Pertinent-Scaffold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$277

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$119

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-13 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

92% 36% -$16

Politics

8% 33% -$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+408	$329	14¢	$55	-$274	10-13 16:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,500	$30	2¢	$29	-$1	09-17 15:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+119	$31	15¢	$17	-$14	10-13 16:43
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,500	$5	1¢	$16	+$11	09-17 15:01
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	09-17 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$2.4K	1,342	1,334	+8	No	+$170	04-29 07:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$2.0K	1,613	1,595	+18	Yes	+$273	04-24 05:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	2	$986	541	537	+4	Yes	+$91	04-23 02:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$819	493	493	+0	No	+$79	04-22 15:39
Iran leadership change by December 31?	4	$491	1,000	592	+408	open	—	10-13 16:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$375	677	0	+677	Yes	-$375	04-29 23:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$320	250	239	+12	No	+$40	04-25 13:34
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$229	241	241	+0	Yes	+$192	09-17 14:49
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$218	127	127	+0	No	+$18	04-23 06:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$210	289	289	+0	open	—	05-05 11:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$137	19,542	0	+19,542	No	-$137	04-24 04:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$121	139	0	+139	No	-$121	05-04 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$104	895	188	+707	No	-$55	04-30 08:31
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$103	687	0	+687	Yes	-$103	05-05 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$96	1,072	1,031	+41	No	-$4	04-22 15:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$87	2,124	2,041	+83	No	-$13	04-22 15:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$69	238	119	+119	open	—	10-13 16:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$64	123	123	+0	No	+$37	04-22 15:22
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	1	$50	111	0	+111	No	-$50	09-17 14:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$44	111	107	+4	Yes	+$7	04-23 06:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$33	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$33	04-30 08:35
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$30	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	09-17 15:00
will wti reach 120 in september 2026	1	$25	528	0	+528	No	-$25	09-17 14:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$21	600	0	+600	No	-$21	04-30 08:31
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$18	1,221	0	+1,221	No	-$18	08-10 12:47
will wti reach 135 in september 2026	1	$15	798	0	+798	No	-$15	09-17 14:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$10	1,528	0	+1,528	No	-$10	04-18 11:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$5	600	0	+600	No	-$5	04-30 08:31
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	09-17 15:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	1,633	0	+1,633	No	-$5	04-18 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 16:43:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	119	16¢	$19	0x598f81…
10-13 16:43:00	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	392	11¢	$43	0x5f6f2e…
09-17 15:01:18	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xb9c001…
09-17 15:01:04	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x65bac9…
09-17 15:00:27	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$30	0x3c7aa9…
09-17 14:57:40	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,007	0¢	$3	0x8c56f4…
09-17 14:56:43	will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x20fe68…
09-17 14:56:21	will wti reach 120 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	528	5¢	$25	0x6fb48b…
09-17 14:55:25	will wti reach 135 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	798	2¢	$15	0x3f9d70…
09-17 14:51:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xfd61f2…
09-17 14:49:01	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	241	87¢	$211	0x8f31e9…
08-10 12:49:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	241	8¢	$18	0xfd109d…
08-10 12:49:34	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xf78282…
08-10 12:47:18	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,221	2¢	$18	0x71c957…
08-10 12:46:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xfdda80…
05-05 11:51:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	517	15¢	$78	0x7b55d3…
05-05 11:49:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	208	38¢	$79	0x039bb7…
05-05 11:47:58	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x0e3c8d…
05-05 11:46:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	171	15¢	$26	0xf074be…
05-05 11:44:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	38¢	$27	0xe37872…
05-04 16:04:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	139	87¢	$121	0x3e0c6a…
04-30 08:36:50	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0xf8e4a6…
04-30 08:35:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$33	0xb4971d…
04-30 08:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0xbfbeb4…
04-30 08:31:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$21	0xfb57be…
04-30 08:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$59	0x1bbc32…
04-29 23:27:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0xc54ac0…
04-29 23:23:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	259	56¢	$145	0x1fcd32…
04-29 23:22:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	418	55¢	$230	0x084958…
04-29 07:43:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	799	100¢	$795	0x9a81a3…
04-28 18:50:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	330	100¢	$328	0x19ee93…
04-28 16:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9255b…
04-26 10:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x959cfd…
04-26 09:52:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x95162b…
04-25 16:14:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xc90194…
04-25 13:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x897632…
04-24 05:07:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	239	73¢	$174	0x126a8b…
04-24 05:07:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	203	86¢	$175	0x1fd3a1…
04-24 05:07:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,411	73¢	$1,028	0x6a04f4…
04-24 04:45:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	257	1¢	$2	0xf7f58f…
04-23 06:28:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	243	58¢	$141	0x547416…
04-23 06:27:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	107	22¢	$24	0xaca41a…
04-23 06:27:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0xe45709…
04-23 02:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	345	65¢	$224	0xe65243…
04-23 02:43:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x0301f6…
04-23 02:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	514	65¢	$334	0xd577ad…
04-23 02:34:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x292adf…
04-23 02:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	537	100¢	$537	0x4459dc…
04-23 02:22:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	188	13¢	$24	0xac832d…
04-22 15:40:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	541	83¢	$449	0x44d1b2…
04-22 15:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	493	91¢	$449	0xa4e096…
04-22 15:24:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19,286	1¢	$135	0x0d173f…
04-22 15:22:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,031	4¢	$46	0xb85f0f…
04-22 15:22:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,041	2¢	$37	0xa56b9f…
04-22 15:22:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	41¢	$50	0x8a94e7…
04-22 09:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	206	67¢	$138	0x6d76ed…
04-19 10:21:34	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0x84b191…
04-19 10:17:50	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xad98dc…
04-19 10:16:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0x1a0c2f…
04-18 19:42:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xcea48e…
04-18 19:38:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	167	48¢	$80	0x19ee44…
04-18 19:37:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x090c2a…
04-18 11:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,528	1¢	$10	0xcaf8b8…
04-18 11:16:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x4113d7…
04-18 11:16:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,072	5¢	$50	0x1b07ef…
04-18 11:16:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,124	2¢	$50	0xa63789…
04-18 10:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	11¢	$13	0xd07204…
04-18 10:46:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xc0aba7…
04-18 10:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	195	10¢	$20	0x6ee3b2…
04-18 10:38:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,633	0¢	$5	0x42035b…
04-18 10:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	176	68¢	$120	0x0d0ced…