Unripe-Leisure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,599

lifetime

Volume

$109.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-12 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

44% 68% +$85

Other

31% 74% +$31

Tech

23% 71% -$12

Crypto

2% 90% +$4

Sports

0% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	247	$15.1K	8,866	7,033	+1,833	No	+$12	03-31 21:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	90	$12.9K	7,597	6,473	+1,125	No	-$3	05-01 00:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	84	$6.5K	3,432	3,341	+91	No	+$0	07-31 16:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	98	$6.3K	3,218	3,218	+0	Yes	+$5	06-12 18:48
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	226	$5.7K	2,835	2,994	-158	No	-$6	01-30 14:18
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	41	$5.7K	2,973	2,754	+219	Yes	+$5	06-11 15:28
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	208	$5.5K	2,784	2,800	-16	Yes	+$1	01-31 12:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	291	$5.4K	2,844	2,733	+111	Yes	+$2	06-30 14:01
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	315	$4.5K	2,330	2,310	+20	No	+$3	02-27 07:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	157	$3.2K	1,584	1,628	-44	No	+$2	01-31 12:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	123	$2.9K	1,470	1,557	-87	Yes	+$87	02-27 04:35
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	104	$2.5K	1,296	1,323	-27	Yes	+$4	01-23 07:52
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	108	$2.4K	1,228	1,194	+33	No	+$2	01-31 09:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	34	$2.2K	1,534	1,399	+135	No	+$0	05-09 04:41
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	106	$2.1K	1,092	1,092	+0	No	+$1	02-25 20:40
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	80	$2.1K	1,080	1,062	+18	No	+$1	01-30 11:52
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	95	$1.9K	972	1,067	-95	No	-$10	01-29 19:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	58	$1.8K	840	1,008	-168	No	-$5	03-04 02:56
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	30	$1.8K	976	900	+76	No	$0	08-17 10:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	108	$1.6K	798	869	-71	Yes	+$0	02-27 06:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	19	$1.6K	925	800	+125	No	$0	05-18 19:02
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	66	$1.5K	728	754	-26	No	+$1	01-31 00:13
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	57	$1.3K	673	673	+0	No	+$1	02-01 01:36
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	54	$1.0K	570	600	-30	No	-$2	01-24 00:18
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	52	$1.0K	529	529	+0	No	+$0	02-26 19:45
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	49	$1.0K	551	522	+29	Yes	-$27	02-06 17:48
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	77	$1.0K	971	1,176	-205	Yes	+$75	02-02 22:43
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	93	$891	525	504	+21	No	+$6	02-25 22:23
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	27	$863	360	540	-180	No	-$7	01-30 02:31
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	39	$825	447	447	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 03:18:13	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb00731…
08-17 10:35:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x8020d4…
08-17 07:02:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9c0d1b…
08-17 06:01:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xd32ba8…
08-17 06:01:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x33cc73…
08-17 05:50:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xcf96d6…
08-17 04:40:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xa3f304…
08-17 04:18:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xa69155…
08-16 04:31:19	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d5392…
08-14 23:49:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9edbc0…
08-14 14:31:03	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5f4998…
08-14 14:24:54	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69f2f4…
08-14 08:42:07	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xffed88…
08-13 18:05:27	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3593ba…
08-13 16:03:07	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf430dc…
08-13 11:05:30	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x343dd4…
08-13 00:01:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5817e8…
08-12 21:18:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xa8eda9…
08-12 18:50:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x78277b…
08-12 16:29:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x8d31d0…
08-12 14:37:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe68878…
08-12 12:44:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xf57b22…
08-12 12:06:42	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b8681…
08-09 23:31:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xda2027…
08-09 18:27:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xed0464…
08-09 18:17:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x82789e…
08-09 15:59:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xbc7df7…
08-08 02:03:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa44bf7…
08-07 22:49:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x2ecb56…
08-07 21:49:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb439a0…
08-07 21:28:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x183606…
08-07 19:33:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefb1af…
08-07 19:04:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x4de8f1…
08-07 18:44:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2123a4…
08-07 17:46:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x7f5c80…
08-07 16:31:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0xbafdc6…
08-07 14:54:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x86ff6e…
08-07 09:22:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xad440c…
08-07 05:55:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec90ab…
07-31 16:33:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xdfc9ef…
07-31 14:53:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x2c3f86…
07-31 00:29:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x5cd55b…
07-30 15:10:27	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6ec82…
07-30 01:16:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x8c87b4…
07-29 22:22:39	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xca76d3…
07-29 21:07:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xaa2ff7…
07-28 21:20:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x88bfc0…
07-28 21:00:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x72fcba…
07-28 18:53:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x946716…
07-28 15:58:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x9675aa…
07-27 18:24:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x7f48ea…
07-27 18:23:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xc26e7a…
07-27 15:13:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e2f6b…
07-27 10:37:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x99fc3a…
07-27 10:03:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x5a1f73…
07-27 07:27:36	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xac48c6…
07-27 04:50:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb78da6…
07-27 03:29:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xc9a669…
07-26 08:10:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xda7304…
07-26 02:50:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xf4480f…
07-26 01:51:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb467ff…
07-25 22:10:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xe6204b…
07-25 17:58:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$90	0x7652fa…
07-25 17:40:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x4b5bbb…
07-25 17:33:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$90	0xa9fc04…
07-25 17:06:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x8ca7bb…
07-21 15:29:39	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1c60ab…
07-21 13:40:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x54d3f9…
07-21 13:14:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x5fef57…
07-21 10:42:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$90	0x19821f…
07-21 10:10:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x930591…
07-21 08:06:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x271323…
07-21 07:29:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x6e6e72…
07-21 07:19:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xc1fb43…
07-21 06:49:46	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x266948…
07-21 03:50:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xe357f1…
07-20 21:41:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x94ca77…
07-20 21:07:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x5b693b…
07-20 20:42:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xdb03a0…
07-20 19:45:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x6b4032…
07-20 16:57:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xbe41f1…
07-20 16:55:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xd4bda8…
07-20 15:06:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xaf50fe…
07-20 14:35:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x10d6b8…
07-20 14:33:15	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x28ba8e…
07-20 14:21:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xdd1101…
07-20 13:57:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x53913f…
07-20 13:37:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd8b624…
07-20 13:18:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xbe9d2b…
07-20 12:13:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x6bad3b…
07-20 10:26:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xcc070e…
07-20 02:04:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	97¢	$89	0x7109b4…
07-20 01:22:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	47	96¢	$46	0x7f985b…
07-20 01:01:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xe185a8…
07-19 23:43:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	96¢	$88	0x0d8781…
07-19 23:04:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x85da14…
07-19 22:57:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1a559a…
07-19 22:52:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0x86486f…
07-19 22:50:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	91	96¢	$88	0x2a2f36…
07-19 21:29:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	91	97¢	$88	0x96141b…