Growing-Consensus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

-$414

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

161

Trades

1,723

lifetime

Volume

$63.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$385

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

64% 85% +$605

Sports

35% 82% +$1,378

Politics

1% 100% +$6

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No		+400	$370	94¢	$378	+$8	10-29 14:14
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		+4,593	$429	0¢	$7	-$422	09-26 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	249	$4.6K	18,396	18,396	+0	No	+$965	09-04 15:49
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	71	$4.0K	13,258	8,665	+4,593	open	—	09-26 12:00
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	26	$2.8K	3,200	2,300	+900	Alexander Blockx	-$490	09-07 20:45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	47	$2.5K	1,303	1,303	+0	No	+$28	05-10 20:38
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	32	$2.4K	1,234	1,234	+0	Yes	+$60	07-04 14:02
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	43	$2.1K	1,650	1,550	+100	Matteo Arnaldi	+$36	06-01 23:07
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	36	$2.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	England	+$218	07-11 23:16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$114	07-14 20:20
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	30	$1.9K	1,400	1,400	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$65	07-12 17:58
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	131	$1.8K	45,451	26,663	+18,789	No	+$570	10-17 20:41
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	87	$1.6K	20,020	6,870	+13,150	No	-$121	10-25 02:39
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	16	$1.6K	816	816	+0	No	+$43	10-14 14:50
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	42	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$72	06-22 21:02
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	13	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$57	06-17 21:10
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	27	$1.1K	723	723	+0	Yes	+$115	10-20 17:20
atp smit piros 2026 07 05	13	$1.1K	835	835	+0	Zsombor Piros	+$36	07-05 09:48
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	19	$909	800	600	+200	Paraguay	-$109	06-29 23:26
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	21	$890	471	471	+0	No	+$17	06-14 14:38
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	13	$865	600	300	+300	No	+$14	06-14 21:47
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	27	$781	1,000	355	+645	Yes	-$453	09-06 14:36
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	11	$781	874	0	+874	Spain	+$93	07-10 20:58
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	12	$773	400	400	+0	No	+$11	05-24 20:30
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	13	$747	600	200	+400	No	+$29	06-15 20:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	29	$722	670	570	+100	No	+$27	05-06 20:28
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	25	$685	674	674	+0	Yes	+$8	05-30 18:51
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	14	$645	400	400	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$21	06-02 21:17
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	11	$572	355	235	+120	Yes	+$17	07-05 15:37
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	14	$562	807	900	-93	Jakub Mensik	+$48	05-31 19:50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	7	$484	400	100	+300	Yes	+$12	06-20 21:59
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	8	$483	520	0	+520	Yes	+$37	07-07 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:25:43	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x021d89…
11-01 20:23:18	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xceca2f…
11-01 20:22:49	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x8c0a44…
11-01 20:21:46	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x3dc3c3…
11-01 20:20:54	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xc82452…
11-01 20:17:49	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0xb5ec22…
11-01 20:17:30	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xd8a8b5…
11-01 20:14:55	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x8fb810…
11-01 20:13:52	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x08f9a5…
11-01 20:10:40	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x9dd4fa…
11-01 20:10:27	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x3068d1…
11-01 20:10:19	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2f9fdb…
11-01 20:10:06	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xcb67f3…
10-29 16:15:53	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x32cd66…
10-29 14:14:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xd1df0c…
10-28 08:42:16	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xec4213…
10-27 15:34:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xbeeebb…
10-25 02:39:54	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xae4038…
10-25 01:38:29	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xebd033…
10-25 01:35:38	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x7ee4ae…
10-24 22:01:29	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0xa500bd…
10-24 22:00:56	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6389c0…
10-24 21:52:45	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x006e2b…
10-24 21:51:39	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xc20e77…
10-24 21:51:26	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x071299…
10-24 21:43:57	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0xe28e84…
10-24 21:42:50	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x8ad123…
10-24 21:41:26	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x665a1d…
10-24 21:24:09	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x152951…
10-24 21:19:24	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3d5223…
10-24 21:08:36	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$23	0x711be5…
10-24 21:08:36	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x28471e…
10-24 21:08:30	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x852ddd…
10-24 21:08:15	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xb0bd61…
10-24 20:50:26	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0xa84f76…
10-20 20:50:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x89159d…
10-20 17:20:44	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x9019a0…
10-20 17:15:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3156bc…
10-20 16:30:08	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x399a6f…
10-17 22:11:45	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x695e38…
10-17 20:41:30	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xdf9069…
10-17 19:29:06	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x8852de…
10-17 19:21:41	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x60f693…
10-17 19:03:54	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1b0987…
10-17 18:18:30	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x44bde5…
10-17 16:05:21	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd750f8…
10-17 15:51:53	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x723436…
10-17 14:20:06	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xdda077…
10-17 13:41:53	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x7a0759…
10-17 13:26:20	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5da859…
10-17 12:43:23	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xefea19…
10-17 12:38:23	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd84b15…
10-17 11:11:44	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfa7b61…
10-17 07:10:23	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb73a86…
10-17 07:03:39	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa1af1e…
10-17 07:03:32	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9019a7…
10-17 06:56:30	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x46beb5…
10-17 06:50:27	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb7b3cd…
10-17 05:52:34	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x59a35e…
10-17 05:47:20	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8e5987…
10-17 05:44:02	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfac895…
10-17 05:32:14	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd78a53…
10-17 04:01:35	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4b4fbd…
10-17 03:32:53	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9df9e0…
10-17 03:21:44	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x596729…
10-17 03:10:53	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x60ffc3…
10-16 23:23:18	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8d1615…
10-16 23:23:11	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x63a99f…
10-16 19:11:50	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xbbf695…
10-16 19:11:50	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x70c2cf…
10-16 14:45:24	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,161	0¢	$2	0x378902…
10-15 20:30:50	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0xd6291f…
10-15 20:30:50	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0x61b272…
10-15 20:20:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x3e58be…
10-15 15:47:52	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x0d161e…
10-14 14:50:09	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x1e49a5…
10-13 21:27:46	Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x61b15c…
10-09 22:02:55	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0x5c8da4…
10-09 21:21:16	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xb7e887…
10-09 19:45:59	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	254	1¢	$3	0x0fcacb…
10-09 18:29:17	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$4	0x29d501…
10-08 20:44:05	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x1af114…
10-08 20:34:33	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,092	1¢	$12	0xef383b…
10-08 17:59:33	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,352	1¢	$15	0x41098a…
10-08 16:18:15	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	546	1¢	$6	0xae38a4…
10-08 16:12:51	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x7a04dd…
10-08 09:55:42	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0x5236ed…
10-08 08:28:43	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	173	1¢	$2	0x814e32…
10-08 08:03:31	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	648	1¢	$7	0x11728c…
10-08 08:02:54	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	612	1¢	$6	0x9f566d…
10-08 01:52:02	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xc3b0f7…
10-07 06:25:42	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2f5f74…
10-07 06:25:41	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xbd6d8d…
10-07 02:43:36	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x900217…
10-07 01:45:21	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x132257…
10-07 01:45:18	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x83e134…
10-05 05:10:47	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	466	1¢	$5	0x76f7cb…
10-04 15:35:29	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xbf3f37…
10-04 10:34:19	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb650c0…
10-04 10:32:05	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x274118…