Knobby-Downturn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$4.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-02 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% -$3

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	11-02 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-31 17:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-30 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-29 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-28 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-27 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 25?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-25 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-22 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-20 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-17 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-16 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-15 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-14 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-12 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-11 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-08 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 7?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-07 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-07 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-05 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-03 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-02 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-01 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	09-28 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc8f268…
10-31 17:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9eb0ae…
10-30 16:30:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa9f33e…
10-29 10:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1af9b5…
10-28 08:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9d225e…
10-27 12:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfabec4…
10-26 10:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x118439…
10-25 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x36fca1…
10-22 10:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3ebab1…
10-20 08:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaee9ea…
10-19 10:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7b8664…
10-18 15:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6a513f…
10-17 16:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcb98bd…
10-16 16:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9f9812…
10-15 14:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4c4e9…
10-14 13:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x87b138…
10-13 11:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8ade94…
10-12 12:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c10b4…
10-11 09:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x99a683…
10-08 12:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x393b1a…
10-07 16:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3b39ff…
10-07 05:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfbebda…
10-05 09:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x83c80a…
10-03 10:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x39f0b8…
10-02 14:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x13de11…
10-01 13:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x803257…
09-30 07:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5c3b45…
09-28 14:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14d874…
09-27 11:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x65360d…
09-26 05:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2dcff7…
09-24 09:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe913f8…
09-23 10:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x0e8f52…
09-22 09:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb7fc28…
09-21 14:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1f4ba3…
09-20 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1a918c…
09-19 11:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbbb154…
09-18 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x90f10d…
09-17 04:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x82a04e…
09-16 09:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x186778…
09-15 14:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0688ae…
09-14 16:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3b99ba…
09-13 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x611afd…
09-11 09:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc4eb17…
09-10 09:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xefe8d7…
09-09 08:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2809f2…
09-08 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0b555d…
09-07 09:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe44bbb…
09-06 12:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x046d7c…
09-05 09:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x953893…
09-04 03:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xec2529…
09-02 08:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x507c8a…
08-30 14:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2372e9…
08-29 10:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4a6a8d…
08-28 10:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x025994…
08-27 09:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa0760d…
08-26 08:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x91fd1b…
08-25 09:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x232e1a…
08-24 15:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7bca14…
08-24 01:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6e6a95…
08-22 10:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4971bf…
08-21 09:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6b7a15…
08-20 12:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb8ead4…
08-18 09:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbbab99…
08-17 09:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x39ebb0…
08-16 14:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xba6cd1…
08-14 07:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1ea01a…
08-13 09:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2d7ebd…
08-12 09:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6240f1…
08-11 07:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x96eac1…
08-10 09:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc0d9bb…
08-09 07:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x534abe…
08-08 08:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc59ca9…
08-07 10:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc401f6…
08-06 08:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb0a74e…
08-05 08:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x67a35b…
08-04 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7a29a…
08-03 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83e28f…
08-02 06:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7a49a4…
08-01 07:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x579a55…
07-30 08:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x9b3a0b…
07-29 07:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x191986…
07-28 08:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x306884…
07-27 10:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe6afc6…
07-26 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x562421…
07-25 09:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb02c5d…
07-24 14:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb37597…
07-23 08:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23f085…
07-22 02:17:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc11d68…
07-21 06:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x161177…
07-20 12:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3a7267…
07-19 05:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d4146…
07-18 07:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79928e…
07-17 07:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x969411…
07-15 22:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x319297…
07-15 10:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x91f16c…
07-14 09:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ae489…
07-13 09:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde7209…
07-12 07:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad219f…
07-11 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfed0d4…
07-10 16:31:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf8d779…