Superficial-Vacation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 100% +$0

Other

21% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 11	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	03-11 01:43
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	1	$121	121	+121	open	—	03-25 02:06
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$121	121	+121	open	—	02-01 08:20
bitcoin above 82k on february 8	1	$121	121	+121	open	—	02-07 09:07
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-29 06:39
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-15 02:40
ethereum above 2200 on february 13	1	$119	119	+119	open	—	02-13 09:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 24	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-23 07:48
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-28 01:33
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-16 02:00
bitcoin above 86k on january 6	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	01-06 09:20
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	01-19 10:43
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-02 08:52
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 240plus	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	02-28 08:39
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	01-10 09:54
bitcoin above 58k on april 8	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-07 09:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-04 11:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 19	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-19 08:01
bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	06-06 10:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	06-02 02:41
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-16 09:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$102	103	+103	No	+$1	05-07 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-23 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-15 10:46
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-21 10:48
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	06-09 10:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$98	98	+98	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:11
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-13 02:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-30 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-26 06:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:40:03	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x74da33…
06-06 10:51:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x3283d4…
06-02 02:41:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfec9af…
05-23 03:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x33a6e0…
05-15 10:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8684fd…
05-11 03:11:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x78d7a6…
05-07 09:29:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xf1c788…
04-30 07:47:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4a4e1b…
04-26 06:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf58035…
04-26 06:21:02	Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04ca0c…
04-26 06:20:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1104a…
04-26 06:20:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,900	0¢	$4	0x34b3d1…
04-21 10:48:06	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xa1702a…
04-21 10:47:48	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dfa73…
04-21 10:47:36	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea6a5b…
04-21 10:46:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	1,580	0¢	$3	0x252471…
04-16 09:48:30	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 215 239	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa09789…
04-13 02:37:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xa38606…
04-13 02:37:33	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 10c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fb19f…
04-13 02:37:17	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x016d5f…
04-13 02:37:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	Yes	BUY	2,155	0¢	$4	0xa0bdb3…
04-07 09:05:29	bitcoin above 58k on april 8	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x95ca9d…
04-07 09:05:09	Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x239154…
04-07 09:05:03	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12e53d…
04-07 09:04:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xf162f1…
04-02 08:52:13	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1113df…
04-02 08:52:05	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43407b…
04-02 08:51:55	will ankimobile flashcards be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd44e83…
04-02 08:51:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$5	0xb666aa…
03-29 06:39:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe61f3…
03-29 06:39:14	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x20c46b…
03-25 02:06:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x36a12a…
03-19 08:02:29	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x557096…
03-19 08:02:17	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x716ece…
03-19 08:02:07	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x916003…
03-19 08:02:01	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfc1a3…
03-19 08:01:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 19	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x870bd9…
03-15 02:40:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x95f996…
03-11 01:43:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 11	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x565b4d…
03-04 11:17:47	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac98d3…
03-04 11:17:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x311ef3…
03-04 11:17:17	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x86c3ed…
02-28 08:39:43	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 240plus	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4cdd86…
02-28 08:38:49	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x308c6d…
02-28 08:38:23	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30c38e…
02-28 08:38:17	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x837542…
02-13 09:52:21	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc52384…
02-13 09:52:13	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb49f7…
02-13 09:52:03	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c708a…
02-07 09:07:37	bitcoin above 82k on february 8	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x883744…
02-01 08:20:20	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x3681f1…
01-28 01:33:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x2d8811…
01-23 07:48:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 24	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9e0d00…
01-19 10:43:20	bitcoin above 84k on january 20	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xfc21ad…
01-16 02:00:42	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x01901b…
01-10 09:54:20	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x620bfd…
01-06 09:20:25	bitcoin above 86k on january 6	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x80f280…
01-06 09:20:13	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7515b…
01-06 09:20:07	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f99fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	36	$7.01K	3,610	04-16 13:54
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	32	$596	2,086	06-09 13:41
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	32	$532	1,400	04-26 12:29
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	30	$69.7K	1,418	06-02 00:15
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	30	$2.12K	842	06-07 18:14
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	27	$594	1,876	06-09 11:31
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	25	$70.4K	1,335	05-09 08:56
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	25	$11.5K	6,900	04-27 17:55