Charming-Waveform — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

2,431

Trades

3,811

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-27 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 74% +$299

Politics

3% 19% -$345

Other

2% 12% -$117

Sports

0% 17% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:40 UTC	3	$420	329	228	+101	Up	+$19	03-19 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:35 UTC	2	$407	212	211	+0	Down	+$7	03-19 14:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	16	$279	3,196	0	+3,196	Yes	-$279	05-12 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:45 UTC	4	$199	159	157	+2	Up	-$21	03-19 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$182	144	144	+0	Up	-$18	05-02 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 18:40 UTC	1	$150	185	0	+185	Up	+$35	03-16 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:10 UTC	1	$150	161	0	+161	Down	+$11	03-18 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC	2	$148	84	84	+0	Down	+$8	03-19 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:25 UTC	1	$130	160	0	+160	Up	+$30	03-09 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 20:10 UTC	1	$130	144	0	+144	Up	+$14	03-09 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:15 UTC	2	$130	158	0	+158	Down	+$6	03-03 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:45 UTC	1	$130	144	0	+144	Down	+$14	03-09 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	1	$120	134	0	+134	Down	+$14	03-16 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:25 UTC	2	$109	77	76	+1	Up	+$10	03-19 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	2	$104	63	57	+6	Up	-$10	03-19 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:05 UTC	2	$104	55	55	+0	Up	+$4	03-19 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:05 UTC	2	$102	62	61	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:10 UTC	3	$97	82	57	+25	Down	-$7	03-19 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:15 UTC	1	$80	89	0	+89	Down	+$9	03-15 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 18:55 UTC	2	$72	82	81	+1	Down	-$38	03-06 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:55 UTC	3	$70	146	0	+146	Up	-$70	02-26 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:05 UTC	4	$68	112	0	+112	Up	+$10	03-04 09:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:20 UTC	4	$56	100	0	+100	Up	+$44	03-04 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$54	48	48	+0	Down	-$6	10-26 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 11:10 UTC	1	$54	59	0	+59	Up	+$5	03-20 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	1	$50	64	0	+64	Up	+$14	03-04 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:25 UTC	1	$50	96	0	+96	Down	-$50	03-03 16:26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$50	176	0	+176	No	+$126	04-27 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:35 UTC	1	$50	68	0	+68	Up	+$18	03-06 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:15 UTC	1	$50	61	0	+61	Up	+$11	03-18 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9660f9…
10-26 19:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xacec06…
10-26 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x33f187…
10-26 16:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x6da533…
10-26 16:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5f8124…
10-26 16:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x53098c…
10-26 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x238e2e…
10-26 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xf908e3…
10-26 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7cf8a1…
10-26 16:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x16c4e3…
10-26 16:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x20a1d3…
10-26 16:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd5b27e…
10-26 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x8ed08c…
10-26 16:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1afb90…
10-26 16:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x0584ad…
10-26 16:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfedefa…
10-26 15:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x290f7a…
10-26 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0xc4f78f…
10-26 15:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdb2db4…
10-26 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x319d51…
10-26 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2478ef…
10-26 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x9e48ea…
10-26 14:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc572ae…
10-26 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc7898a…
10-26 13:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x138578…
10-26 13:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xee22d9…
10-26 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x0842d7…
10-26 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x185285…
10-26 13:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x88d94f…
10-25 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9032bd…
10-25 16:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc207be…
10-25 16:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9a6fea…
10-25 09:53:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x398045…
10-24 19:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x406f89…
10-24 19:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc0a22e…
10-23 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x6bf118…
10-23 15:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x0d3188…
10-23 14:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x16f10e…
10-23 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x19e4a1…
10-23 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf4d981…
10-23 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x55a85a…
10-23 14:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x87feb8…
10-23 14:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xb92235…
10-23 14:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x655504…
10-23 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xe8d954…
10-23 14:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb3ccfa…
10-23 14:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe661bc…
10-23 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xc91497…
10-23 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x04bdd5…
10-22 15:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2331ec…
10-22 15:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x39be91…
10-22 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4a6c43…
10-22 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe16528…
10-22 14:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x1b8aad…
10-22 14:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2230cd…
10-22 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xfec885…
10-22 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x59448b…
10-22 14:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x0f7ebf…
10-22 14:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb000eb…
10-22 14:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x317b5a…
10-22 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6e6513…
10-22 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xacd456…
10-22 13:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa937a4…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb19469…
10-22 11:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x799aac…
10-22 05:12:23	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xc8d4b8…
10-22 04:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	332	0¢	$1	0x0ac1eb…
10-22 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xbf7d6d…
10-22 04:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x368848…
10-21 18:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xf79a7b…
10-21 18:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x97a5bd…
10-21 14:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c7936…
10-21 13:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x553978…
10-21 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc55474…
10-21 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3b2d06…
10-21 13:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x4d22cf…
10-21 13:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6d9442…
10-21 13:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x162e2f…
10-21 13:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x423a9c…
10-21 13:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbcae62…
10-20 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb23d82…
10-20 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc139b5…
10-20 14:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x99b482…
10-20 14:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd5e626…
10-20 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x7d07fb…
10-20 14:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeb1be4…
10-20 13:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaf5bd5…
10-20 10:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x733509…
10-20 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x16f75f…
10-20 09:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x74a848…
10-19 20:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1e0064…
10-19 20:17:06	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xda995a…
10-19 17:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6ca66e…
10-19 17:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8d571…
10-19 13:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe46763…
10-19 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x35896a…
10-19 13:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b9b26…
10-19 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x37d0d9…
10-18 13:26:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x67ea7a…
10-14 13:18:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80d686…