Realized P&L
-$3.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved
43
Trades
261
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.26K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-09 15:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
47% 13% -$756
Other
45% 20% -$2,370
Sports
7% 14% -$718
Crypto
0% 0% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -14,979 -$566 2¢ $-307 +$259 10-09 15:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -742 -$178 38¢ $-278 -$100 08-15 13:32
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -3,801 -$124 4¢ $-146 -$22 10-05 19:14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,110 -$555 12¢ $-128 +$427 05-11 02:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -8,346 -$89 1¢ $-104 -$16 07-29 17:30
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$44 2¢ $-98 -$54 07-27 15:50
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60,251 $397 0¢ $90 -$307 10-05 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -100 -$46 68¢ $-68 -$22 07-30 16:10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,167 -$40 1¢ $-29 +$12 05-20 07:30
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,908 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 09-28 21:29
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,072 $8 0¢ $4 -$4 09-28 21:29