Alarmed-Coleslaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,450

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 100% +$0

Other

16% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-68

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes		-6	$-2	30¢	$-2	$-0	06-08 13:57
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$2	24¢	$1	$-1	06-09 09:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 92k on january 15	2	$601	302	302	+0	open	—	01-15 08:50
will hyperliquid hit 30 in january	3	$440	466	466	+0	open	—	01-27 22:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-05 14:48
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$199	233	233	+0	open	—	01-29 18:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$135	366	0	+366	open	—	01-21 15:08
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$113	172	84	+88	open	—	01-28 15:52
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	2	$105	128	0	+128	open	—	01-25 11:46
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-14 21:36
will hyperliquid hit 34 in january	3	$94	84	84	+0	open	—	01-28 06:19
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	4	$87	90	90	+0	open	—	01-20 17:07
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	03-21 23:06
nba lal det 2026 03 23	3	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	03-24 03:27
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$62	47	47	+0	open	—	05-03 06:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	2	$61	41	41	+0	open	—	01-21 17:07
will nflx reach 105 in march	2	$61	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 18:56
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	6	$54	177	112	+65	open	—	02-17 12:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	2	$53	38	38	+0	open	—	01-21 20:42
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$51	102	0	+102	Knicks	$-51	05-04 22:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	1	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	01-15 17:29
bitcoin 15 daily candle in 2026	2	$47	36	36	+0	open	—	02-05 22:20
ethereum above 2900 on january 23	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	01-23 19:37
rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 ita	3	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	03-07 21:15
nba lal det 2026 03 23 spread away 2pt5	4	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 03:27
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	01-28 06:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	03-12 19:17
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	03-22 20:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 20	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	01-20 16:59
rusixnat sco fra 2026 03 07 fra	3	$34	48	0	+48	open	—	03-07 15:18
rusixnat ire wal 2026 03 06 ire	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 22:30
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	01-31 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:18:54	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x239d7e…
06-08 13:57:42	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x6e5a05…
05-25 11:32:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6409df…
05-25 11:32:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x16fa0f…
05-16 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x41d9a1…
05-12 20:15:34	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x39a431…
05-05 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc597db…
05-04 22:32:14	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x8aa15d…
05-04 17:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74b12e…
05-04 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x6cb2aa…
05-04 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfbd023…
05-04 11:12:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x12f612…
05-04 08:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x495e55…
05-04 07:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4b1cec…
05-03 06:36:16	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x50bcdd…
05-02 21:40:22	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x6383af…
05-02 21:40:18	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x519c8b…
05-01 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x638718…
04-30 21:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x63acfa…
04-30 20:27:42	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe083ce…
04-29 22:42:16	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Magic	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x854be8…
04-29 10:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb389d5…
04-29 06:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd61b81…
04-29 06:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3c2b3c…
04-27 08:53:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x638b92…
04-26 20:42:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x17d5c3…
04-26 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1b37e8…
04-25 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x56f5fa…
04-25 17:29:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xebcaa0…
04-25 17:28:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf29d09…
04-25 17:28:08	Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xda8745…
04-25 17:27:24	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x70f439…
04-23 22:19:00	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 total 220pt5	Over	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa91502…
04-23 22:17:54	mlb nyy bos 2026 04 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0c9fc1…
04-23 22:16:56	Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erel	Blaise Bicknell	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbb9ca4…
04-23 22:16:18	New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x680be3…
04-23 22:15:58	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x77ec36…
04-23 15:26:30	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3afa73…
04-20 14:00:54	btc updown 5m 1776693600	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x535e94…
04-20 13:38:20	btc updown 5m 1776692100	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xce22db…
04-20 11:52:18	btc updown 5m 1776685800	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1db489…
04-20 11:49:08	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfa6ce7…
04-20 10:22:34	btc updown 5m 1776680400	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4ce07c…
04-19 07:23:22	ethereum above 2300 on april 19	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb9c165…
04-19 07:23:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xc003bc…
04-19 07:22:58	ethereum above 2200 on april 19	No	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x005048…
04-19 07:12:56	ethereum above 2000 on april 19	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2ce66d…
04-17 20:54:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xa6a133…
04-17 16:30:04	mlb atl phi 2026 04 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x952573…
04-17 16:29:40	atp norrie jodar 2026 04 17	Cameron Norrie	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x58349d…
04-17 16:28:58	wta swiatek andreev 2026 04 17	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x489187…
04-17 16:20:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 18	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa56a8c…
04-17 16:20:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7bb3c2…
04-17 16:20:06	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1f04dd…
04-17 15:27:48	btc updown 5m 1776439500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x00fdc8…
04-17 15:24:36	solana above 60 on april 17	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x63941a…
04-17 15:24:08	ethereum above 2200 on april 17	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x410435…
04-17 15:23:50	bitcoin above 74k on april 17	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x936807…
04-17 15:22:56	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	SELL	58	37¢	$22	0x06f705…
04-17 15:21:08	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7fe66d…
04-17 14:14:22	btc updown 5m 1776435000	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x00582a…
04-17 11:01:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x831ec9…
04-17 10:11:00	ethereum above 2000 on april 17	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x30430c…
04-16 17:37:34	btc updown 5m 1776360900	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x89a994…
04-16 17:34:30	btc updown 5m 1776360600	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2e2fe3…
04-16 16:49:46	btc updown 5m 1776357900	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7ba140…
04-16 16:40:50	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xb12a61…
04-16 16:40:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x97fc03…
04-16 13:12:38	btc updown 5m 1776345000	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x31d56b…
04-16 11:58:46	solana above 60 on april 16	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa555ab…
04-16 11:58:20	ethereum above 2000 on april 16	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xcdaae7…
04-16 11:58:02	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xaf8c5a…
04-16 10:01:18	ethereum above 2000 on april 16	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf27822…
04-15 12:17:44	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x3307c0…
04-14 16:43:40	btc updown 5m 1776184800	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd259e2…
04-14 16:26:05	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x73dbae…
04-14 15:58:39	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x09f368…
04-14 13:59:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x26b7d0…
04-14 12:43:15	ethereum above 2000 on april 14	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x046d80…
04-14 11:46:43	solana above 70 on april 14	No	BUY	1,515	0¢	$2	0xd04d72…
04-14 11:42:23	btc updown 5m 1776166800	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7fb462…
04-14 07:58:17	btc updown 5m 1776153300	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x192c04…
04-07 17:28:41	ethereum above 1800 on april 8	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8d0c9d…
04-07 17:27:41	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x585122…
04-07 17:24:45	bitcoin above 68k on april 7	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x00e3af…
04-07 17:23:05	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x2a00cb…
04-06 11:48:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x507a1e…
04-05 21:13:51	xrp above 1 on april 6	No	BUY	1,039	0¢	$2	0x75ef8b…
04-05 21:12:53	bitcoin above 58k on april 6	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf47ad7…
04-04 12:04:45	rueuchamp har sal 2026 04 04 har	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9a1260…
04-04 12:04:37	rueuchamp gla bul 2026 04 04 bul	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2fe124…
04-04 12:04:27	rueuchamp tou2 sto 2026 04 04 sto	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x07d864…
03-31 17:45:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3d1762…
03-31 14:32:01	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc57c37…
03-31 14:31:57	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x01c46b…
03-31 14:31:49	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x031372…
03-31 14:29:55	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xa6c42f…
03-31 14:29:55	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	830	0¢	$1	0x7230ec…
03-29 07:59:20	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x682621…
03-28 22:06:18	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x336678…