Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

234

Trades

768

lifetime

Volume

$3.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-13 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 46% -$47

Politics

27% 31% -$143

Other

21% 40% -$53

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$268	437	437	+0	No	+$12	03-03 15:58
bitcoin up or down january 14 2am et	14	$230	170	170	+0	Up	-$10	01-14 07:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$172	454	454	+0	Yes	-$112	03-01 01:40
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	2	$154	110	110	+0	Yes	+$16	03-08 22:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$142	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	03-05 08:58
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$134	79	79	+0	Yes	+$10	03-06 14:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$124	704	704	+0	No	+$4	03-06 08:01
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$114	277	277	+0	No	-$50	03-09 21:01
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	4	$87	77	77	+0	Yes	+$13	01-12 23:40
bitcoin up or down january 13 12am et	7	$74	272	85	+187	Up	-$8	01-13 05:43
crude oil all time high by march 31	2	$69	309	309	+0	No	+$1	03-12 15:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$65	81	81	+0	No	+$5	03-11 11:23
bitcoin up or down january 14 12am et	4	$59	39	39	+0	Down	-$1	01-14 06:20
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$58	211	107	+104	No	-$42	02-11 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:00 UTC	5	$57	107	107	+0	Up	+$51	01-20 01:14
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$55	40	40	+0	No	+$2	01-15 14:13
bitcoin up or down january 13 8pm et	9	$51	50	50	+0	Up	-$1	01-14 01:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$44	502	502	+0	No	-$6	03-18 04:16
bitcoin up or down january 16 3am et	11	$43	43	43	+0	Up	-$1	01-16 07:35
bitcoin up or down january 16 1am et	17	$42	59	59	+0	Up	-$4	01-16 06:59
bitcoin up or down january 13 7pm et	5	$38	27	25	+2	Down	-$8	01-14 01:05
si settle above 85 jan 2026	2	$38	36	36	+0	No	-$2	01-12 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 07:15 UTC	6	$37	48	47	+1	Down	-$2	01-16 07:25
bitcoin up or down january 13 9pm et	4	$36	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	01-14 02:36
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	6	$31	95	19	+76	No	-$20	02-25 03:06
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$7	01-12 08:53
bitcoin up or down january 13 10pm et	2	$27	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	01-14 03:52
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	6	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-21 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 06:15 UTC	6	$26	25	24	+0	Up	+$2	01-16 06:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:00 UTC	7	$24	47	20	+28	Up	-$4	01-19 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:26:25	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xada29a…
04-25 02:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x540fab…
04-25 01:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5be322…
04-24 15:19:16	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xd8e20e…
04-24 01:29:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x17fafb…
04-24 01:28:46	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xacf4a0…
04-24 01:28:20	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0xacf3f6…
04-24 01:28:10	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x493723…
04-24 01:26:00	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xf34211…
04-22 14:24:38	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xf472b7…
04-22 14:24:22	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xec1f15…
04-21 14:42:04	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x45ab68…
04-21 14:41:44	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0a2ef4…
04-21 14:40:52	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x57144b…
04-21 13:53:54	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x099971…
04-21 13:53:42	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xe075ce…
04-20 14:49:22	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5706ce…
04-20 14:48:26	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdcd05b…
04-20 14:47:42	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x650f10…
04-20 14:44:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x3bac17…
04-20 14:44:24	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xce646e…
04-20 12:36:30	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5fcd0e…
04-20 11:19:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x92aa17…
04-20 11:01:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x8c0252…
04-20 11:01:12	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xfd18e2…
04-20 11:01:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xb4cb26…
04-20 11:00:46	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xfaf8d1…
04-20 11:00:30	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x2b42bd…
04-20 10:59:18	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x74607c…
04-20 10:58:34	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0x2faf8f…
04-20 10:58:14	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x7119db…
04-20 10:57:30	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x333874…
04-20 10:56:24	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 200plus	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x3842ba…
04-20 10:48:22	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x955828…
04-20 10:10:32	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7d492a…
04-20 10:09:26	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x3c87ef…
04-19 07:37:26	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xed0a0c…
04-19 07:36:54	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5bd86f…
04-19 07:36:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcdb2da…
04-19 07:36:30	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcf7e4d…
04-19 07:34:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x99fd7f…
04-19 07:34:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x53faed…
04-19 07:33:36	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 200plus	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc78209…
04-19 07:33:14	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 200plus	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4fb7c7…
04-19 07:32:48	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2266af…
04-19 04:51:02	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x1f037c…
04-19 04:47:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x020050…
03-18 04:16:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xf84a50…
03-17 11:02:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xb44e6a…
03-17 10:47:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	217	5¢	$10	0xd3bc5b…
03-17 10:34:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x3d656b…
03-16 00:50:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	175	3¢	$6	0x81d82c…
03-15 13:40:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xf62b46…
03-12 15:10:25	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	309	11¢	$35	0x79438e…
03-11 16:34:43	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	309	11¢	$34	0x5a1853…
03-11 11:23:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	81	43¢	$35	0xe7c29b…
03-11 01:59:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x675a85…
03-09 21:01:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	277	11¢	$32	0xb5a331…
03-09 13:52:31	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	277	30¢	$82	0x43c3d6…
03-08 22:59:15	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	SELL	110	77¢	$85	0x04d3c4…
03-07 02:45:37	will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x3837d4…
03-06 14:39:41	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0x166647…
03-06 09:53:51	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	79	79¢	$62	0x495316…
03-06 08:01:35	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	704	9¢	$64	0x27fbaa…
03-05 09:08:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	350	9¢	$30	0xea718b…
03-05 09:07:29	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	235	8¢	$20	0x2ead54…
03-05 09:04:57	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x252d3b…
03-05 08:58:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xe05d1b…
03-05 08:58:21	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x137413…
03-05 08:58:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	79	11¢	$8	0x5bc56d…
03-04 11:16:53	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x5b9e94…
03-04 11:16:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xff65db…
03-04 03:41:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	87	71¢	$62	0x61a7e6…
03-03 21:38:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x96661d…
03-03 15:58:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	252	24¢	$60	0x8b8a61…
03-01 04:41:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	252	31¢	$78	0xdbce8a…
03-01 01:40:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	150	0¢	$1	0x8d6eca…
02-28 22:07:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x01d945…
02-28 21:29:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x089c87…
02-28 21:27:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	304	10¢	$30	0x57e57c…
02-28 17:12:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	239	3¢	$8	0xaf0c2d…
02-28 17:07:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x6b3722…
02-28 17:05:47	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0x43e4e3…
02-28 16:56:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0xae0629…
02-28 16:49:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	185	43¢	$80	0x8cb25c…
02-28 14:31:41	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x1f31dc…
02-28 11:15:57	will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe07341…
02-28 11:15:47	will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb08712…
02-28 11:15:39	will the us next strike iran on march 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe0d9e4…
02-28 11:15:31	will the us next strike iran on march 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a2049…
02-28 11:15:23	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x297d82…
02-28 11:15:17	will the us next strike iran on march 12 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe9965e…
02-28 11:10:47	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd25c4a…
02-28 11:10:39	will the us next strike iran on march 12 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf2b9f3…
02-28 11:10:29	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x465fc6…
02-28 11:10:19	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4bffa9…
02-28 11:08:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xfa37b0…
02-28 11:06:29	will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5c0654…
02-28 11:05:47	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc7054e…
02-28 11:04:31	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x04c1d9…