Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$283

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

1,088

Trades

4,073

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-29 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% -$284

Other

2% 35% +$1

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+21	$20	94¢	$20	$0	10-29 14:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+4	$2	40¢	$2	$0	10-28 05:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:40 UTC	55	$195	180	177	+3	Down	+$6	03-11 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:10 UTC	17	$186	180	178	+2	Up	+$12	03-13 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:55 UTC	57	$181	223	220	+3	Up	-$1	02-19 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:15 UTC	13	$166	235	233	+2	Up	+$27	03-13 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:30 UTC	11	$154	137	113	+24	Up	-$4	03-13 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:35 UTC	39	$151	138	139	-0	Up	+$22	02-19 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 06:10 UTC	11	$150	120	119	+1	Up	-$4	03-18 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:55 UTC	27	$123	123	121	+2	Down	$0	03-11 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:25 UTC	9	$98	463	462	+1	Down	-$19	03-13 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:45 UTC	37	$89	154	59	+94	Up	-$6	02-19 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:50 UTC	22	$89	77	81	-4	Up	+$13	02-19 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:50 UTC	9	$86	68	67	+1	Down	+$11	03-18 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:00 UTC	7	$85	226	225	+1	Down	+$15	03-17 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:35 UTC	9	$82	543	252	+291	Down	-$52	03-13 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:15 UTC	4	$81	99	85	+15	Down	+$14	02-16 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:50 UTC	9	$80	134	133	+1	Down	+$6	03-12 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:50 UTC	14	$77	100	89	+10	Up	+$7	02-16 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:55 UTC	7	$77	239	238	+1	Up	+$16	03-11 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:45 UTC	9	$75	95	84	+11	Up	-$5	03-11 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 03:30 UTC	23	$74	133	97	+36	Up	+$2	03-11 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:30 UTC	3	$72	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	02-18 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:15 UTC	9	$69	61	60	+1	Down	$0	03-18 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:30 UTC	12	$69	78	78	+1	Down	+$20	03-18 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:30 UTC	21	$67	55	54	+1	Up	+$11	02-19 05:35
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$67	37	37	+0	Yes	+$7	10-28 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:10 UTC	10	$65	77	65	+13	Up	+$2	03-18 05:14
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	2	$65	45	45	+0	BC.Game Esports	+$25	10-15 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:50 UTC	8	$65	51	50	+1	Up	+$4	03-17 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 04:05 UTC	14	$65	64	63	+1	Down	+$1	03-11 04:07
lol deer ff15 2026 02 12	35	$63	36	36	+0	Deer Gaming	-$2	02-12 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x316a36…
10-29 14:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2df492…
10-29 14:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xec770f…
10-29 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc22012…
10-29 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf3223c…
10-29 14:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x7fe4cb…
10-29 14:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xed12cd…
10-29 14:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x97a6f9…
10-29 14:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd30e19…
10-29 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xd32ae4…
10-29 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x81dcb3…
10-29 14:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xe3d2ea…
10-29 14:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x38f294…
10-29 14:05:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4672e9…
10-29 14:03:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x0dac9b…
10-29 14:03:41	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xff873a…
10-29 13:34:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x038c18…
10-28 14:46:50	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x354036…
10-28 14:44:38	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc9ce79…
10-28 06:04:41	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x27e4a2…
10-28 06:02:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x32ca11…
10-28 06:01:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc4721f…
10-28 06:00:05	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb7d6b6…
10-28 05:58:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1172dd…
10-28 05:56:34	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x0277d5…
10-15 18:11:58	cs2 mibr bcg 2026 10 15 dh2	BC.Game Esports	SELL	32	42¢	$14	0x34458d…
10-15 17:58:07	cs2 mibr bcg 2026 10 15 dh2	BC.Game Esports	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x037d87…
10-15 15:59:16	cs2 hero bcg 2026 10 15 total games 2pt5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2cebf0…
10-15 14:07:29	cs2 hero bcg 2026 10 15	BC.Game Esports	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3d6ccf…
10-15 14:07:16	cs2 hero bcg 2026 10 15 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7a2745…
10-15 14:05:17	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	BC.Game Esports	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xecd163…
10-15 04:10:43	cs2 mibr bcg 2026 10 15	BC.Game Esports	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xd1e1e7…
10-06 03:31:16	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xee6168…
10-06 03:31:03	Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xcf3e3e…
10-06 03:30:37	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdf7659…
10-06 03:29:58	Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x8ff357…
10-05 21:33:01	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8cc8a1…
10-05 21:32:29	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf390e6…
10-05 21:30:41	Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x621f59…
10-05 21:26:56	Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd1b24f…
09-22 21:31:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x560960…
07-03 16:55:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7bfe5f…
07-03 16:55:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x306b63…
07-03 16:51:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd82255…
04-29 06:04:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	No	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xb6626c…
04-27 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xdcc7e5…
04-27 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x248b80…
04-27 20:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd303aa…
04-27 20:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x8326f2…
04-27 20:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2e8d1c…
04-27 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x5a1261…
04-27 20:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc3eaf8…
04-27 20:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa6d8c9…
04-27 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0xe48968…
04-27 20:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2ea7e6…
04-27 20:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6b1539…
04-27 20:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xf431f8…
04-27 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5ce78…
04-27 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x02e9fe…
04-27 20:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xcfcec6…
04-27 20:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa5eb81…
04-27 20:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x44a00e…
04-27 20:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc81833…
04-27 20:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0ae77c…
04-27 20:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb85ed…
04-27 20:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6bf4e2…
04-27 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xed7261…
04-27 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x6a9e63…
04-27 20:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x876c5a…
04-27 20:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x4174f6…
04-27 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x83502e…
04-27 20:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x36efd8…
04-27 20:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x13ac93…
04-27 20:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x91b6bb…
04-27 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfd1f54…
04-27 20:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x69d7e7…
04-27 20:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3abb81…
04-27 20:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5aa53e…
04-27 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x15990e…
04-27 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6db67c…
04-27 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x984c0b…
04-27 20:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x97ebaf…
04-27 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfe2ebb…
04-27 20:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x4564c6…
04-27 20:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x96eb68…
04-27 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xa594a9…
04-27 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x71a001…
04-27 20:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xed221f…
04-27 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3e57bc…
04-27 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x496a5d…
04-27 20:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x245c69…
04-27 20:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x738b3a…
04-27 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x034634…
04-27 20:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xe1599d…
04-27 20:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd90b59…
04-27 20:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x2e2696…
04-27 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7746cd…
04-27 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x96e888…
04-27 20:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6db09b…
04-27 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcd9ed0…