Parched-Collapse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,243

lifetime

Volume

$90.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-11 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 59% $-3,056

Other

27% — —

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 857 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	52	$22.7K	266,008	266,008	+0	open	—	04-30 23:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$17.6K	9,756	9,756	+0	open	—	04-21 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	39	$6.1K	3,994	3,994	+0	Down	+$271	05-09 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	42	$5.3K	17,771	3,383	+14,389	Down	$-2,114	05-09 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	14	$2.1K	1,679	1,175	+504	Up	+$237	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	23	$1.8K	7,395	7,395	+0	Up	$-829	05-09 22:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$1.8K	19,146	7,484	+11,662	open	—	05-11 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	17	$1.7K	2,146	425	+1,721	Up	+$237	05-09 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	13	$1.6K	2,147	797	+1,350	Up	+$770	05-09 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	67	$1.6K	1,801	853	+948	Up	+$250	05-09 23:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.6K	864	864	+0	open	—	04-30 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	13	$1.6K	1,972	898	+1,074	Down	$-1,237	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$1.3K	845	845	+0	Down	+$145	05-09 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$56	05-10 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	13	$1.3K	1,796	119	+1,676	Down	$-422	05-09 23:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$1.3K	771	771	+0	open	—	04-26 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	37	$1.2K	875	875	+0	Down	+$557	05-10 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	47	$1.1K	953	953	+0	Down	+$157	05-10 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$960	1,139	524	+615	Up	+$175	05-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	9	$929	1,147	548	+599	Down	+$328	05-09 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	116	$800	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	26	$723	969	369	+600	Up	$-244	05-10 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	20	$705	653	653	+0	Down	+$105	05-09 23:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$677	345	345	+0	open	—	04-30 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$662	876	539	+337	Down	$-201	05-10 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$640	1,484	436	+1,049	Down	+$40	05-09 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	6	$600	1,288	0	+1,288	Up	$-600	05-10 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	58	$561	692	422	+270	Up	+$216	05-10 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$434	508	265	+243	Up	+$56	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$433	271	271	+0	Up	+$33	05-10 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:57:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,671	6¢	$273	0x9a302a…
05-11 20:55:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xcb49d1…
05-11 20:48:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,976	5¢	$370	0x1f010e…
05-10 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x81da41…
05-10 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x4092b3…
05-10 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x1972d3…
05-10 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xf2012b…
05-10 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xdd50b4…
05-10 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xbeb4ec…
05-10 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xbe9f15…
05-10 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	86	35¢	$30	0x7f363c…
05-10 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xf4fcd8…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xfcb41c…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xf9aa60…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x9b080a…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x7d314e…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0x517ace…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x060994…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x05bd22…
05-10 13:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x0024fe…
05-10 13:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xb50187…
05-10 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x6bb803…
05-10 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xf0972b…
05-10 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xe85c50…
05-10 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc27494…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc30c41…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xaf4319…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xa48d95…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x6e2c0a…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4f82c4…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3e8c0d…
05-10 13:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x24cc7c…
05-10 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xfad984…
05-10 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	217	7¢	$15	0xdec617…
05-10 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xaebf06…
05-10 13:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x746435…
05-10 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	281	60¢	$169	0x4595d6…
05-10 13:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb1eec…
05-10 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x57e940…
05-10 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x105ea5…
05-10 13:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x48940b…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xceeaca…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xce020c…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc07e7…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xbe36ed…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbc9bd6…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	65¢	$31	0xb7f2e1…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x71bfe5…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x6aeb44…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x666e9c…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x4fd875…
05-10 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x07473c…
05-10 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xe3eeb2…
05-10 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	181	63¢	$114	0xaf8f28…
05-10 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x4fff1e…
05-10 05:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x83e723…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xcba18e…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x93bb83…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x67daec…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2d15ef…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2aa1a4…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x26511e…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x025192…
05-10 05:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf06441…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xf2012b…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0xeb8a38…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xccb78a…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xc09df9…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa5a118…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x8aba3d…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x5b6ee4…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x420089…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x3b65cd…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x35f0a7…
05-10 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x2fd1ae…
05-10 05:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	400	38¢	$151	0x466190…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xd5b30a…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9513a8…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0x8fb55f…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x8c3249…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x63d894…
05-10 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	126	80¢	$101	0x0ef12d…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xaea90d…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xa1e582…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9dd170…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8ee373…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0x8bb121…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x72c75e…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x408865…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3e6515…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x32554d…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x13862f…
05-10 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0ca64d…
05-10 05:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x232abc…
05-10 04:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x00a63a…
05-10 04:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	122	56¢	$68	0x39daa4…
05-10 04:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf8a304…
05-10 04:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe80741…
05-10 04:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa5cd5c…
05-10 04:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	168	54¢	$91	0x63e1f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	66	$113.8K	3,151	05-26 15:05
Mixed-Journal 0x2fe7…42c1	61	$150.4K	6,275	06-01 00:47
Hard-To-Find-Croup 0xf22f…d06e	61	$73.2K	14,030	05-10 13:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	61	$64.1K	2,750	05-10 13:39
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	61	$48.1K	2,946	05-10 13:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	61	$44.8K	3,033	05-10 13:39
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	61	$39.9K	2,600	05-10 13:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	61	$39.4K	453	05-10 13:39