Nippy-Derivative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-17 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 88% -$3

Sports

33% 50% -$8

Politics

27% 0% -$4

Other

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	3	$1.1K	594	594	+0	No	-$3	03-19 07:25
will the cleveland cavaliers make the nba playoffs 732	4	$981	0	1,934	-1,934	Yes	-$8	03-19 05:56
Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	4	$940	0	1,888	-1,888	No	-$4	03-17 07:00
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$177	0	354	-354	No	+$0	04-15 06:02
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4am et	1	$59	59	0	+59	Up	+$0	04-17 08:54
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	1	$52	52	0	+52	Down	+$0	04-17 01:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	04-19 00:05
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	04-15 05:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-17 05:15
ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	04-15 02:51
bitcoin above 77200 on april 17 2026 6am et	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-17 09:23
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 16	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-17 00:41
will bitcoin reach 80k on april 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-19 00:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-08 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-12 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-19 01:57
ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	06-05 08:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-27 03:52
solana up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	04-17 00:56
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	04-15 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:15:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x249d38…
06-15 08:01:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95abee…
06-05 08:57:58	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a229e…
05-27 03:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x89472d…
05-19 01:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d4541…
05-12 03:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8a8af…
05-08 03:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd014da…
05-04 09:19:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7931c…
04-19 00:06:02	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x796639…
04-19 00:05:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf9f925…
04-19 00:05:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4fff7b…
04-17 09:23:26	bitcoin above 77200 on april 17 2026 6am et	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74fdcb…
04-17 08:54:18	ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf2b62b…
04-17 01:52:50	ethereum up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x14e909…
04-17 00:56:10	solana up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8bf860…
04-17 00:41:36	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 16	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1270b5…
04-15 06:02:28	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xd01261…
04-15 05:57:18	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	106	3¢	$3	0x41ea9a…
04-15 05:54:12	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x410090…
04-15 05:25:24	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	177	97¢	$172	0xe961a3…
04-15 03:47:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe2b976…
04-15 02:51:52	ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd4e9ec…
03-19 07:25:53	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	494	92¢	$456	0x5caa2c…
03-19 07:24:05	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xad08ff…
03-19 07:19:05	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	594	93¢	$551	0xc84447…
03-19 05:56:19	will the cleveland cavaliers make the nba playoffs 732	No	SELL	933	1¢	$10	0x499b70…
03-19 05:55:55	will the cleveland cavaliers make the nba playoffs 732	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x15b473…
03-19 05:34:59	will the cleveland cavaliers make the nba playoffs 732	Yes	SELL	364	98¢	$357	0xb1ad7b…
03-19 05:34:43	will the cleveland cavaliers make the nba playoffs 732	Yes	SELL	625	98¢	$613	0x4a05db…
03-17 07:00:15	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	944	4¢	$37	0x83ecaa…
03-17 06:56:55	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	246	96¢	$235	0x1d7efa…
03-17 06:40:25	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	290	96¢	$277	0xb13b40…
03-17 06:39:19	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	409	96¢	$391	0x0ec92b…