Knowing-Believer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$336

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

4,005

Trades

5,209

lifetime

Volume

$33.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-29 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

84% 47% +$98

Sports

14% 46% +$171

Politics

1% 75% +$41

Crypto

0% 75% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Clippers		+5	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	10-28 11:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$203	159	159	+0	No	+$3	05-27 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$200	303	303	+0	No	+$0	06-14 22:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$199	232	145	+87	Yes	+$16	06-17 13:24
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	3	$111	96	96	+0	Yes	-$9	05-16 22:44
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$103	89	89	+0	Yes	+$3	06-10 11:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$88	81	81	+0	Yes	+$8	07-07 08:26
mlb chc kc 2026 08 09 hr alex bregman 0pt5	1	$59	64	0	+64	Under	+$5	08-09 12:24
PFC Nasaf vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 0.5	1	$56	62	0	+62	Over	+$6	09-04 11:14
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	2	$55	68	0	+68	G2 Esports	+$13	07-03 09:47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$51	196	0	+196	No	-$51	07-07 17:33
mlb hou sd 2026 08 09 hr ty france 0pt5	1	$48	55	0	+55	Under	+$7	08-09 19:21
wta chentin jone 2026 09 29	1	$47	54	0	+54	Emerson Jones	+$7	09-30 03:10
Kings vs. Spurs	1	$47	54	0	+54	Spurs	+$7	10-16 15:13
Bucks vs. Thunder	1	$46	58	0	+58	Bucks	-$46	10-07 08:07
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-09?	1	$45	64	0	+64	Yes	-$45	08-09 07:55
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)	1	$44	62	0	+62	HOTU	-$44	09-04 01:41
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-09-05?	1	$43	55	0	+55	No	+$12	09-05 11:54
cs2 6666 is 2026 08 08	2	$43	55	0	+55	Iberian Soul	+$12	08-08 13:26
Bucks vs. 76ers	1	$43	51	0	+51	76ers	+$8	10-24 02:57
lol g2 kc 2026 06 07	3	$43	82	0	+82	G2 Esports	-$43	06-07 17:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$42	80	0	+80	Yes	+$38	05-08 18:38
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa	1	$42	64	0	+64	Xinran Sun	-$42	10-03 03:24
wta jeanjea boisson 2026 10 04	1	$42	61	0	+61	Leolia Jeanjean	-$42	10-04 14:23
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-09-05?	1	$42	55	0	+55	No	+$13	09-05 14:50
Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces	1	$41	47	0	+47	Las Vegas Aces	+$6	08-28 11:16
Will Eastleigh FC win on 2026-09-30?	1	$41	52	0	+52	No	+$11	09-30 18:15
Nets vs. Cavaliers	1	$40	50	0	+50	Cavaliers	+$10	10-24 04:02
lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game2	2	$40	74	0	+74	Bilibili Gaming	-$40	07-04 07:24
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	1	$40	66	0	+66	Under	+$26	09-03 16:53
mlb lad ari 2026 08 09 spread home 1pt5	1	$40	55	0	+55	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$40	08-09 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:25:38	itf moyano1 padros2 2026 10 29	Sofia Simon Padros	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xedfa51…
10-29 02:48:13	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x82dc86…
10-29 00:24:41	Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj	Yasmine Kabbaj	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x13582e…
10-28 22:58:37	Spread: Raptors (-4.5)	Magic	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2bec97…
10-28 22:52:25	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	New Mexico State	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb92875…
10-28 20:00:50	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x81640e…
10-28 18:09:29	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan: O/U 167.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x06f19c…
10-28 17:40:55	Swiss Indoors Basel (Doubles): Cabral/Tracy vs Bernet/Stricker	Bernet/Stricker	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x8d397d…
10-28 16:38:59	Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-2.5) vs Holger Rune (+2.5)	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8cd225…
10-28 16:38:10	Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xf737ef…
10-28 16:14:08	Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x4b38df…
10-28 15:43:08	Spread: AEK (-1.5)	AEK	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xd8e3b9…
10-28 13:58:53	Derthona Basket vs. Rostock Seawolves: O/U 168.5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf24650…
10-28 13:47:34	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x656e46…
10-28 13:43:40	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x20ca63…
10-28 13:42:25	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8aec7a…
10-28 13:41:56	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x9da56b…
10-28 13:19:14	Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc85a5a…
10-28 12:52:10	Set Handicap: Otto Virtanen (-1.5) vs Matisse Bobichon (+1.5)	Otto Virtanen	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x02c299…
10-28 12:33:22	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0xc0d263…
10-28 12:32:04	Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc01ee3…
10-28 12:28:38	Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4e4032…
10-28 12:28:23	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fb708…
10-28 11:54:35	Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-3.5) vs Remy Bertola (+3.5)	Remy Bertola	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xcfb0a9…
10-28 11:12:32	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Clippers	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcd07c9…
10-28 10:41:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcaba4a…
10-28 10:31:28	Swiss Indoors Basel (Doubles): Cabral/Tracy vs Bernet/Stricker	Bernet/Stricker	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xb2710a…
10-28 10:14:22	Derthona Basket vs. Rostock Seawolves: O/U 168.5	Over	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd79289…
10-28 10:13:22	Gimnasia vs. Ferro Carril Oeste	Gimnasia	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x355584…
10-28 09:43:44	Musetti vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8dce9b…
10-28 09:27:13	Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a1bd9…
10-28 09:18:53	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x92ef2f…
10-28 09:12:16	W100 New Braunfels, TX: Chukwumelije Clarke vs Allura Zamarripa	Chukwumelije Clarke	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x751057…
10-28 09:10:07	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs: O/U 183.5	Under	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x77ba51…
10-28 08:54:11	Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Besiktas	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x9e138d…
10-28 08:53:50	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf1e599…
10-28 08:53:14	Niners Chemnitz vs. JL Bourg Basket	JL Bourg Basket	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7367f1…
10-28 07:48:14	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Robin Montgomery	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x026aa1…
10-28 07:42:25	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Robin Montgomery	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x48a567…
10-28 07:34:46	Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd8329b…
10-28 07:24:08	Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-3.5) vs Remy Bertola (+3.5)	Remy Bertola	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a8f8c…
10-28 07:22:22	Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6db156…
10-28 07:17:10	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8336f0…
10-28 06:58:19	W15 Monastir: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Mailuodi Lei	Carolina Dibenedetto	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x522514…
10-28 06:54:20	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x08c8d4…
10-28 06:21:47	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Pistons	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x700d87…
10-28 06:03:11	Learner Tien vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xbaf086…
10-28 06:01:13	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Nuggets	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0f45e4…
10-28 04:35:49	Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcaeb49…
10-28 04:31:26	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x82db46…
10-28 04:14:20	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe66124…
10-28 03:43:01	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x6e5ed1…
10-28 03:17:21	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-9.5)	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0xc73448…
10-28 03:00:57	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xc37aad…
10-28 02:25:14	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x0056c4…
10-28 02:24:33	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1bfec7…
10-28 02:07:20	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x51289b…
10-28 01:24:08	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x7438f9…
10-28 01:14:02	Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-4.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+4.5)	Diana Shnaider	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x5f3bb3…
10-28 00:07:27	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9d2c7b…
10-27 23:32:35	Kings vs. Blackhawks	Kings	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4556ef…
10-27 23:13:26	Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe723fd…
10-27 23:03:29	Spread: Missouri State (-6.5)	Missouri State	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb30d5d…
10-27 22:19:45	Panthers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec84a6…
10-27 22:16:57	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9411ce…
10-27 20:42:39	Seoul: Billy Harris vs Aleksandar Vukic	Billy Harris	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x126732…
10-27 19:23:08	Spread: Málaga CF (-3.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0a6da9…
10-27 19:03:45	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	81¢	$23	0xaf42a9…
10-27 19:00:41	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	28	23¢	$7	0x730085…
10-27 18:59:11	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3237c8…
10-27 18:41:45	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeff3bc…
10-27 18:41:36	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x314874…
10-27 18:40:48	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x72b285…
10-27 18:31:24	Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd8eaf0…
10-27 18:13:20	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa828ce…
10-27 18:10:12	Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid	Kosner Baskonia	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa3905a…
10-27 18:08:53	Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid	Kosner Baskonia	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x44c58a…
10-27 17:33:03	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x2c67a8…
10-27 17:30:14	Truro City vs. Slough Town: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xea52f7…
10-27 17:29:03	Guayaquil: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria	Federico Coria	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdad703…
10-27 17:14:30	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x772caf…
10-27 16:51:08	Delaware vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd35c0b…
10-27 16:46:44	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x76c0aa…
10-27 16:14:41	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x649de7…
10-27 16:01:35	Penarol vs. San Martin de Corrientes	San Martin de Corrientes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0xe9734e…
10-27 15:38:18	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x06b53f…
10-27 15:30:15	Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3f2c4d…
10-27 14:53:02	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x312f5d…
10-27 14:25:30	Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb32bda…
10-27 14:23:00	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xba24c6…
10-27 14:19:32	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xe838e7…
10-27 14:14:11	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc3f69d…
10-27 13:57:06	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x0622e9…
10-27 13:57:02	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xdc6d94…
10-27 13:46:59	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Harriet Dart	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xd13c7b…
10-27 13:42:42	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x042156…
10-27 13:41:14	Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka	Mia Ristic	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xae1ded…
10-27 13:09:06	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5d94f…
10-27 13:08:12	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x707591…
10-27 13:03:11	Spread: Bradford City AFC (-1.5)	Bradford City AFC	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x06fcd4…