Firsthand-Cultivar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

449

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-27 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% -$1,590

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$500	720	+720	Up	-$500	05-18 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$500	510	+510	Down	+$10	05-18 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$500	510	+510	Up	-$500	05-19 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$500	510	+510	Up	+$10	05-18 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$500	510	+510	Down	+$10	05-18 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$404	420	+420	Up	+$17	05-18 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$400	408	+408	Up	+$8	05-19 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:05 UTC	1	$300	312	+312	Down	+$12	06-14 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	1	$300	312	+312	Up	-$300	06-04 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	1	$300	314	+314	Down	+$14	08-20 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$300	333	+333	Down	+$33	06-02 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$300	343	+343	Down	+$43	06-02 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:35 UTC	1	$300	315	+315	Down	+$15	08-01 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:50 UTC	1	$300	334	+334	Down	+$34	08-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$300	352	+352	Up	+$52	05-26 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$300	521	+521	Up	+$221	06-01 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$300	317	+317	Up	+$17	06-02 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$300	421	+421	Up	-$300	05-29 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$300	333	+333	Down	-$300	06-15 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$300	359	+359	Down	+$59	06-15 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$300	337	+337	Up	+$37	06-02 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$300	437	+437	Up	+$137	05-28 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$300	324	+324	Down	+$24	05-28 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$300	306	+306	Down	+$6	06-02 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$300	303	+303	Up	+$3	05-28 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$300	306	+306	Up	+$6	05-28 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:25 UTC	1	$300	303	+303	Down	+$3	06-08 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:00 UTC	1	$300	345	+345	Down	+$45	06-08 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$300	303	+303	Up	-$300	06-01 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$300	303	+303	Down	+$3	05-25 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 20:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x31de20…
08-27 20:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x332fb5…
08-26 20:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xd6feb8…
08-26 20:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xbe2bb8…
08-25 20:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x914681…
08-25 20:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x73b23b…
08-25 20:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xb925ac…
08-22 20:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x556865…
08-21 20:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x82383f…
08-21 20:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x490e51…
08-20 20:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xb94800…
08-20 20:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xa8eae1…
08-20 20:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x41bd87…
08-20 20:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	314	96¢	$300	0x182fe3…
08-19 20:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x3e9389…
08-17 20:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xbd6ed3…
08-13 20:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0x0d995c…
08-12 20:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x7cd304…
08-12 20:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x492ebb…
08-12 20:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xd1d709…
08-10 20:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x5b19b8…
08-10 20:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x572222…
08-09 20:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x7f3ed0…
08-07 20:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	373	80¢	$300	0x16af10…
08-06 20:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xa880ad…
08-05 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x734541…
08-05 20:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x5b0d89…
08-05 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x3d3cff…
08-05 20:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xdb7ec6…
08-04 20:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	334	90¢	$300	0x95eb47…
08-04 20:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x7b26c9…
08-04 20:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	335	90¢	$300	0x6d0bd5…
08-04 20:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xbb3270…
08-03 20:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x09ff67…
08-03 20:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	321	93¢	$300	0x06432f…
08-03 20:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	324	93¢	$300	0xcd048f…
08-03 20:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xdfa505…
08-02 20:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x3a501b…
08-02 20:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xef8907…
08-02 20:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x6b3cb3…
08-01 20:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x9a783d…
08-01 20:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xcb3056…
08-01 20:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	293	94¢	$276	0x190923…
08-01 20:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	280	98¢	$274	0x076e8d…
08-01 20:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	284	95¢	$270	0x947f36…
07-31 20:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x677d65…
07-31 20:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x4fc119…
07-31 20:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x02d703…
07-30 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x8c8d4d…
07-30 20:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa808cc…
07-30 20:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x579717…
07-30 20:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x095c28…
07-29 20:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0xa14dd0…
07-28 20:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	212	95¢	$200	0x5e9095…
07-28 20:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x1900f5…
07-28 20:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xeef55c…
07-28 20:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4f4801…
07-28 20:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4a4c73…
07-28 20:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xaec295…
07-27 20:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x811198…
07-27 20:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xe45701…
07-27 20:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x9ef495…
07-27 20:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xd0f18e…
07-27 20:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x968cf5…
07-26 20:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x15c255…
07-25 20:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xf29e17…
07-25 20:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x81af6d…
07-25 20:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xcdb414…
07-24 20:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9012e1…
07-24 20:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xac4847…
07-24 20:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x937e49…
07-24 20:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xf61c4f…
07-22 20:19:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb97ae8…
07-22 20:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3e6f50…
07-21 20:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x15df99…
07-20 20:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x4787d7…
07-20 20:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5bb698…
07-20 20:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1063a9…
07-20 20:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x845469…
07-20 20:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x6e920d…
07-19 20:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe98461…
07-19 20:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x898277…
07-19 20:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1faa66…
07-19 20:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xade5ce…
07-19 20:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xfdc697…
07-18 20:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xe95e43…
07-18 20:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x41c6d9…
07-18 20:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd7993d…
07-18 20:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7ce6ee…
07-17 20:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x75fce9…
07-17 20:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xec47f6…
07-16 20:54:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7c7d3e…
07-16 20:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2b5a74…
07-16 20:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x565328…
07-16 20:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa6e520…
07-15 20:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbe2868…
07-14 20:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc4707d…
07-14 20:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa9a17e…
07-14 20:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf1874c…
07-14 20:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xade315…