Aromatic-Litmus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

1,018

Trades

1,103

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-26 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 72% +$118

Politics

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$42	70	70	+0	Yes	+$5	10-25 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$3	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	10-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$4	05-04 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	05-03 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$4	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-30 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-29 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-29 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	10-02 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-29 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$6	14	6	+7	Up	-$6	06-01 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	06-01 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-20 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:20 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	07-17 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:20 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	07-02 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	07-21 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-17 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	07-15 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 17:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-07 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:55 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-01 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:25 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-23 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:10 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	07-02 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 01:00 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	07-02 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 23:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	07-17 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	-$5	07-20 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:25 UTC	3	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	07-17 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x3531ec…
10-26 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe22f3d…
10-26 13:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x0d8102…
10-25 23:32:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x26a0f5…
10-25 22:58:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x046c88…
10-25 22:54:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x78c915…
10-25 22:53:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x6cf276…
10-25 20:10:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x903cae…
10-23 19:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6de67a…
10-23 19:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe755a6…
10-23 17:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3e5e2d…
10-23 16:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc5f3b3…
10-23 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe14f9b…
10-23 14:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4af3d7…
10-23 13:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0d6a44…
10-23 13:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x21af16…
10-23 03:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x862b0e…
10-23 00:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9c7ce1…
10-22 23:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0545d1…
10-22 22:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9af470…
10-22 21:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x71674d…
10-22 18:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbda494…
10-22 17:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xfca705…
10-22 17:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6802fb…
10-22 16:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5b2ec4…
10-22 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6300e2…
10-22 14:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x797c83…
10-22 14:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc02d10…
10-22 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x42dce3…
10-22 12:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x1164fa…
10-22 11:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xed301d…
10-22 11:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x6bc451…
10-22 11:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x338dd1…
10-22 10:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfd8da8…
10-22 10:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x043eb6…
10-22 08:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x08a5f0…
10-22 07:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x414aa5…
10-22 04:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x98ddf5…
10-22 03:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbc03da…
10-22 02:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb270c2…
10-22 01:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6d59c8…
10-22 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5ec1a8…
10-21 21:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x252def…
10-21 19:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x21aaa7…
10-21 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xad2a14…
10-21 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x37bbf4…
10-21 19:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x616150…
10-21 19:09:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0a88c0…
10-21 18:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xded441…
10-21 17:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x39625e…
10-21 16:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfb1307…
10-21 15:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x17395b…
10-21 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x5bdb04…
10-21 13:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4c885a…
10-21 12:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xab6f41…
10-21 12:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xeeef3f…
10-21 12:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6a5563…
10-21 02:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7190c6…
10-20 23:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe0ea72…
10-20 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5b82eb…
10-20 19:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdde425…
10-20 17:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x0f8ff1…
10-20 17:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x5d206e…
10-20 13:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x35c494…
10-16 23:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbcc8fc…
10-16 23:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xa439df…
10-16 23:44:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x900658…
10-16 23:34:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6538b9…
10-16 22:59:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x89866d…
10-16 22:24:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9bfcf1…
10-16 22:19:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4271ab…
10-16 21:19:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x80b03f…
10-16 16:59:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdd42b8…
10-16 02:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8a77c9…
10-16 02:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x26a498…
10-16 00:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x49dbe3…
10-15 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xdc4996…
10-15 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x628ee2…
10-15 21:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x24e348…
10-15 19:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x530e01…
10-15 19:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x33958e…
10-15 18:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8ab2ad…
10-15 17:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xec69c5…
10-15 17:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x15ee49…
10-15 12:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe3c373…
10-14 23:24:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe3a056…
10-14 22:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf376f7…
10-14 22:04:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3ef624…
10-14 19:29:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc212b6…
10-14 19:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x5fa922…
10-14 19:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x950e49…
10-14 16:19:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x94fd0a…
10-14 14:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xb2ce9c…
10-13 23:49:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3048c3…
10-13 21:44:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5f3fa2…
10-13 21:39:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfae34c…
10-13 21:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2daef1…
10-13 20:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7a19ff…
10-13 19:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5839d2…
10-13 19:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x3b4b53…