3K	13,165	0	+13,165	No	+$882	01-12 22:07
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	81	$11.8K	16,777	0	+16,777	Yes	+$5,026	01-23 15:42
will the us strike somalia next 656	67	$10.8K	10,791	10,791	+0	Yes	-$1,237	01-23 17:32
odds of khamenei out in jan over 20 on friday	67	$10.8K	22,372	2,500	+19,872	No	+$13,299	01-15 12:22
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 30 on sunday	34	$10.2K	8,798	3,998	+4,800	No	+$1,707	01-11 14:18
will lilo and stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025	2	$10.2K	10,185	0	+10,185	Yes	+$13	01-05 06:59
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	30	$10.0K	11,060	0	+11,060	No	+$1,109	01-10 08:07
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	25	$9.6K	9,439	6,439	+3,000	Yes	+$2,465	09-07 00:50
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	13	$9.6K	10,003	0	+10,003	No	+$423	01-06 13:04
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	8	$9.5K	9,490	0	+9,490	No	+$31	01-13 22:32
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	19	$9.4K	21,390	21,629	-239	Yes	-$6,028	01-31 10:21
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	5	$9.0K	9,528	0	+9,528	No	+$537	01-28 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 14:25:16	Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x2ee176…
09-07 00:50:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x8e39b4…
09-07 00:40:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x313602…
09-07 00:29:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	51	76¢	$39	0x58bd49…
09-06 20:21:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	74¢	$740	0x267869…
09-05 15:56:01	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	842	76¢	$640	0xda55fe…
09-05 15:39:04	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	77	76¢	$59	0x33ffcb…
09-05 09:14:45	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	68¢	$680	0x535f9f…
09-05 09:12:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$24	0xbe25b3…
09-05 09:11:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	963	67¢	$646	0x5778ec…
09-05 07:44:13	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,482	53¢	$1,316	0xec6f34…
09-05 07:42:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x01ca19…
09-05 06:59:15	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x58fcc9…
09-05 06:46:25	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	59¢	$1,475	0x1e7d24…
09-05 06:44:09	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	606	63¢	$382	0xec8a1b…
09-05 05:34:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	394	63¢	$248	0x7a6e6b…
09-05 03:27:06	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,439	71¢	$1,022	0x7d3fb8…
09-05 01:49:00	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x4f2edf…
09-05 01:48:37	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	466	68¢	$317	0xfbd25d…
09-05 01:47:34	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xc1b43b…
09-05 01:47:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0xdd9241…
09-05 01:14:10	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	693	56¢	$388	0x92bef1…
09-05 00:10:22	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5cb8f6…
09-04 23:04:18	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	708	36¢	$255	0xaf3cf8…
09-04 23:02:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x290f7a…
09-04 22:52:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa98be4…
08-11 19:26:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,068	51¢	$1,055	0xa8e890…
08-11 18:23:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0x7979c4…
08-11 18:21:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0x046cb1…
08-11 18:19:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x426891…
08-11 18:04:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x96495d…
08-11 18:04:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	51¢	$60	0xbd6844…
08-11 18:04:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0x44a586…
08-11 17:45:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4,361	50¢	$2,181	0xf63ab6…
08-09 19:02:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0xa30eeb…
08-09 18:03:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	51¢	$98	0x33cbf3…
07-06 10:55:20	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1017a7…
06-08 04:26:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	20,810	100¢	$20,790	0x96f4d3…
04-21 18:14:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	41,493	100¢	$41,452	0xa3845f…
04-16 20:58:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	41,197	100¢	$41,115	0x494405…
04-08 20:57:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24,655	100¢	$24,606	0x6b648e…
03-04 19:42:41	2026 us senate election republican odds under 55 by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,453	63¢	$2,188	0xdb5db4…
03-04 19:42:41	2026 us senate election republican odds under 55 by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x2bd482…
03-03 07:50:41	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	1,673	98¢	$1,631	0x77f105…
03-03 07:15:57	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	SELL	7,375	2¢	$118	0x44cc4e…
03-03 06:38:37	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	250	56¢	$140	0xf0956c…
03-02 20:37:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	1,046	43¢	$450	0x5b151e…
03-02 20:37:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0x0c1c47…
03-02 20:37:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	324	43¢	$139	0x072f40…
03-02 20:37:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	379	43¢	$163	0x1e095a…
03-02 20:37:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	593	43¢	$255	0x54847c…
03-02 20:37:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0xdec8f6…
03-02 20:37:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	29	43¢	$12	0x82a28f…
03-02 20:26:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xd1cb97…
03-02 20:26:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0x4fffec…
03-02 20:26:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xbb84c0…
03-02 20:25:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	227	43¢	$98	0x079cbc…
03-02 20:25:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x8616be…
03-02 20:25:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x851cbb…
03-01 20:28:37	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	337	62¢	$209	0xc0887b…
03-01 20:27:11	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	663	62¢	$411	0x9049e5…
03-01 18:57:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	1,934	60¢	$1,165	0x22d1d1…
03-01 18:42:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,853	69¢	$1,968	0x46a9ca…
03-01 18:22:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2,500	89¢	$2,225	0xdcd366…
03-01 10:13:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	827	86¢	$714	0x147174…
03-01 10:12:27	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0xd9457f…
03-01 10:12:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	550	58¢	$319	0x6fa8a4…
03-01 10:11:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	604	73¢	$440	0x127c36…
03-01 10:10:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	153	64¢	$98	0x0d22a4…
03-01 10:09:45	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	No	BUY	4,168	46¢	$1,935	0x7e263c…
03-01 10:07:55	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	192	57¢	$109	0xc91cf8…
03-01 00:12:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,095	97¢	$2,036	0xac9aa8…
03-01 00:12:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x615fe4…
03-01 00:12:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x17923a…
03-01 00:12:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xd81ffa…
03-01 00:12:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xdfea59…
03-01 00:12:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xc97aca…
03-01 00:12:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xe2d125…
03-01 00:11:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8eb3e8…
03-01 00:11:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	750	97¢	$730	0x667820…
03-01 00:11:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,902	98¢	$2,844	0x507c6f…
03-01 00:11:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0xc7f49d…
03-01 00:11:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4fb48a…
03-01 00:11:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	686	98¢	$672	0xfc51ae…
03-01 00:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0xadc2c4…
03-01 00:08:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x1e8f75…
03-01 00:08:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xc56e45…
03-01 00:08:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0xe0e916…
03-01 00:08:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	471	98¢	$463	0x44585d…
03-01 00:08:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0xce5b4a…
03-01 00:08:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x71d116…
03-01 00:08:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x123ab3…
03-01 00:08:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x2609be…
03-01 00:00:11	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	982	1¢	$7	0xc22f5f…
02-28 23:58:37	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,607	99¢	$2,592	0xb01c04…
02-28 23:56:43	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xdeafb9…
02-28 23:51:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$56	0xbad8eb…
02-28 23:50:57	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1,518	1¢	$11	0x103ce2…
02-28 10:54:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	410	44¢	$181	0x786cb7…
02-28 10:53:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	178	44¢	$78	0x35c8dc…