Brown-Carotene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

434

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

72% 81% +$2

Crypto

21% 82% +$1

Politics

5% 89% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	5	$126	63	63	+0	No	+$0	10-12 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	5	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-20 01:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	07-20 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-31 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 10?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-10 12:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	3	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:33
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	3	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 08:08
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 22?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 19:13
Will Arthur Dixon advance from the CA-34 primary election?	5	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	06-04 03:20
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27?	4	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-27 20:19
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-23 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 26?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-26 11:05
xrp above 1pt3 on july 28 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:24
will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:10
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-30 09:31
bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 20?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 26?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 16:00
highest temperature in austin on april 19 2026 84 85f	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-19 13:10
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	08-13 15:54
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 23	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-27 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 21?	6	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:20:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6f06d5…
10-18 19:53:42	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe28383…
10-16 09:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x12e2dc…
10-13 06:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x530c3d…
10-13 01:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x56e68f…
10-12 13:59:17	Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb5e5bc…
10-12 10:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0x728cba…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0x22aba2…
10-11 21:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28c6e3…
10-11 21:10:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8468ff…
10-11 18:52:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x007901…
10-10 08:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9e1d03…
10-10 01:01:29	Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7fc2a2…
10-05 09:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xace4e3…
10-02 00:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x916617…
10-01 22:28:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x34b658…
09-28 04:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb3422f…
09-27 20:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x749832…
09-23 07:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3201c0…
09-23 03:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xf0ea3a…
09-23 01:07:31	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3e506b…
09-22 21:13:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x840ff1…
09-21 22:45:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x8dc3e6…
09-18 18:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc6c0dc…
09-18 01:30:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe717d7…
09-17 11:42:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2b8c09…
09-13 05:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4cbac1…
09-11 21:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x365e7e…
09-11 01:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcfd7fd…
09-10 20:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc28d8d…
09-07 17:27:54	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc36c1…
09-06 13:37:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x11c806…
09-06 08:07:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe69a4d…
09-05 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b87d4…
09-05 09:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9e4119…
09-05 04:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d6452…
09-04 21:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x324ff3…
09-04 15:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0d4a0f…
09-04 12:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7e4777…
09-04 01:36:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x72a386…
09-03 22:24:19	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0257ec…
09-03 07:44:42	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfa9bbb…
09-03 02:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x567dd1…
09-02 20:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x62c415…
09-02 11:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfbc2e8…
09-02 07:18:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb4af2b…
09-02 00:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa3340e…
09-01 08:18:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a62b6…
09-01 03:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x098398…
08-31 03:15:22	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x2d5952…
08-31 00:23:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe7b32d…
08-30 17:05:01	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdeadfb…
08-30 15:50:43	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfeadfe…
08-30 02:28:43	will bitcoin reach 79k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x725d79…
08-29 19:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xae0d37…
08-28 20:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9fe20…
08-28 04:55:43	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 67 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2366f6…
08-27 11:36:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x015ca0…
08-27 04:41:21	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x57fdf2…
08-26 22:40:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5f5390…
08-26 19:50:36	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2ef017…
08-26 11:35:00	bitcoin above 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1513c4…
08-26 10:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9fdbfe…
08-25 11:45:19	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdd149e…
08-25 02:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46ce3b…
08-25 01:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4fbc30…
08-24 14:12:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7609a9…
08-24 09:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x663404…
08-23 22:40:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x645e57…
08-23 22:25:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52e9a3…
08-14 19:45:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 14	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x00302a…
08-14 07:23:52	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98683c…
08-13 22:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaed160…
08-13 15:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb08b35…
08-13 08:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5debca…
08-12 23:45:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x09cadb…
08-12 23:04:03	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeebf79…
08-12 05:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9a56b…
08-12 01:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x406e53…
08-11 15:01:46	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4fe63f…
08-11 12:43:30	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9653e3…
08-10 21:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8cb592…
08-10 19:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c3f3d…
08-10 14:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xad3b03…
08-10 11:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd957e8…
08-09 12:05:52	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x48ecac…
08-09 06:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5c98ee…
08-09 03:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96826d…
08-09 03:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa154ea…
08-08 18:23:51	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39cbad…
08-08 07:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcc0f64…
08-08 03:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbbb269…
08-07 20:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x074ee8…
08-07 16:52:54	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb75c33…
08-07 11:16:40	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe52352…
08-07 09:40:04	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc82e9c…
08-06 07:21:11	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc05b5…
08-06 04:25:57	bitcoin above 58k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa712b5…
08-05 22:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x45511c…
08-05 19:51:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x624300…