Fumbling-Rap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-07 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% $-22

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1772535600	2	$59	40	39	+1	open	—	03-03 11:04
eth updown 5m 1772538600	3	$58	79	55	+24	open	—	03-03 11:53
eth updown 5m 1772536800	2	$53	36	35	+1	open	—	03-03 11:23
eth updown 5m 1772532600	2	$52	35	34	+1	open	—	03-03 10:15
btc updown 5m 1772100300	4	$47	70	69	+1	open	—	02-26 10:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$15	05-05 02:15
eth updown 5m 1772534700	2	$43	30	29	+0	open	—	03-03 10:47
eth updown 5m 1772531400	3	$38	29	28	+0	open	—	03-03 09:55
eth updown 5m 1772174700	2	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	02-27 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$33	22	22	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 03:30
eth updown 5m 1772120700	4	$33	29	29	+0	open	—	02-26 15:50
eth updown 5m 1772533200	2	$32	22	21	+0	open	—	03-03 10:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 03:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 05:35
eth updown 5m 1772539800	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-03 12:13
eth updown 5m 1772472600	2	$29	37	37	+1	open	—	03-02 17:33
eth updown 5m 1772538000	2	$29	20	19	+0	open	—	03-03 11:45
eth updown 5m 1772537400	2	$29	20	19	+0	open	—	03-03 11:35
eth updown 5m 1772537700	2	$29	20	19	+0	open	—	03-03 11:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 04:27
eth updown 5m 1772174100	2	$28	20	19	+0	open	—	02-27 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$28	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 07:13
btc updown 5m 1772091900	3	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	02-26 07:48
eth updown 5m 1772530500	4	$27	20	19	+0	open	—	03-03 09:40
eth updown 5m 1772172900	2	$26	20	19	+0	open	—	02-27 06:19
btc updown 5m 1772098200	2	$26	18	17	+0	open	—	02-26 09:33
btc updown 5m 1772101800	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	02-26 10:34
eth updown 5m 1772532900	2	$26	19	18	+0	open	—	03-03 10:17
btc updown 5m 1772100900	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	02-26 10:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xea607f…
05-07 02:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x8875fc…
05-07 02:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x464127…
05-07 02:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3bb233…
05-07 02:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbef226…
05-07 02:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xba457d…
05-07 02:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82618e…
05-07 02:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4baf9d…
05-05 08:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x08be62…
05-05 08:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x112e54…
05-05 08:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x172824…
05-05 08:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe6da0b…
05-05 08:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa8c173…
05-05 08:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x3afc9f…
05-05 08:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa21b2d…
05-05 08:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb7ae45…
05-05 07:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xeb23a8…
05-05 07:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x4f11d1…
05-05 07:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc52543…
05-05 07:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x18d494…
05-05 07:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x052598…
05-05 07:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xae3886…
05-05 07:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa4ad23…
05-05 07:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xfa06ab…
05-05 07:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe5a3a6…
05-05 07:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8b5d6b…
05-05 07:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x912828…
05-05 07:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35c5b2…
05-05 07:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0x323115…
05-05 07:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x17556d…
05-05 06:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x2d47c9…
05-05 05:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xaaf701…
05-05 05:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf1f178…
05-05 05:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x30d24a…
05-05 05:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1e15de…
05-05 04:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x71287f…
05-05 04:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x276e57…
05-05 04:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x64b407…
05-05 04:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd12c1d…
05-05 04:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd0b33b…
05-05 03:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xc5aa60…
05-05 03:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$22	0x898f52…
05-05 03:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x88e188…
05-05 03:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x65ad95…
05-05 03:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xaace06…
05-05 02:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x0bdd0a…
05-05 02:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x6a4611…
05-05 02:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x28512e…
05-05 02:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe733ec…
05-05 02:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xbc8fd9…
05-04 18:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xf0610b…
05-04 18:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x815650…
03-03 12:33:35	eth updown 5m 1772541000	Up	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x5694f9…
03-03 12:31:17	eth updown 5m 1772541000	Up	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x34efc7…
03-03 12:30:01	eth updown 5m 1772540700	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xac4f3d…
03-03 12:23:55	eth updown 5m 1772540700	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x755681…
03-03 12:23:15	eth updown 5m 1772540400	Up	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0xdcb143…
03-03 12:18:15	eth updown 5m 1772540400	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x5c6bd5…
03-03 12:17:45	eth updown 5m 1772540100	Up	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x307a65…
03-03 12:16:33	eth updown 5m 1772540100	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x78b525…
03-03 12:15:47	eth updown 5m 1772540100	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1bba80…
03-03 12:14:49	eth updown 5m 1772540100	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xbcae9e…
03-03 12:13:07	eth updown 5m 1772539800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeedb00…
03-03 12:13:07	eth updown 5m 1772539800	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc6961c…
03-03 12:13:07	eth updown 5m 1772539800	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x09bc3f…
03-03 12:12:53	eth updown 5m 1772540100	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x939152…
03-03 12:09:05	eth updown 5m 1772539800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9c0528…
03-03 12:08:39	eth updown 5m 1772539500	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa8c75a…
03-03 12:04:23	eth updown 5m 1772539500	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x23312d…
03-03 12:04:07	eth updown 5m 1772539200	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x3cf979…
03-03 11:59:29	eth updown 5m 1772539200	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa2be7c…
03-03 11:59:11	eth updown 5m 1772538900	Up	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x8e2cf8…
03-03 11:58:39	eth updown 5m 1772538900	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa31b5b…
03-03 11:58:09	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x2bf4e0…
03-03 11:55:25	eth updown 5m 1772538900	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdee5c4…
03-03 11:53:47	eth updown 5m 1772538600	Up	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xa4d5af…
03-03 11:53:29	eth updown 5m 1772538600	Up	SELL	55	35¢	$20	0x9bbfee…
03-03 11:50:55	eth updown 5m 1772538600	Up	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xf4bcbe…
03-03 11:45:03	eth updown 5m 1772538000	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x2d2e11…
03-03 11:41:49	eth updown 5m 1772538300	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x0a6ccb…
03-03 11:39:09	eth updown 5m 1772537700	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x8589bc…
03-03 11:35:55	eth updown 5m 1772538000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4d3ce0…
03-03 11:35:03	eth updown 5m 1772537400	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x624193…
03-03 11:30:37	eth updown 5m 1772537700	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd55ae6…
03-03 11:25:49	eth updown 5m 1772537400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe3b699…
03-03 11:23:57	eth updown 5m 1772537100	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xeddeb4…
03-03 11:23:29	eth updown 5m 1772536800	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x0036f0…
03-03 11:17:51	eth updown 5m 1772536500	Up	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x580368…
03-03 11:17:11	eth updown 5m 1772536800	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xc0d923…
03-03 11:16:55	eth updown 5m 1772536500	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfbe522…
03-03 11:14:53	eth updown 5m 1772536500	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x13f2ef…
03-03 11:14:15	eth updown 5m 1772536200	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x498fbd…
03-03 11:08:27	eth updown 5m 1772536200	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeeb198…
03-03 11:07:47	eth updown 5m 1772535900	Up	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x6d3365…
03-03 11:04:45	eth updown 5m 1772535600	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xf4c35b…
03-03 11:04:01	eth updown 5m 1772535900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x84ca89…
03-03 10:58:31	eth updown 5m 1772535600	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7d7d26…
03-03 10:57:49	eth updown 5m 1772535300	Up	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0xd7525f…
03-03 10:52:39	eth updown 5m 1772535300	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x04a7cf…
03-03 10:51:55	eth updown 5m 1772535000	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa7dfef…