Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

2,492

Trades

16,733

lifetime

Volume

$45.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$215

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-23 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 9% -$984

Other

24% 35% -$563

Politics

1% 25% -$40

Sports

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 1188 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		-300	-$213	72¢	$-214	-$2	08-19 20:32
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		-300	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	09-07 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 12:00 UTC	143	$855	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	-$14	02-27 12:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 12:15 UTC	138	$835	1,665	0	+1,665	Down	-$26	02-27 12:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 09:25 UTC	111	$803	1,606	0	+1,606	Up	-$12	02-25 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:45 UTC	78	$760	1,483	0	+1,483	Down	-$39	02-24 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 10:00 UTC	62	$748	1,396	0	+1,396	Up	-$32	03-05 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:45 UTC	70	$735	1,460	0	+1,460	Up	+$14	03-05 09:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	14	$720	1,704	1,704	+0	No	+$39	09-21 22:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:15 UTC	118	$687	1,309	0	+1,309	Up	-$6	03-05 09:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 22:05 UTC	81	$619	1,148	0	+1,148	Up	-$40	02-24 22:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 14:30 UTC	131	$609	1,220	0	+1,220	Down	-$32	02-25 14:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:30 UTC	109	$574	1,123	141	+983	Down	-$10	02-23 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 11:15 UTC	100	$564	1,120	0	+1,120	Down	-$17	02-27 11:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:45 UTC	94	$551	1,081	0	+1,081	Up	-$23	02-23 14:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:00 UTC	94	$549	1,118	0	+1,118	Up	+$26	02-23 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 11:00 UTC	96	$530	1,066	0	+1,066	Up	+$2	02-27 11:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	29	$519	700	700	+0	Yes	+$91	09-25 15:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:45 UTC	67	$515	1,006	0	+1,006	Down	-$4	02-23 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 10:45 UTC	100	$469	935	0	+935	Down	-$15	02-27 10:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC	86	$453	904	0	+904	Down	-$42	02-23 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 13:30 UTC	71	$448	909	0	+909	Up	+$27	03-05 13:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:30 UTC	64	$445	836	0	+836	Down	-$34	02-23 15:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:30 UTC	53	$441	877	0	+877	Down	-$6	02-23 21:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 14:25 UTC	57	$432	853	0	+853	Down	+$10	02-24 14:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:15 UTC	77	$431	878	0	+878	Up	-$6	02-23 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 12:00 UTC	45	$428	906	0	+906	Up	+$34	03-05 12:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	15	$428	342	222	+120	No	-$59	09-18 13:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 19:30 UTC	63	$426	873	0	+873	Down	+$26	03-05 19:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 22:00 UTC	86	$423	919	0	+919	Up	-$12	02-23 22:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	66	$411	809	0	+809	Up	-$48	03-05 20:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 12:25 UTC	56	$394	803	0	+803	Up	-$23	02-25 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2cf367…
10-23 08:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xd74139…
10-23 08:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xdc4e53…
10-23 06:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x87b7b1…
10-23 05:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x90f6e7…
10-23 04:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb41f7d…
10-23 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc6fbff…
10-23 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x281daa…
10-23 04:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x58938b…
10-23 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x360302…
10-23 03:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd60184…
10-23 02:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x82f5d8…
10-23 02:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x162b05…
10-23 02:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x17e52f…
10-23 00:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe461ac…
10-23 00:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x6338a5…
10-23 00:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbb085d…
10-23 00:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xf40a73…
10-23 00:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x72987c…
10-22 23:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe34ee5…
10-22 23:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xb08a13…
10-22 23:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x3c97fd…
10-22 23:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9d2069…
10-22 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x59e627…
10-22 22:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb45930…
10-22 19:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x5a6835…
10-22 19:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f4d4a…
10-22 19:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1da655…
10-22 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x2f6187…
10-22 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x2f32dc…
10-22 19:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0beb3c…
10-22 18:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8d1996…
10-22 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x056b26…
10-22 18:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x000b93…
10-22 18:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x8e94b0…
10-22 17:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xbf5686…
10-22 17:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x340054…
10-22 17:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x344902…
10-22 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xc30c6e…
10-22 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb4c252…
10-22 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xcd09d3…
10-22 07:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x9d6871…
10-22 07:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x11ff45…
10-22 07:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdfc503…
10-22 06:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x35e2bc…
10-22 06:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2414f7…
10-22 06:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb08b59…
10-22 06:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xabb863…
10-22 06:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3f6974…
10-22 06:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x08c7b9…
10-22 06:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x36c2ae…
10-22 06:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf2d15c…
10-22 05:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7e122f…
10-21 15:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb6b95d…
10-21 15:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x878b3a…
10-21 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xe80c97…
10-21 15:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xebe13a…
10-21 14:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2c84a5…
10-21 14:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x08b7f1…
10-21 14:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x10875b…
10-21 14:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xadfeb1…
10-21 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x451f48…
10-21 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4bb943…
10-21 13:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa5f526…
10-21 12:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x76d0b5…
10-21 12:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x98f726…
10-21 12:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb7576c…
10-21 12:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0d05b7…
10-21 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x463461…
10-21 12:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x521941…
10-21 11:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x611379…
10-21 11:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x4a3e6f…
10-21 11:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xe2710b…
10-21 10:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x613766…
10-21 10:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x9503ca…
10-21 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf3dd35…
10-21 10:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x01f5ee…
10-21 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7afb8c…
10-21 10:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd0e111…
10-21 10:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa74d9f…
10-21 10:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xa33d5a…
10-21 10:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc0d0ee…
10-21 10:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x07436b…
10-21 09:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb0cc36…
10-21 09:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe6ac6d…
10-21 09:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x7978ac…
10-21 09:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x652e42…
10-21 08:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbbe612…
10-21 08:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1d0d81…
10-21 08:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x5a9fa9…
10-21 08:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x783469…
10-21 08:41:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x70aba9…
10-21 08:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe0e4ce…
10-21 08:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3ca402…
10-21 07:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c6cee…
10-21 07:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x6c5a7f…
10-21 07:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5235a4…
10-21 07:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xe1b53a…
10-21 07:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7cd016…
10-21 07:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x5af064…