Miserable-Readiness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$850

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

996

Trades

2,048

lifetime

Volume

$29.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 09-19 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 41% -$406

Other

31% 32% +$1,654

Sports

14% 36% -$401

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever	9	$474	444	444	+0	Washington Mystics	+$182	05-16 01:54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	13	$452	377	377	+0	No	+$299	07-12 03:06
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	15	$402	685	602	+83	No	+$39	04-15 07:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$381	800	800	+0	No	+$11	05-26 15:46
PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty	15	$375	500	500	+0	PortlandFire	+$225	05-26 02:05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	6	$356	340	340	+0	Yes	+$188	05-09 08:42
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	14	$317	492	485	+7	Yes	+$146	04-14 16:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	21	$294	4,094	3,600	+494	Yes	+$37	06-08 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	12	$292	200	200	+0	Up	+$92	05-31 02:57
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?	6	$291	440	440	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 13:26
nba min den 2026 04 20	10	$286	418	408	+9	Timberwolves	+$70	04-21 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:40 UTC	2	$270	3,279	0	+3,279	Up	-$270	04-17 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:45 UTC	2	$265	207	200	+8	Down	+$70	04-17 07:48
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury	3	$265	500	500	+0	Toronto Tempo	+$25	05-20 02:27
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$253	367	367	+0	Knicks	+$11	06-06 01:52
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$243	270	270	+0	Cavaliers	+$43	05-18 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$241	195	195	+0	Down	+$91	06-05 14:23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$234	258	208	+50	No	+$23	05-15 09:00
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	2	$224	178	174	+4	Kings	+$125	04-11 04:35
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	3	$214	250	200	+50	Los Angeles Sparks	+$86	06-14 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:40 UTC	11	$207	159	159	+0	Down	+$86	04-12 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 09:15 UTC	3	$202	195	128	+67	Down	+$44	06-24 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 05:55 UTC	3	$196	310	55	+255	Up	-$86	04-18 06:01
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces	3	$191	200	200	+0	Los Angeles Sparks	+$67	05-24 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:00 UTC	1	$184	263	0	+263	Down	-$184	04-18 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 10:35 UTC	2	$184	156	156	+0	Up	+$44	06-24 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	14	$175	400	400	+0	No	+$58	05-28 16:03
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?	8	$174	8,906	2,889	+6,017	Yes	-$82	06-15 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:25 UTC	3	$166	127	127	+0	Down	+$66	06-19 19:27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$160	300	100	+200	No	-$62	05-30 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 16:50:20	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	87	28¢	$24	0xc2ceec…
09-19 16:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5968ba…
09-19 16:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xf766a4…
09-19 16:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcf80f6…
09-19 16:02:50	Will Paris FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc07113…
09-19 15:53:05	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x5eab0a…
09-19 15:52:47	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x33119b…
07-19 03:30:15	Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0xa3934b…
07-19 03:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7a01d1…
07-19 03:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xc8ec8a…
07-19 02:25:09	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	Indiana Fever	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xe4a960…
07-19 01:22:09	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	Indiana Fever	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xe2e171…
07-19 01:19:43	wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	Indiana Fever	BUY	68	40¢	$27	0xc6961e…
07-19 01:05:51	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Washington Mystics	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x287bbd…
07-19 01:04:09	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Washington Mystics	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf40950…
07-19 01:03:06	wnba por min 2026 07 18	PortlandFire	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x45ebaa…
07-19 01:00:27	wnba wsh gsv 2026 07 18	Washington Mystics	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe12ac1…
07-19 00:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9298c0…
07-19 00:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xe76a03…
07-19 00:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x457738…
07-19 00:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x36733c…
07-19 00:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcddd37…
07-18 17:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x8aceb9…
07-18 17:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xee3364…
07-18 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xff5759…
07-18 17:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x00bc48…
07-18 04:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe78ff2…
07-18 04:07:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfe0b83…
07-18 04:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x93a5ed…
07-18 03:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9bcfc0…
07-18 03:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf8e7a2…
07-18 03:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1e9c28…
07-18 03:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x27dfa2…
07-18 03:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfcb374…
07-18 03:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9771ca…
07-18 03:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x36070c…
07-18 03:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcf45c0…
07-18 03:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x66b9d6…
07-18 03:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xe87fd6…
07-18 03:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xad3eeb…
07-17 22:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x57ab95…
07-17 22:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	57	56¢	$32	0x470569…
07-17 22:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xdce266…
07-17 22:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5fdd55…
07-17 22:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x488659…
07-17 22:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4646e4…
07-17 22:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd7aff8…
07-17 21:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6b0e8d…
07-17 21:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x532b87…
07-17 21:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf3339d…
07-17 21:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf6d2f0…
07-17 21:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xefae48…
07-17 21:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x06f632…
07-17 06:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0x037d28…
07-17 06:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x5722fc…
07-17 06:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x02275d…
07-17 06:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x87742e…
07-17 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xf970ae…
07-17 06:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x4370c2…
07-17 06:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x119939…
07-17 05:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x64e20b…
07-17 05:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6df88e…
07-17 05:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x352a77…
07-17 05:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x8683b8…
07-17 05:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1d1209…
07-17 05:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2ca6eb…
07-17 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4d4a0a…
07-17 05:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x152d44…
07-17 05:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbb90c6…
07-17 02:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x06f558…
07-16 20:41:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	48	88¢	$43	0xa24420…
07-16 20:41:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0x182552…
07-16 08:27:05	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x23de11…
07-16 07:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xd0a405…
07-16 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe99a94…
07-16 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd2e0e9…
07-16 07:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x797326…
07-16 07:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x5f9b0c…
07-16 07:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x8f55d4…
07-16 07:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x166664…
07-16 05:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf98ee3…
07-16 05:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb47e73…
07-16 05:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8166dc…
07-16 04:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf6d62b…
07-16 04:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x77b2ef…
07-16 04:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5e630d…
07-16 04:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x885c5e…
07-16 03:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x293c9f…
07-16 03:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3334df…
07-16 02:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a92f3…
07-16 02:47:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x32a9de…
07-16 02:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x07a2e8…
07-16 02:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x0c4074…
07-16 02:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6996b3…
07-16 02:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	91	33¢	$30	0x56457c…
07-16 02:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xee96c6…
07-16 02:21:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa57359…
07-16 02:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4d8bdb…
07-16 02:20:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc02ebb…
07-16 02:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0676db…