Defensive-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-21 16:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$94

Crypto

23% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$1.3K	1,349	+1,349	No	+$94	05-12 17:39
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	1	$908	909	+909	open	—	05-14 06:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 17?	1	$865	866	+866	open	—	05-17 16:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 18?	1	$666	667	+667	open	—	05-18 16:03
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $245 on May 18?	1	$600	601	+601	open	—	05-18 16:03
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?	1	$500	501	+501	open	—	05-17 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$500	500	+500	No	+$1	05-11 16:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$477	479	+479	open	—	05-15 16:13
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$437	440	+440	open	—	05-21 16:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$396	400	+400	open	—	05-21 16:04
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$370	371	+371	open	—	05-15 16:13
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 14?	1	$313	313	+313	open	—	05-14 06:19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 11?	1	$300	301	+301	No	+$1	05-11 16:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$269	293	+293	open	—	05-21 16:05
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$251	252	+252	open	—	05-15 16:14
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$204	205	+205	open	—	05-21 16:10
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 14?	1	$128	128	+128	open	—	05-14 06:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$119	119	+119	open	—	05-15 16:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 11?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-11 16:12
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 11?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-11 16:12
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 11?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-11 16:12
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 18?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-18 16:02
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 11?	1	$72	72	+72	No	+$0	05-11 16:10
Will Solana dip to $85 on May 11?	1	$70	70	+70	No	+$0	05-11 16:13
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $94 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$66	66	+66	open	—	05-15 16:14
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	05-21 16:11
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-15 16:15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-15 16:12
Will XRP reach $1.65 on May 11?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	05-11 16:11
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-21 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:11:32	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xb64e7c…
05-21 16:11:09	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x488395…
05-21 16:11:00	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x304716…
05-21 16:10:53	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	440	99¢	$437	0xf2b19f…
05-21 16:10:34	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$204	0xd23cde…
05-21 16:05:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	293	92¢	$269	0x6b6594…
05-21 16:04:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb3a643…
05-21 16:02:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa26389…
05-18 16:03:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 18?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$666	0xf780c5…
05-18 16:03:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $245 on May 18?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xdc5066…
05-18 16:02:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd1f57b…
05-17 16:43:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	866	100¢	$865	0xb5c041…
05-17 16:42:42	Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x561a11…
05-15 16:15:19	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcfb97c…
05-15 16:14:47	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x44d75b…
05-15 16:14:35	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $94 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xa16fc6…
05-15 16:14:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xceb7cb…
05-15 16:13:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	479	100¢	$477	0xe9e991…
05-15 16:13:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x761b46…
05-15 16:12:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4e0123…
05-15 16:12:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x47e952…
05-14 06:19:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x929d6b…
05-14 06:19:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	BUY	909	100¢	$908	0xe959fd…
05-14 06:19:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x284dcd…
05-12 17:39:16	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,349	93¢	$1,255	0x4119da…
05-11 16:13:05	Will Solana dip to $85 on May 11?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x06ca70…
05-11 16:12:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2077c8…
05-11 16:12:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8bd5c9…
05-11 16:12:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdd4e32…
05-11 16:12:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 11?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xe3037f…
05-11 16:11:06	Will XRP reach $1.65 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcf6daf…
05-11 16:10:56	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 11?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd2a74d…
05-11 16:09:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xef3def…
05-11 16:09:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd3d58d…
05-11 16:09:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x52b1ff…