Smug-Beginning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,341

lifetime

Volume

$38.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-3

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% 38% $-24

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 4pm et	10	$993	675	662	+13	open	—	04-01 21:00
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	7	$816	513	505	+8	open	—	04-01 15:04
bitcoin up or down february 25 12pm et	193	$708	743	720	+23	open	—	02-25 17:47
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 11am et	6	$613	352	348	+4	open	—	04-01 15:57
bitcoin up or down february 25 11am et	120	$567	626	626	+0	open	—	02-25 16:19
bitcoin up or down february 25 9am et	176	$552	638	320	+318	open	—	02-25 14:39
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 5am et	6	$540	436	425	+10	open	—	04-02 10:00
eth updown 5m 1774538700	5	$515	449	334	+115	open	—	03-26 15:29
ethereum up or down april 14 2026 4pm et	6	$507	365	359	+6	open	—	04-14 20:59
bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	23	$463	522	524	-2	open	—	01-14 00:52
btc updown 15m 1775626200	2	$437	357	339	+18	open	—	04-08 05:45
btc updown 5m 1774991100	3	$397	204	203	+1	open	—	03-31 21:09
sol updown 15m 1774471500	4	$397	259	257	+2	open	—	03-25 21:00
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 9am et	3	$314	345	197	+148	open	—	03-17 13:48
btc updown 15m 1773752400	7	$301	200	197	+3	open	—	03-17 13:14
btc updown 15m 1775048400	3	$298	192	187	+6	open	—	04-01 13:14
eth updown 5m 1774519800	2	$287	160	159	+1	open	—	03-26 10:15
btc updown 5m 1774937700	6	$265	167	164	+3	open	—	03-31 06:19
btc updown 5m 1775039400	6	$263	190	184	+6	open	—	04-01 10:35
bitcoin up or down january 20 10am et	7	$262	286	241	+45	open	—	01-20 15:59
eth updown 5m 1774993200	4	$261	184	158	+26	open	—	03-31 21:45
btc updown 5m 1774530600	2	$250	154	152	+2	open	—	03-26 13:15
btc updown 5m 1774912500	2	$247	195	192	+4	open	—	03-30 23:16
btc updown 5m 1774956300	2	$244	149	145	+4	open	—	03-31 11:30
eth updown 5m 1774534800	6	$244	152	151	+1	open	—	03-26 14:24
btc updown 5m 1775049300	2	$236	131	129	+2	open	—	04-01 13:19
eth updown 15m 1775026800	4	$234	133	132	+2	open	—	04-01 07:14
btc updown 5m 1774528500	2	$234	156	135	+21	open	—	03-26 12:40
btc updown 5m 1774938000	2	$233	137	135	+3	open	—	03-31 06:25
btc updown 5m 1775048700	2	$233	137	134	+3	open	—	04-01 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xa1c228…
06-01 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfc5a31…
06-01 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x712312…
05-30 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe256ca…
05-30 11:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdf3898…
05-30 11:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4ac1cd…
05-18 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x77373e…
05-18 15:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x51e47e…
05-18 15:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x98ab31…
05-18 15:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x395de5…
05-18 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7369b7…
05-18 14:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xe43a6c…
05-18 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x19b5e4…
05-18 14:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0xd6ea21…
05-18 14:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x35fe0e…
05-18 14:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2fe1e4…
05-18 14:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0x9f9426…
05-18 14:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x942d11…
05-12 14:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x034d15…
05-12 09:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2df681…
05-11 13:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xd1dfd8…
05-11 13:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x072a98…
05-11 13:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xfd6803…
05-11 12:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1c9d4b…
05-10 21:34:03	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x831724…
05-10 15:25:56	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x3462d7…
05-10 14:53:02	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3c0402…
05-10 14:51:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x230daa…
05-10 05:12:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x80800b…
05-09 09:45:38	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x12506b…
05-09 05:11:40	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xfa8386…
05-08 18:26:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd7121e…
05-08 18:10:49	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8c6190…
05-07 20:03:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x4489b1…
05-01 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x4ddd69…
05-01 17:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x236a59…
04-30 12:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8cc3cb…
04-30 12:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x084e47…
04-30 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xa32b32…
04-30 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4c0213…
04-30 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x835267…
04-30 11:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdcd019…
04-30 11:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6003f6…
04-30 07:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x0f0769…
04-30 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x931efd…
04-30 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x38bca9…
04-30 07:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3295ab…
04-30 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2ea632…
04-30 07:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2216f4…
04-30 07:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xabc139…
04-30 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0x8e2595…
04-30 07:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0fd25a…
04-30 07:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xefe279…
04-30 07:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x17fd12…
04-30 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2d87d3…
04-30 07:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x52ab13…
04-30 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1bb1dc…
04-30 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8e2515…
04-30 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	77	11¢	$8	0x51b785…
04-30 07:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4e12b7…
04-30 07:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x76aa9e…
04-30 07:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbdd05…
04-30 07:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1cf5a2…
04-30 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x45cf46…
04-30 07:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x121818…
04-30 07:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xafe1da…
04-30 07:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xcc0198…
04-30 07:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb0d038…
04-30 07:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa68b2f…
04-30 07:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfd3688…
04-30 07:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x88aee0…
04-30 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1b07e5…
04-30 07:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe779ff…
04-30 07:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1cc608…
04-30 07:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xab4119…
04-30 07:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78efc2…
04-30 07:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70dc5f…
04-30 07:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7e7266…
04-30 06:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5c2e4e…
04-30 06:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0xadc500…
04-30 06:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6038fd…
04-30 06:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ad748…
04-30 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x18b5ff…
04-30 06:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x41da06…
04-30 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6254c3…
04-30 06:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x872776…
04-30 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a5ff5…
04-30 06:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	34	18¢	$6	0xb4ee79…
04-30 06:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x531b28…
04-30 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x062430…
04-30 06:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc23e8c…
04-30 06:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1a60ed…
04-30 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe7ec1…
04-30 06:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeca7ee…
04-30 06:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xfd70d1…
04-30 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x757521…
04-30 06:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x40fcee…
04-30 06:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x446bed…
04-30 06:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7e5ce4…
04-30 06:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5720ea…