Grotesque-Lumber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-28 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

97% 0% -$3,543

Crypto

2% 18% -$58

Politics

1% 0% -$76

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$4.0K	297	3,809	-3,512	Yes	-$21	04-12 19:29
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	18	$3.4K	7,204	0	+7,204	No	-$3,392	05-28 06:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$100	15,476	0	+15,476	No	-$100	04-14 16:12
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$50	2,252	0	+2,252	No	-$50	05-03 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	3	$32	23	22	+0	Down	+$13	03-17 20:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$30	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$30	04-14 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	2	$27	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	03-17 20:39
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	1	$26	3,250	0	+3,250	Yes	-$26	04-13 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	3	$23	33	31	+1	Up	$0	04-20 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:50 UTC	4	$21	154	0	+154	Up	-$21	04-20 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	4	$21	66	64	+2	Up	-$7	04-20 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	3	$18	77	13	+64	Down	-$6	03-17 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	3	$16	103	0	+103	Down	-$16	04-20 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:50 UTC	3	$15	68	0	+68	Down	-$15	03-17 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:45 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	03-17 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:05 UTC	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	04-20 19:09
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	05-21 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 06:24:11	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x86bb15…
05-27 22:11:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x316c6c…
05-27 20:57:20	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,510	33¢	$498	0x408bd3…
05-21 12:56:07	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa869e5…
05-18 07:18:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf4cb7e…
05-18 07:17:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,398	41¢	$573	0xbdebb4…
05-18 07:17:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0x9c3fef…
05-18 07:16:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	892	34¢	$300	0x688cd6…
05-09 19:01:45	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0xf3ef17…
05-09 11:45:09	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x437bba…
05-09 11:44:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x28b796…
05-09 06:00:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	816	61¢	$500	0xb5f5d7…
05-07 12:08:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0xb799cc…
05-07 12:08:26	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	984	61¢	$600	0xf5a661…
05-05 18:43:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	511	60¢	$306	0xcf0edf…
05-05 18:07:14	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	60¢	$67	0x2ab37e…
05-05 14:35:10	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf9d19f…
05-05 13:33:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	190	60¢	$114	0xde3aca…
05-03 14:28:34	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,252	2¢	$50	0x2b7834…
05-03 14:26:12	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	166	62¢	$103	0x73213a…
04-20 19:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc2131e…
04-20 19:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x864e2a…
04-20 19:02:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcf4fd3…
04-20 19:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x687ec7…
04-20 19:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xee706b…
04-20 18:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x55cae7…
04-20 18:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf7ac6b…
04-20 18:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x47d925…
04-20 18:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x87b1e9…
04-20 18:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x01ab10…
04-20 18:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa1338b…
04-20 18:49:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	64	9¢	$6	0x7ffb9b…
04-20 18:48:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x137692…
04-20 18:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x7681bb…
04-20 18:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x072fd0…
04-14 16:12:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$50	0x34d24e…
04-14 16:00:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0xfc7773…
04-14 15:59:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0xa1858d…
04-13 18:44:51	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	3,250	1¢	$26	0x022358…
04-12 19:29:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3,489	100¢	$3,478	0x696be1…
04-12 18:12:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	297	87¢	$258	0x96521b…
04-12 18:08:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x8682aa…
03-17 20:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0xef36d0…
03-17 20:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xbcb519…
03-17 20:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x6dae04…
03-17 20:56:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xf1cdcd…
03-17 20:54:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x0ce292…
03-17 20:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbc8db3…
03-17 20:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8d7a64…
03-17 20:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4dfb19…
03-17 20:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x281736…
03-17 20:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x146628…
03-17 20:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5258c8…
03-17 20:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0x4007e1…
03-17 20:36:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcbc992…
03-17 20:34:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x667105…