Strict-Wombat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$314

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

1,222

Trades

5,478

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-03 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% -$313

Other

1% 60% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$409	287	287	+0	Down	+$159	05-14 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	10	$363	226	226	+0	Up	+$13	05-14 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	33	$320	198	198	+0	Up	+$20	05-14 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 13:15 UTC	7	$300	242	237	+4	Up	-$58	04-06 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 17:15 UTC	5	$242	174	172	+2	Up	+$100	03-14 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	19	$220	157	157	+0	Down	+$40	05-16 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	6	$199	235	235	+0	Up	+$29	05-14 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	19	$192	125	125	+0	Down	+$32	05-14 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	9	$191	152	117	+35	Up	+$25	03-14 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	15	$180	132	132	+0	Down	+$62	05-16 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 17:15 UTC	8	$161	128	128	+0	Up	+$77	06-18 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	14	$160	130	130	+0	Down	+$44	05-15 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 10:30 UTC	5	$156	128	124	+4	Up	+$7	04-06 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	5	$152	98	96	+2	Up	+$10	04-06 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:45 UTC	14	$150	134	134	+0	Down	+$50	06-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	19	$149	88	88	+0	Down	+$25	05-16 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	14	$147	95	95	+0	Up	+$17	05-12 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 17:45 UTC	6	$144	140	117	+23	Up	+$24	06-11 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:45 UTC	3	$144	278	130	+149	Up	+$261	03-16 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:00 UTC	8	$143	120	120	+0	Down	+$44	06-10 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	14	$143	115	115	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	17	$140	151	120	+31	Down	+$4	05-12 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:15 UTC	4	$139	75	75	+0	Down	+$10	03-16 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	11	$138	110	110	+0	Up	+$62	05-16 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 01:15 UTC	4	$138	109	108	+2	Up	+$47	03-17 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 03:15 UTC	12	$137	176	117	+59	Up	+$11	06-11 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 14:45 UTC	6	$135	112	110	+2	Up	+$20	03-17 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 19:15 UTC	5	$135	236	0	+236	Down	-$135	03-16 19:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 22:00 UTC	7	$133	74	74	+0	Up	+$13	03-16 22:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:00 UTC	8	$130	94	92	+1	Up	+$33	03-16 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 21:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	97	45¢	$43	0x1665e2…
10-03 21:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x1a984f…
10-03 21:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xc8c05c…
10-03 21:24:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xbe75ce…
10-03 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x719a14…
10-03 21:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0xec0f10…
10-03 21:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	46¢	$21	0x671fd0…
10-03 21:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x782f47…
10-03 21:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7234d6…
10-03 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	64	18¢	$12	0x46519a…
10-03 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x4c40ed…
10-03 20:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x73de79…
10-03 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x0d1091…
10-03 20:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x960c85…
10-03 20:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x8d25d6…
10-03 20:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x6b6283…
10-03 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x70ced8…
10-03 20:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x3ee1d5…
10-03 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7159ef…
10-03 20:03:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x20f67d…
10-03 20:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2c8d3a…
10-03 19:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x315494…
10-03 19:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x3d2d7f…
10-03 19:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x203ba5…
10-03 19:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xae6937…
10-03 18:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xfc390a…
10-03 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfe4e4a…
10-03 18:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1f439f…
10-03 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x2ac729…
10-03 18:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x89b110…
10-03 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa92094…
10-03 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa68067…
10-03 17:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0x8c4ac7…
10-03 17:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd5be7c…
10-03 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	95¢	$39	0x719291…
10-03 17:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x2dcef9…
10-03 17:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xfcc3f5…
10-03 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2217d0…
10-03 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0xddb54f…
10-03 17:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xcc12a3…
10-03 17:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xc24fd9…
10-03 17:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd45a6c…
10-03 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xebfd76…
10-03 17:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xd48c0d…
10-03 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x95257e…
10-03 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xefcff5…
10-03 17:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcd79f6…
10-03 14:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xc7e22b…
10-03 14:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x4bb6c8…
10-03 14:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0xb35bb9…
10-03 14:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x822b81…
10-03 14:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xfd95c4…
10-03 13:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3cabda…
10-03 13:59:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x30f9df…
10-03 13:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x72bcf6…
10-03 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x8e9151…
10-03 07:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2d4283…
10-03 07:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x902044…
10-03 07:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xcb60a7…
10-03 07:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x563c74…
10-03 06:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3f1474…
10-03 06:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x444a65…
10-03 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xaf11c8…
10-03 06:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x970bb0…
10-03 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x18d234…
10-03 05:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	53	16¢	$8	0x05f1cd…
10-03 05:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x7f88c4…
10-03 05:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	25¢	$9	0xe913c0…
10-03 05:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x54d8a4…
10-03 05:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x29f273…
10-03 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8c98bf…
10-03 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe59b28…
10-03 05:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xf16aa4…
10-03 05:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa0904a…
10-03 04:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x74802a…
10-03 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xde1f69…
10-03 04:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd07b00…
10-03 04:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x5be93f…
10-03 04:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa8df08…
10-03 04:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa15364…
10-03 04:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2db0d5…
10-03 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8fdbc0…
10-03 03:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x783550…
10-03 03:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x367878…
10-03 03:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1112bf…
10-03 03:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc76238…
10-03 03:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xee9363…
10-03 03:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc51de2…
10-03 03:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xafc349…
10-03 03:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7e6513…
10-03 02:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5c1aea…
10-03 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x4ba477…
10-03 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4f1dbc…
10-03 02:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1c9a82…
10-03 02:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8f7715…
10-03 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x90c244…
10-03 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x28e743…
10-03 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb97e3b…
10-03 02:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0c7130…
10-03 02:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9e7960…