Frigid-Alpenhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$260

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-16 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% +$2

Sports

34% — —

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	5	$3.4K	1,787	1,787	+0	open	—	03-17 11:25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	5	$1.8K	1,313	1,313	+0	open	—	03-17 06:34
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	3	$1.8K	966	966	+0	open	—	03-17 09:32
will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	7	$1.7K	1,652	1,649	+3	open	—	03-17 05:49
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$1.7K	871	871	+0	No	+$0	03-17 07:22
nba cha sas 2026 03 14 spread home 4pt5	1	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	03-14 15:21
will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$137	1,430	1,430	+0	open	—	03-17 08:42
nba cha sas 2026 03 14 1h total 110pt5	1	$127	271	0	+271	open	—	03-14 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	3	$76	459	459	+0	open	—	03-17 11:40
es2 vld leg 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 16:20
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	1	$14	16	0	+16	AC Milan	+$2	05-10 06:32
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-24 05:32
uel alu she 2026 07 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	07-16 06:57
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-07 14:11
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 2pt5	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-19 14:54
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	4	$7	745	745	+0	open	—	03-16 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:57:23	uel alu she 2026 07 16 spread home 1pt5	FC Sheriff Tiraspol	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7d7bca…
06-24 05:32:20	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	Scotland	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xa98e3c…
06-19 14:54:58	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xbeaf20…
06-07 14:11:04	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	Spirit	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x78cbe8…
05-10 06:32:44	Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x33c8d2…
03-17 11:40:07	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x5151d0…
03-17 11:39:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	448	8¢	$35	0x92e4b5…
03-17 11:33:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	459	9¢	$40	0x5cc129…
03-17 11:25:13	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	870	94¢	$814	0x80e825…
03-17 11:17:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	870	95¢	$826	0x856feb…
03-17 09:50:57	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	917	96¢	$880	0xe890f1…
03-17 09:41:43	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	572	96¢	$548	0xd23078…
03-17 09:41:43	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	345	96¢	$331	0xca1cb7…
03-17 09:32:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	SELL	966	91¢	$882	0xa18905…
03-17 09:25:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	BUY	690	91¢	$625	0x342d27…
03-17 09:25:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	No	BUY	276	91¢	$250	0x140ab9…
03-17 08:42:39	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	950	5¢	$47	0xcdb246…
03-17 08:42:39	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	480	5¢	$24	0x75b220…
03-17 08:35:53	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	236	5¢	$11	0xa5cde7…
03-17 08:35:53	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	1,194	5¢	$56	0x8f6147…
03-17 07:22:25	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	871	97¢	$847	0x5b3f2c…
03-17 07:15:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x88d2a5…
03-17 07:15:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	840	97¢	$816	0x87f9a2…
03-17 06:34:49	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x5823c8…
03-17 06:34:47	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	376	2¢	$8	0x3c9dc3…
03-17 06:27:53	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	416	2¢	$10	0xba047b…
03-17 06:18:55	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	897	98¢	$875	0x3ff8d8…
03-17 06:12:03	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	897	97¢	$874	0xf7e9cb…
03-17 05:49:01	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	SELL	782	3¢	$21	0x552d2d…
03-17 05:39:31	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	785	3¢	$21	0x1e1a61…
03-17 05:30:15	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	234	97¢	$227	0xfcc838…
03-17 05:30:15	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf86670…
03-17 05:30:15	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	626	97¢	$607	0x99cca4…
03-17 05:24:07	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0xf6d98b…
03-17 05:24:07	will waldo albarracn win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	727	97¢	$707	0xc00710…
03-16 14:59:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	Yes	SELL	283	0¢	$1	0x1f1c32…
03-16 14:59:29	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	Yes	SELL	338	0¢	$1	0x7c74c6…
03-16 14:59:29	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0x4cad46…
03-16 14:51:23	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	Yes	BUY	745	0¢	$4	0x44e7cd…
03-14 16:20:19	es2 vld leg 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbe3b91…
03-14 15:21:27	nba cha sas 2026 03 14 spread home 4pt5	Hornets	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x13a40c…
03-14 14:57:23	nba cha sas 2026 03 14 1h total 110pt5	Under	BUY	271	47¢	$127	0xf2ff1b…