Ironclad-Export — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

565

Trades

946

lifetime

Volume

$7.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-03 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

86% 51% -$219

Crypto

12% 45% -$124

Politics

1% 0% -$74

Sports

1% 25% -$32

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 25?	6	$444	245	244	+0	No	-$30	04-25 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?	2	$219	119	119	+0	No	+$19	07-10 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on April 25?	1	$179	180	0	+180	No	+$1	04-24 20:17
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	6	$149	187	178	+9	Yes	+$156	04-19 05:10
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	2	$122	171	0	+171	Under	-$122	07-03 04:13
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 21c	5	$110	113	108	+5	Yes	+$84	04-21 07:44
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	5	$106	101	76	+25	No	+$31	07-11 22:56
highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 26c	2	$105	116	0	+116	No	+$11	04-16 23:37
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?	1	$100	116	0	+116	No	+$16	05-08 08:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$95	708	148	+560	Yes	-$74	05-10 12:48
highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 26c	7	$92	104	0	+104	No	+$12	04-23 05:56
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	2	$80	52	52	+0	No	+$20	06-30 02:57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$76	47	47	+0	Yes	+$16	06-21 04:51
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$73	53	53	+0	Yes	+$33	06-12 05:05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	3	$66	117	117	+0	No	-$34	07-19 21:14
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	4	$56	83	83	+0	No	-$4	07-15 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	5	$54	34	34	+0	No	+$14	06-05 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 6?	7	$54	34	34	+0	No	+$13	06-06 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?	4	$54	34	34	+0	No	+$13	05-31 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	2	$53	35	35	+0	No	+$13	05-29 09:05
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	3	$53	148	148	+0	Under	-$47	07-03 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	5	$53	33	33	+0	No	+$13	05-27 07:47
highest temperature in chengdu on april 22 2026 23c	6	$53	216	54	+162	Yes	-$34	04-22 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	2	$52	34	34	+0	No	+$15	06-02 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	2	$52	33	33	+0	No	+$12	06-05 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?	5	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	05-26 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	2	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	05-30 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 30?	3	$52	31	31	+0	No	+$11	05-30 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	6	$52	31	31	+0	No	+$11	06-04 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 2?	7	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	06-02 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 01:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd197d7…
08-03 00:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa34d27…
08-03 00:28:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xac2048…
08-02 16:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd34db8…
08-02 16:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f3d26…
08-02 16:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb42d32…
08-02 16:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa6fc1a…
08-02 16:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x825c47…
08-02 16:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcb3fb6…
08-02 16:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd08335…
08-02 16:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xca0b51…
08-02 16:03:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59b709…
08-02 16:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x545816…
08-02 15:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa645d7…
08-02 15:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62e80e…
08-02 15:44:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcbde5f…
08-02 15:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0f083c…
08-02 15:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1c209c…
08-02 15:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54d10c…
08-02 15:22:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe331dc…
08-02 15:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14298d…
08-02 15:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe059fa…
08-02 15:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf96a10…
08-02 15:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ce4f8…
08-02 14:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xc0c397…
08-02 14:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xec4d3e…
08-02 14:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7cf97e…
08-02 14:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x169731…
08-02 14:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc7ffbc…
08-02 14:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e38ed…
08-02 14:26:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6e7962…
08-02 14:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2a0fa5…
08-02 14:06:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2747f8…
08-02 14:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4951f3…
08-02 13:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb11d44…
08-02 13:51:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xedcd98…
08-02 13:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa76ed7…
08-02 13:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7e5eae…
08-02 13:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e2c23…
08-02 13:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce50aa…
08-02 13:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x90ed65…
08-02 13:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd88c2d…
08-02 13:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x76ee9f…
08-02 13:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b1f61…
08-02 13:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xe987a9…
08-02 13:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xbdaeed…
08-02 12:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdcd4e0…
08-02 12:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4d2f9f…
08-02 12:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x29c2ee…
08-02 12:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x22c808…
08-02 12:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3572fd…
08-02 12:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa57ab6…
08-02 12:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03c1ae…
08-02 11:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb3538d…
08-02 11:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x561f7a…
08-02 11:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x708d4b…
08-02 11:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbe3847…
08-02 11:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbe5367…
08-02 10:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4b3c3c…
08-02 10:53:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82a165…
08-02 10:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8c010e…
08-02 10:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x083321…
08-02 10:36:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x97bf10…
08-02 10:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x35403d…
08-02 10:28:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d04e8…
08-02 10:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9a525c…
08-02 10:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11cebc…
08-02 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7e0e83…
08-02 10:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf82b24…
08-02 10:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1ae577…
08-02 07:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x5e4674…
08-02 07:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5fcb8f…
08-02 07:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe1bc2f…
08-02 07:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x19fafe…
08-02 07:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xd1e473…
08-02 07:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x9f3c58…
08-02 07:28:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x216d6a…
08-02 07:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3333ae…
08-02 07:19:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2892eb…
08-02 07:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xed16a9…
08-02 07:08:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb18959…
08-02 07:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59cc22…
08-02 07:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x764b44…
08-02 06:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x8689d5…
08-02 06:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1311e…
08-02 06:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x20014b…
08-02 06:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa51eb9…
08-02 06:39:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x989d2e…
08-02 06:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd8dbb6…
08-02 06:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x19d6de…
08-02 06:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x25556e…
08-02 06:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97bcdf…
08-02 06:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x573e33…
08-02 06:15:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x19367a…
08-02 06:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x785532…
08-02 06:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x26af9c…
08-02 05:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcdeddb…
08-02 05:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a2662…
08-02 05:49:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x287bf0…
08-02 05:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29a09d…