Ignorant-Opera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$134

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-17 23:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Crypto

36% 100% +$0

Tech

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	No		+157	$142	86¢	$134	$-8	06-03 10:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	4	$938	473	473	+0	open	—	05-16 13:16
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	3	$753	761	0	+761	open	—	05-23 21:21
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	3	$401	201	201	+0	open	—	05-16 10:07
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$271	143	143	+0	open	—	07-01 02:48
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$257	259	0	+259	open	—	06-02 08:29
amzn above 195 on july 3 2026	2	$196	196	0	+196	open	—	07-02 07:22
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	4	$159	85	85	+0	open	—	07-03 16:36
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	2	$142	157	0	+157	open	—	06-03 10:23
will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	07-13 06:37
will wti dip to 50 by june 22 2026	3	$123	125	0	+125	open	—	06-20 07:22
xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	06-09 09:42
open above 3 on july 3 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	07-02 07:19
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-10 02:22
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-10 02:21
open above 8 on july 17 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	07-13 06:45
xrp above 1pt5 on july 9 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	07-07 06:06
xrp above 1pt6 on july 10 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	07-07 06:07
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $40?	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	05-16 16:16
will open dip to 2 75 by june 22 2026	1	$92	93	0	+93	open	—	06-20 07:30
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	3	$86	87	0	+87	open	—	06-20 07:20
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	05-10 02:30
nflx above 120 on july 24 2026	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	07-17 23:16
nflx above 130 on july 24 2026	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	07-17 23:16
xrp above 1pt6 on july 9 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	07-07 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 23:16:40	nflx above 120 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xac2766…
07-17 23:16:25	nflx above 130 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x921870…
07-13 06:45:49	open above 8 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1a381…
07-13 06:37:35	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xfdbdf1…
07-07 06:07:04	xrp above 1pt6 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x30648a…
07-07 06:06:20	xrp above 1pt5 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b344a…
07-07 06:06:02	xrp above 1pt6 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x676375…
07-03 16:36:46	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x18731f…
07-02 07:22:56	amzn above 195 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xf857dd…
07-02 07:22:28	amzn above 195 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x8de3c9…
07-02 07:19:16	open above 3 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x18b2e8…
07-01 02:48:34	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0xd4cf12…
06-20 07:30:07	will open dip to 2 75 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xfe2ee6…
06-20 07:22:07	will wti dip to 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x68c893…
06-20 07:21:25	will wti dip to 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xe290f8…
06-20 07:21:08	will wti dip to 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x38cd79…
06-20 07:20:22	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc038e3…
06-20 07:20:05	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x3db8e9…
06-20 07:19:52	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x860925…
06-09 09:42:36	xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x70278f…
06-09 09:40:46	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xfe66d1…
06-07 15:57:46	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x33da3d…
06-03 10:23:25	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	91¢	$133	0x1a8c90…
06-03 10:23:10	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x892bc0…
06-03 10:22:36	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb16984…
06-03 10:22:21	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x40f78f…
06-03 10:22:08	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xbc5df8…
06-02 08:29:36	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	259	99¢	$257	0xf96afe…
05-23 21:21:10	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	678	99¢	$672	0x3fbf5c…
05-23 16:05:02	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd86dbe…
05-23 08:57:30	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x38d24f…
05-16 16:16:47	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $40?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe4cb57…
05-16 13:16:25	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd51f97…
05-16 13:16:23	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	472	100¢	$472	0x6f9b29…
05-16 10:07:41	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xf961f7…
05-16 09:01:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xcd3088…
05-13 10:02:37	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xbadc4f…
05-12 02:40:19	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x86df8d…
05-11 09:44:14	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	282	98¢	$275	0xf26da2…
05-10 02:30:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe36b0c…
05-10 02:22:36	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd1434…
05-10 02:21:58	Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd278f5…