Superficial-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

554

Trades

1,458

lifetime

Volume

$86.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 10-29 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

90% 71% -$971

Crypto

9% 49% -$9

Tech

1% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 25?	5	$3.1K	1,573	1,573	+0	No	+$52	07-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	4	$2.8K	1,414	1,414	+0	No	+$13	07-24 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?	2	$1.7K	838	838	+0	No	+$17	07-30 20:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12?	4	$1.6K	801	801	+0	No	+$7	09-13 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?	9	$1.5K	828	828	+0	No	-$50	08-09 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	7	$1.5K	807	807	+0	No	+$73	05-26 13:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	6	$1.5K	778	778	+0	Yes	+$24	06-03 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 11?	5	$1.4K	1,419	0	+1,419	No	+$19	08-10 12:07
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	3	$1.1K	571	571	+0	No	+$1	09-28 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?	6	$1.0K	534	534	+0	No	+$7	08-09 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	Yes	+$2	07-22 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	9	$987	517	517	+0	No	+$47	07-19 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 29?	10	$968	1,483	668	+815	No	-$79	07-29 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 25?	3	$926	476	476	+0	No	+$26	05-25 12:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	6	$900	904	0	+904	No	+$4	08-14 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?	12	$871	943	0	+943	No	+$72	07-22 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?	2	$804	404	404	+0	Yes	+$4	08-01 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	1	$800	807	0	+807	Yes	+$7	07-23 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	3	$800	817	0	+817	Yes	+$17	07-20 12:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?	3	$776	790	0	+790	No	-$776	06-03 21:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$764	450	450	+0	Yes	-$36	07-31 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 22?	2	$749	380	380	+0	No	+$9	05-23 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	3	$745	375	375	+0	No	+$3	08-01 07:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?	5	$727	379	379	+0	No	+$27	07-05 18:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	5	$700	375	375	+0	No	+$50	10-19 07:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	08-20 12:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?	5	$673	361	361	+0	No	+$31	05-29 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	2	$664	335	335	+0	No	+$4	07-12 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	3	$650	675	0	+675	No	+$25	08-07 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	2	$643	650	0	+650	Yes	+$7	07-12 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:59:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	182	95¢	$172	0x27264c…
10-29 16:58:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x9cdf11…
10-28 19:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x922d9c…
10-27 20:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0x170ef6…
10-27 06:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xcfbe39…
10-27 06:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x77288f…
10-27 06:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	68	85¢	$58	0x6e6f4f…
10-26 20:44:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	97	92¢	$90	0xc4336d…
10-26 18:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x262d3f…
10-26 18:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x0ce052…
10-26 18:39:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	No	SELL	222	40¢	$90	0x63abe7…
10-26 16:28:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x392c78…
10-26 16:26:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xfeede5…
10-26 16:23:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x14ebb6…
10-26 06:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x3a701e…
10-26 06:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x86d08b…
10-25 16:58:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	166	90¢	$150	0x479581…
10-25 16:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2d0748…
10-25 15:21:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 24?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0xd396a3…
10-25 08:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x09b32f…
10-24 21:37:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x456676…
10-24 21:35:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2971d6…
10-24 21:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0xbe3dc7…
10-24 19:11:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	98	91¢	$90	0x7d9773…
10-24 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x1d622a…
10-24 07:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x08ede2…
10-24 06:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	64	62¢	$40	0x00567d…
10-24 06:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0xcb445d…
10-24 06:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6e1d8d…
10-23 17:58:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x609af6…
10-22 19:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfc8023…
10-22 18:58:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x11bde7…
10-22 18:51:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x551ca8…
10-22 18:51:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x59b62c…
10-22 16:19:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	No	SELL	102	13¢	$13	0x99539d…
10-22 08:30:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xffadae…
10-22 05:02:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3e3c7f…
10-22 00:23:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 23?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x675101…
10-21 19:22:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x5588a1…
10-21 12:07:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x809ef6…
10-21 12:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x4fbedc…
10-21 07:26:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x552acb…
10-21 07:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x757292…
10-21 06:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	63	71¢	$45	0xbf76d5…
10-21 05:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x280563…
10-20 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcb26a2…
10-20 07:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x1cc81a…
10-20 05:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0c1b74…
10-20 05:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xe16e23…
10-20 05:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xcd14c5…
10-20 05:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x16f5f1…
10-19 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xbdf983…
10-19 07:35:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	SELL	375	100¢	$375	0xc8f109…
10-19 07:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0x0e180d…
10-18 18:03:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	106	14¢	$15	0xcf9ecf…
10-18 14:41:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	106	57¢	$60	0x06d316…
10-18 04:45:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb21e31…
10-17 15:49:18	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xbe5d13…
10-16 06:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x54364c…
10-16 06:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x2fd17b…
10-16 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	104	40¢	$42	0x41deee…
10-16 06:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf058a3…
10-16 06:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0xbe7522…
10-16 06:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb93346…
10-16 06:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	SELL	146	83¢	$120	0xbf6d89…
10-16 04:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x58cc82…
10-16 04:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x2b2528…
10-16 04:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x1633aa…
10-15 10:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x7cc3fd…
10-15 09:06:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xda88a0…
10-15 08:40:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xc65be5…
10-15 07:49:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	176	91¢	$160	0xf8f78b…
10-15 06:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xfda3f1…
10-15 06:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x09df62…
10-15 06:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0x84ce17…
10-14 20:50:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0x075223…
10-14 11:51:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	331	91¢	$300	0xa58ce8…
10-14 05:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	338	5¢	$17	0x5beea9…
10-13 18:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x685ca4…
10-13 18:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xeb27f6…
10-13 06:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	74	42¢	$31	0xfd9cbc…
10-13 06:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3b65c6…
10-13 06:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x169b44…
10-13 06:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	62	43¢	$27	0xa927a8…
10-13 05:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	163	49¢	$80	0x7cf522…
10-13 05:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2a951a…
10-12 21:14:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x13b959…
10-12 20:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	206	53¢	$110	0x27d5a4…
10-12 19:36:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x907ceb…
10-12 19:35:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5def8…
10-12 18:33:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xd3b1a2…
10-12 18:21:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x3ce6af…
10-12 17:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x7bfeef…
10-12 17:43:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	SELL	199	91¢	$180	0x6287a4…
10-12 15:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x1850ef…
10-12 06:05:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x2481d5…
10-12 06:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x005484…
10-12 06:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5b81cf…
10-12 05:52:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1e8e39…
10-12 05:45:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x413561…