Misty-Wriggler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,436

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-09 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	9	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	6	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 07:21
btc updown 5m 1775986500	4	$28	166	0	+166	open	—	04-12 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	7	$26	19	19	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	8	$25	19	13	+6	open	—	05-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	6	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776737100	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-21 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	5	$22	24	7	+17	open	—	05-04 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	7	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET	5	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-02 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$18	18	16	+2	open	—	05-02 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	4	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	5	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	5	$17	13	13	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$16	12	11	+1	Up	$-2	05-05 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$16	16	13	+3	open	—	05-02 09:44
btc updown 5m 1776826800	6	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-22 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	3	$15	11	6	+5	open	—	05-03 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$15	21	16	+5	open	—	05-04 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$15	17	9	+8	open	—	05-02 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	4	$13	15	7	+8	open	—	05-04 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$13	32	32	+0	open	—	04-28 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 03:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xc96187…
05-06 14:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8bb0c5…
05-06 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x499a64…
05-06 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x18d152…
05-06 14:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x16b19e…
05-06 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7e12e…
05-06 11:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31c8b0…
05-06 01:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc6073d…
05-06 01:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xf22d47…
05-05 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x327e0a…
05-05 13:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7063ac…
05-05 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x5269d7…
05-05 07:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x80894a…
05-05 07:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x6bdebc…
05-05 07:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x000f0d…
05-05 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x12fe3d…
05-05 07:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xc70837…
05-05 07:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1d0650…
05-05 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xb37c36…
05-05 07:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ef451…
05-05 07:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1a0ba5…
05-05 06:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x9af540…
05-05 06:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8e2476…
05-05 06:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3d2723…
05-05 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xe35081…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x8903de…
05-05 05:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x724ace…
05-05 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x96ed25…
05-05 05:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xa263d2…
05-05 05:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x5ef566…
05-05 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x1e89a7…
05-05 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbdbc8e…
05-05 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x58d586…
05-05 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x805591…
05-05 05:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xdf603f…
05-05 05:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x4654b0…
05-05 05:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x92acba…
05-05 05:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xdd25ba…
05-05 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x09b26d…
05-05 04:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe657c9…
05-05 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x425b77…
05-05 03:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x637dec…
05-05 03:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x43f011…
05-05 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe1bafe…
05-05 03:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x349b43…
05-05 03:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x957f46…
05-05 03:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x2380f6…
05-05 03:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9e9b48…
05-04 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xeadf09…
05-04 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x313dfe…
05-04 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xb03f2f…
05-04 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb18708…
05-04 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x498465…
05-04 15:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa36d9…
05-04 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xef3d86…
05-04 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf10e91…
05-04 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x013bae…
05-04 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa67545…
05-04 15:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x6f1a38…
05-04 15:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdab66b…
05-04 15:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x2b094f…
05-04 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x813b8a…
05-04 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8d6e4d…
05-04 15:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3e3971…
05-04 15:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xde583c…
05-04 15:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x349de9…
05-04 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x795103…
05-04 15:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x433ab4…
05-04 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x5c405e…
05-04 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb215e6…
05-04 14:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3789a5…
05-04 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xd76a19…
05-04 13:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x64a1df…
05-04 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xb53774…
05-04 13:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x347f7e…
05-04 13:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x4ffead…
05-04 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x164ddd…
05-04 13:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x00fc3f…
05-04 13:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3be08c…
05-04 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xa29e9a…
05-04 13:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb3c082…
05-04 13:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6d5f35…
05-04 13:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x6871ac…
05-04 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x7b57c9…
05-04 08:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x7d7511…
05-04 08:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbf18a2…
05-04 08:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x289932…
05-04 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0a0205…
05-04 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xe675e6…
05-04 08:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa8ac99…
05-04 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xe37f4c…
05-04 08:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd7506b…
05-04 08:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x470027…
05-04 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaa6ff1…
05-04 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x764296…
05-04 07:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xad3211…
05-04 07:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x687502…
05-04 07:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4ec008…
05-04 06:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x3f9d04…
05-04 06:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb8c3cf…