Good-Natured-Collapse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-19 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

95% 68% -$5

Politics

3% 50% -$4

Crypto

2% 33% +$13

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3?	4	$187	97	97	+0	No	+$7	05-03 21:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 29?	10	$179	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-29 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 28?	5	$157	104	104	+0	No	+$19	04-28 13:15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 1?	14	$125	102	102	+0	Yes	-$31	05-01 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27?	4	$116	63	62	+0	No	-$5	04-27 14:38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	6	$95	108	0	+108	Yes	-$95	05-03 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 30?	3	$90	102	0	+102	No	+$12	04-30 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 3?	4	$81	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	05-03 10:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 1?	5	$74	82	0	+82	No	+$8	05-01 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 3?	1	$56	74	0	+74	No	+$18	05-03 10:02
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 27?	1	$56	77	0	+77	No	+$22	04-27 17:22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 26?	1	$55	61	0	+61	No	+$6	04-26 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 26?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$1	04-26 08:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 25?	1	$50	55	0	+55	No	+$4	04-25 14:54
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Robin Montgomery	4	$49	26	26	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$0	04-18 11:41
highest temperature in san francisco on april 21 2026 60 61f	2	$48	33	32	+1	No	+$18	04-21 19:01
highest temperature in san francisco on april 24 2026 60 61f	1	$43	51	0	+51	No	+$8	04-24 17:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 30?	1	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	04-30 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	4	$37	41	0	+41	No	+$4	05-08 10:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?	5	$35	47	0	+47	No	+$12	05-02 18:55
highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$32	43	0	+43	No	+$11	04-23 18:33
highest temperature in san francisco on april 21 2026 56 57f	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	04-21 17:53
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 12c	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-21 16:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 5?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	05-05 17:24
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 62 63f	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-20 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?	1	$27	33	0	+33	Yes	-$27	05-04 04:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 20c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-19 05:41
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$22	333	333	+0	No	+$0	05-16 14:54
highest temperature in san francisco on april 15 2026 58 59f	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-15 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?	3	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	05-07 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 06:55:49	dota2 yg iac 2026 06 19	Yangon Galacticos	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x2d448a…
06-19 06:48:29	dota2 yg iac 2026 06 19	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7ae1af…
06-19 06:31:08	dota2 nem amaru 2026 06 18	Amaru Gaming	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d3587…
06-19 06:23:04	dota2 nem amaru 2026 06 18	Amaru Gaming	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x897941…
06-15 11:13:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0bff47…
06-15 10:59:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc4a692…
06-15 09:41:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9f7965…
06-09 18:05:52	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	2,954	0¢	$3	0xd5b6d1…
06-09 09:01:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0x36d54e…
06-09 07:52:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2484df…
06-09 06:57:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x028074…
06-09 01:02:12	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x6c5b5c…
06-08 17:23:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x9564a4…
06-08 15:59:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x0146f8…
06-08 08:18:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x2e07e8…
06-07 19:51:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	5,760	0¢	$6	0x552f1b…
06-06 07:51:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,760	0¢	$2	0x35f217…
06-06 07:51:12	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x9c698d…
06-02 20:08:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	1¢	$15	0xbba7d5…
06-02 08:49:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x898a5f…
06-01 17:42:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc7f32b…
06-01 13:00:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x84aa56…
06-01 13:00:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x786dd8…
06-01 13:00:01	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3deaae…
06-01 13:00:01	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x17b508…
05-28 02:58:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x68b8e0…
05-27 11:36:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9027b4…
05-27 02:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x877cb2…
05-27 01:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x0f5a98…
05-27 00:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x7d9988…
05-26 15:58:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2d6519…
05-26 12:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x79d16c…
05-26 12:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9171dd…
05-26 11:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x697cf6…
05-26 11:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x700020…
05-26 11:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf68b59…
05-26 11:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x92f955…
05-26 08:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1f9348…
05-26 08:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd23be8…
05-26 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa27e1b…
05-26 07:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd2612a…
05-26 06:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8f9a5c…
05-26 03:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5ad8ed…
05-26 02:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x9605bf…
05-26 01:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xeb5378…
05-26 01:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xad4721…
05-26 01:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xbfc89e…
05-26 00:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x234eff…
05-26 00:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8df9fe…
05-25 23:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x64e273…
05-25 23:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x08b639…
05-25 20:53:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x34c135…
05-25 20:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb6176e…
05-25 20:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xec1aa0…
05-25 20:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd0eb40…
05-25 20:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x443dc9…
05-25 20:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x214aa2…
05-25 20:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x226d66…
05-25 20:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8f8260…
05-25 20:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb1a451…
05-25 20:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x55a576…
05-25 20:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x59ccf1…
05-25 19:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xd13d38…
05-25 19:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xca6cb7…
05-25 18:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xbec75e…
05-25 16:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x92f586…
05-16 14:54:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	333	3¢	$11	0x888f71…
05-16 14:19:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$6	0x4c0f96…
05-16 10:27:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$6	0x7caa5e…
05-16 10:26:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x208fa3…
05-16 10:24:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x92a081…
05-11 15:28:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic	Hamad Medjedovic	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcedb51…
05-11 10:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xfa9625…
05-09 21:57:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 9?	No	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x638316…
05-09 17:40:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x89e8ef…
05-09 17:39:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 9?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x842224…
05-09 09:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xfec644…
05-09 08:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xed6a47…
05-08 10:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xabd91c…
05-08 10:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x72da08…
05-08 10:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xec74ce…
05-08 10:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x90e54f…
05-07 07:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x9d5782…
05-07 07:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x17ed1c…
05-07 06:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 7?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc3b048…
05-07 05:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 7?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1750cd…
05-05 17:24:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 5?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4ac114…
05-04 04:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	33	80¢	$27	0x22bc2c…
05-03 22:00:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd076fa…
05-03 22:00:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x181770…
05-03 21:56:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa69905…
05-03 21:56:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x6a0402…
05-03 21:53:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x96abbc…
05-03 21:52:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xa1e0ff…
05-03 21:47:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc99a8f…
05-03 18:16:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x3246d8…
05-03 17:36:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe68a68…
05-03 17:35:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 3?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x8f2f8c…
05-03 10:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 3?	No	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0xfa7ff1…
05-03 10:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 3?	No	BUY	74	76¢	$56	0x37b7f5…