Full-Organising — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 11-01 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Sports

79% 18% -$24

Other

14% 25% -$6

Politics

6% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes		+12	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-31 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	2	$8	25	0	+25	No	-$8	06-01 18:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$5	05-09 19:25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	05-23 09:13
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	1	$5	5	0	+5	Usyk	+$0	05-23 09:13
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	05-24 17:36
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$3	9	0	+9	England	-$3	07-11 21:05
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	05-24 17:37
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-24 18:40
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	11-01 18:22
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	06-23 18:33
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	07-11 08:26
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	05-23 19:56
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Colapinto	+$1	05-24 17:37
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$2	6	0	+6	Max Holloway	-$2	07-11 08:26
f1 australian grand prix winner norris 2026 03 07	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-06 16:16
f1 australian grand prix red flag 2026 03 07	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-06 16:17
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	10-31 08:11
f1 british grand prix h2h norris vs piastri 2026 07 05	1	$1	2	0	+2	Norris	-$1	07-02 14:45
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	10-31 08:12
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-24 17:47
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	+$8	10-31 08:11
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-28 14:38
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	10-24 17:48
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-24 17:48
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-31 08:11
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-24 17:47
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	06-13 15:21
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	07-18 07:21
f1 austrian grand prix h2h russell vs antonelli 2026 06 28	1	$1	2	0	+2	Russell	-$1	06-23 18:35
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	1	$1	6	0	+6	Mauricio Ruffy	-$1	06-11 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:22:18	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb8c3ee…
10-31 08:12:01	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1b300f…
10-31 08:11:57	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb8430a…
10-31 08:11:37	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xba7d2f…
10-31 08:11:28	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x120cd1…
10-24 18:40:26	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4e96b3…
10-24 17:48:18	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb7935d…
10-24 17:48:12	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e12a7…
10-24 17:47:54	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x82f896…
10-24 17:47:50	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaae2c6…
07-18 07:21:10	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x340c52…
07-11 21:06:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x764001…
07-11 21:05:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4c2f43…
07-11 11:12:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0ad44f…
07-11 08:26:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbd9a3d…
07-11 08:26:08	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7d1c73…
07-02 14:45:35	f1 british grand prix h2h norris vs piastri 2026 07 05	Piastri	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c1aeb…
06-28 14:38:20	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3919b8…
06-28 14:38:16	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3f4423…
06-27 10:54:26	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x90c7f7…
06-27 10:54:22	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x533b98…
06-23 18:35:10	f1 austrian grand prix h2h russell vs antonelli 2026 06 28	Antonelli	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1ce72d…
06-23 18:35:05	f1 austrian grand prix h2h leclerc vs hamilton 2026 06 28	Hamilton	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x922911…
06-23 18:33:28	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1152ed…
06-13 15:21:21	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x60cf14…
06-11 18:24:58	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9e3b72…
06-11 18:24:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x65c08f…
06-11 18:23:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc72c62…
06-01 18:07:00	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x683bfb…
06-01 18:06:54	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x41ee88…
05-24 17:37:50	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x64ff73…
05-24 17:37:27	Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?	Colapinto	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6ccd50…
05-24 17:36:47	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaf37b4…
05-24 17:36:27	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd0bb08…
05-23 19:56:04	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9130ab…
05-23 09:14:29	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf0297…
05-23 09:14:10	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf73766…
05-23 09:13:54	Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x529fd0…
05-23 09:13:14	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x093929…
05-09 19:25:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe58baa…
03-06 16:17:13	f1 australian grand prix red flag 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc97100…
03-06 16:16:29	f1 australian grand prix winner norris 2026 03 07	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x23b7dc…
03-05 14:14:51	f1 australian grand prix winner norris 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb45bac…
03-05 14:14:41	f1 australian grand prix winner hamilton 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa937f6…
03-05 14:14:39	f1 australian grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x399a42…