Growing-Consensus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$54

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes		-47	$-31	54¢	$-25	+$5	06-14 07:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	34	$2.0K	1,550	1,450	+100	open	—	06-01 23:07
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	14	$645	400	400	+0	open	—	06-02 21:17
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	14	$562	807	900	-93	open	—	05-31 19:50
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	69	$457	300	300	+0	Yes	+$41	05-05 10:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$200	300	300	+0	open	—	05-06 15:22
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	5	$173	130	100	+30	No	+$13	05-06 20:39
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	3	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	05-09 11:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	2	$165	73	105	-32	open	—	05-14 08:26
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	3	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	05-30 19:56
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	06-14 05:56
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 15:14
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	06-14 15:33
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	6	$85	50	100	-50	open	—	06-14 07:06
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	7	$27	200	165	+35	open	—	05-28 17:07
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$12	0	41	-41	open	—	01-01 00:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:33:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb6ba58…
06-14 07:06:18	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x546006…
06-14 05:56:13	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x32b225…
06-11 07:22:49	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0x5a7fbe…
06-10 06:54:30	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x9d1321…
06-07 12:42:43	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x417156…
06-05 12:18:16	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb10635…
06-02 21:17:28	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x335530…
06-02 21:11:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xe84680…
06-02 21:10:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x4586c4…
06-02 21:07:59	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xa66007…
06-02 21:06:48	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x11a0b1…
06-02 21:04:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd50ecb…
06-02 21:02:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xa0a796…
06-02 21:02:41	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	92	87¢	$80	0x695487…
06-02 21:02:16	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3b881f…
06-02 21:02:15	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x43bc1d…
06-02 21:02:15	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x17a0c3…
06-02 21:02:15	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x115735…
06-02 21:02:13	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xef5dc0…
06-02 21:02:06	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x21d16f…
06-01 23:07:46	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc91298…
06-01 23:03:48	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x0c0375…
06-01 23:03:16	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x19b049…
06-01 23:02:13	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xc678c4…
06-01 23:02:11	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xa2886e…
06-01 23:01:40	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa742a4…
06-01 23:00:26	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x65455d…
06-01 22:59:53	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd43560…
06-01 22:45:29	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xbaf5b3…
06-01 22:45:09	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x5ae160…
06-01 22:45:09	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x00c5ba…
06-01 22:45:01	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x478c00…
06-01 22:44:54	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb2e2b3…
06-01 22:44:10	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xbc3586…
06-01 22:43:58	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xdf69a4…
06-01 22:39:56	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x0802c3…
06-01 22:38:25	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x69bd0b…
06-01 22:05:43	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	225	50¢	$113	0x952a11…
06-01 22:05:42	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	116	50¢	$58	0x2c9a00…
06-01 22:05:35	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x4a3509…
06-01 22:05:31	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xea131e…
06-01 22:05:28	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xb8855f…
06-01 22:05:28	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x1cd5fc…
06-01 22:02:55	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0x72b65c…
06-01 22:02:26	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x327777…
06-01 22:02:12	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x5fd489…
06-01 20:56:43	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	99	81¢	$80	0xa7b048…
06-01 20:56:18	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbfb63e…
06-01 20:56:18	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	96	80¢	$77	0x788809…
06-01 20:53:51	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x0cd210…
06-01 20:53:06	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0x8508a9…
06-01 20:52:59	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x99966e…
06-01 20:52:59	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3fc03b…
06-01 20:52:22	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf3c519…
05-31 19:50:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x9751d5…
05-31 19:49:04	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x43c918…
05-31 18:18:40	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0xb62b2e…
05-31 18:18:39	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0xd2ea60…
05-31 18:18:14	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xf1fc66…
05-31 18:18:14	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xe586e2…
05-31 18:16:03	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	78	36¢	$28	0x864639…
05-31 18:14:46	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	500	33¢	$165	0xd44977…
05-31 18:14:23	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xd9a67f…
05-31 18:12:08	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x115e57…
05-31 18:09:55	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x8cd486…
05-31 18:03:39	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x138dc5…
05-31 18:03:36	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x346a57…
05-31 18:03:23	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1e8e68…
05-31 15:14:40	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x01f622…
05-30 19:56:55	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	98	52¢	$51	0x067213…
05-30 19:56:53	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x2322c5…
05-30 19:54:58	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xf4da41…
05-28 17:07:48	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xef5ccc…
05-23 23:49:10	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x0a6b29…
05-23 04:27:27	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x0ac918…
05-23 04:26:17	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x6e0a97…
05-21 21:11:01	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x986d3f…
05-14 08:26:58	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	105	93¢	$98	0x02b313…
05-14 05:05:25	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe0ceb6…
05-14 05:05:18	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xca83b7…
05-12 09:02:57	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0xf60c35…
05-09 11:03:50	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	99	88¢	$88	0xd1366e…
05-09 10:13:17	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x407672…
05-06 20:39:25	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4e3980…
05-06 20:39:10	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x14bde8…
05-06 20:37:25	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xba9b14…
05-06 15:22:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xe0c674…
05-06 14:06:38	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x81f052…
05-06 11:53:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	90	28¢	$25	0x326d08…
05-06 11:51:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xc0f12b…
05-06 09:21:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x2a562d…
05-06 07:10:20	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8c4ffb…
05-06 06:22:12	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x8c4c74…
05-05 10:34:08	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	63	84¢	$53	0x912b8a…
05-05 10:18:02	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x4afc40…
05-05 10:14:06	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0x5ea2d3…
05-05 09:23:00	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	42	80¢	$34	0x673fa0…
05-05 09:22:26	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	108	80¢	$86	0x5ddf3e…
05-05 04:31:54	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6dc2ef…