Alarmed-Coleslaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,506

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-28 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$0

Other

19% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-68

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes		-6	$-2	15¢	$-1	+$1	06-08 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 92k on january 15	2	$601	302	302	+0	open	—	01-15 08:50
will hyperliquid hit 30 in january	3	$440	466	466	+0	open	—	01-27 22:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-05 14:48
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$199	233	233	+0	open	—	01-29 18:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$135	366	0	+366	open	—	01-21 15:08
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$113	172	84	+88	open	—	01-28 15:52
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	2	$105	128	0	+128	open	—	01-25 11:46
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-14 21:36
will hyperliquid hit 34 in january	3	$94	84	84	+0	open	—	01-28 06:19
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	4	$87	90	90	+0	open	—	01-20 17:07
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	03-21 23:06
nba lal det 2026 03 23	3	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	03-24 03:27
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$62	47	47	+0	open	—	05-03 06:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	2	$61	41	41	+0	open	—	01-21 17:07
will nflx reach 105 in march	2	$61	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 18:56
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	6	$54	177	112	+65	open	—	02-17 12:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	2	$53	38	38	+0	open	—	01-21 20:42
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$51	102	0	+102	Knicks	$-51	05-04 22:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	1	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	01-15 17:29
bitcoin 15 daily candle in 2026	2	$47	36	36	+0	open	—	02-05 22:20
ethereum above 2900 on january 23	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	01-23 19:37
rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 ita	3	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	03-07 21:15
nba lal det 2026 03 23 spread away 2pt5	4	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 03:27
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	01-28 06:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	03-12 19:17
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	03-22 20:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 20	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	01-20 16:59
rusixnat sco fra 2026 03 07 fra	3	$34	48	0	+48	open	—	03-07 15:18
rusixnat ire wal 2026 03 06 ire	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-06 22:30
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	01-31 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 16:38:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x0950fa…
06-28 13:50:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2,210	0¢	$2	0x399665…
06-28 13:50:13	bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1dbd2f…
06-23 10:12:14	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x93b5de…
06-23 10:12:02	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0daf64…
06-23 10:11:46	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x745372…
06-23 10:11:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xbb08f4…
06-23 10:10:52	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	133	8¢	$10	0xddf687…
06-22 09:18:29	ethereum above 1600 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	3,556	0¢	$6	0x4da982…
06-22 09:18:01	ethereum above 1800 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0xe26e7a…
06-22 09:00:10	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1d819d…
06-22 08:59:44	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe8a955…
06-22 08:59:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xec17be…
06-21 19:03:10	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd8ac33…
06-21 19:02:47	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x448d0b…
06-21 19:02:26	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5950ad…
06-21 15:44:13	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7c7cf8…
06-21 15:43:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x65892b…
06-20 22:49:13	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xed229c…
06-20 22:48:49	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2b2edf…
06-20 17:56:17	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x96fb27…
06-20 17:55:47	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb9ada4…
06-20 17:55:32	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc6ea49…
06-19 10:46:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcf043f…
06-19 08:13:14	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8e3028…
06-19 08:08:10	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x97c270…
06-19 06:27:50	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x74190f…
06-19 06:27:38	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0c42c0…
06-18 18:16:58	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x9c46d8…
06-18 18:16:32	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0ba865…
06-18 18:16:10	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5fcf40…
06-18 10:10:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9ef6cb…
06-18 10:09:31	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Czechia	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0ab791…
06-18 10:09:10	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x6f3313…
06-18 10:08:58	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdadcf1…
06-18 10:08:47	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x37cd9c…
06-17 07:36:34	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf3b9c1…
06-17 07:35:53	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1c8a7d…
06-17 07:35:43	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x186639…
06-17 07:35:04	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x417934…
06-17 07:34:34	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x61d266…
06-15 10:02:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x184514…
06-14 21:28:55	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x303393…
06-14 06:36:06	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2cbb29…
06-13 06:07:25	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xccce51…
06-13 06:03:13	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x77affd…
06-13 06:02:06	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xfd2b1c…
06-13 06:01:37	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x78d2ef…
06-12 09:35:45	ethereum above 1300 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb1dcac…
06-12 06:46:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2cc9b7…
06-12 06:43:30	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb794ab…
06-12 06:42:09	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x245e74…
06-11 22:17:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xac237c…
06-11 22:16:15	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x78a529…
06-11 22:15:54	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x396a5c…
06-10 11:35:18	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x301ee8…
06-09 09:18:54	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x239d7e…
06-08 13:57:42	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x6e5a05…
05-25 11:32:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6409df…
05-25 11:32:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x16fa0f…
05-16 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x41d9a1…
05-12 20:15:34	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x39a431…
05-05 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc597db…
05-04 22:32:14	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x8aa15d…
05-04 17:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74b12e…
05-04 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x6cb2aa…
05-04 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfbd023…
05-04 11:12:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x12f612…
05-04 08:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x495e55…
05-04 07:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4b1cec…
05-03 06:36:16	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x50bcdd…
05-02 21:40:22	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x6383af…
05-02 21:40:18	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x519c8b…
05-01 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x638718…
04-30 21:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x63acfa…
04-30 20:27:42	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe083ce…
04-29 22:42:16	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Magic	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x854be8…
04-29 10:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb389d5…
04-29 06:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd61b81…
04-29 06:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3c2b3c…
04-27 08:53:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x638b92…
04-26 20:42:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x17d5c3…
04-26 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1b37e8…
04-25 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x56f5fa…
04-25 17:29:26	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xebcaa0…
04-25 17:28:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf29d09…
04-25 17:28:08	Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xda8745…
04-25 17:27:24	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x70f439…
04-23 22:19:00	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 total 220pt5	Over	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa91502…
04-23 22:17:54	mlb nyy bos 2026 04 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0c9fc1…
04-23 22:16:56	Abidjan: Blaise Bicknell vs Yanki Erel	Blaise Bicknell	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbb9ca4…
04-23 22:16:18	New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x680be3…
04-23 22:15:58	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x77ec36…
04-23 15:26:30	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3afa73…
04-20 14:00:54	btc updown 5m 1776693600	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x535e94…
04-20 13:38:20	btc updown 5m 1776692100	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xce22db…
04-20 11:52:18	btc updown 5m 1776685800	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1db489…
04-20 11:49:08	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfa6ce7…
04-20 10:22:34	btc updown 5m 1776680400	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4ce07c…
04-19 07:23:22	ethereum above 2300 on april 19	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb9c165…