Lovely-Aquifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

632

Trades

940

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-23 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 67% -$79

Other

13% 58% -$15

Politics

2% 69% -$2

Sports

2% 54% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$36	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC	2	$28	22	21	+1	Down	+$15	04-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$28	25	25	+0	Down	+$18	05-12 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:35 UTC	3	$27	17	17	+1	Down	+$7	04-05 15:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$25	22	22	+0	Up	+$15	05-12 15:04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	5	$23	14	14	+0	Team Falcons	+$1	05-12 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:50 UTC	4	$17	63	0	+63	Down	-$17	04-05 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	13	$16	12	11	+1	Yes	+$1	05-18 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$15	26	0	+26	Up	-$15	05-12 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	Down	-$5	05-12 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 15:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$11	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-16 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	8	$11	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:20 UTC	3	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-05 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:40 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	04-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-12 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$4	05-12 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:10 UTC	3	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	04-05 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:45 UTC	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	04-05 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 19:35 UTC	3	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-05 19:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:15 UTC	3	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-05 15:20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	7	$7	9	7	+2	No	-$1	05-16 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:15 UTC	3	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x38febf…
10-23 09:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x030afb…
10-23 09:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe9ac1…
10-23 09:18:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa510f6…
10-23 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x91f33a…
10-23 09:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xdb373c…
10-23 08:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f4fe4…
10-23 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6003f3…
10-23 08:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b177b…
10-23 08:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x998b15…
10-23 08:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd0a9a4…
10-23 08:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf5cb6d…
10-23 07:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x497e86…
10-23 07:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4ca141…
10-23 07:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x276e24…
10-23 07:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x689ac3…
10-23 07:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x834586…
10-23 07:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x39d754…
10-23 06:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xabf6b0…
10-23 06:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x81f171…
10-23 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3da7dc…
10-23 06:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x2d3978…
10-23 06:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x02ba12…
10-23 06:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0b293f…
10-23 06:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe0325a…
10-23 06:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe058bb…
10-23 06:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x643367…
10-20 06:38:34	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x76b031…
10-20 06:28:35	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xc55773…
10-20 06:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x340490…
10-20 06:23:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x40f960…
10-20 06:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x530dad…
10-20 06:08:43	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5df0a4…
10-19 09:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x03e9a4…
10-19 08:58:35	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x23f65e…
10-19 08:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe4ea63…
10-19 08:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3ae73f…
10-19 08:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4cf58e…
10-19 08:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe41983…
10-19 08:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb8af57…
10-19 08:28:33	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1b5455…
10-19 08:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1e5bf2…
10-19 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8a0b7e…
10-19 08:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x42635f…
10-19 08:03:39	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x36532a…
10-19 08:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3c00a9…
10-19 07:53:35	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe3b138…
10-19 07:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6f540e…
10-19 07:43:48	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe78d77…
10-19 07:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7a1852…
10-19 07:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a2a2c…
10-19 07:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6112d7…
10-19 07:13:33	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x82f3d2…
10-19 06:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc8cff6…
10-19 06:58:33	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x12cac4…
10-19 06:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa44543…
10-19 06:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2cc3d9…
10-19 06:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56f966…
10-18 07:58:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x898b38…
10-18 07:58:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x87d9ce…
10-18 07:53:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3a7af7…
10-18 07:48:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd8d103…
10-18 07:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf9b84…
10-18 07:43:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xea644a…
10-18 07:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd3655d…
10-18 07:33:33	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4f3445…
10-18 07:23:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x65fba0…
10-18 07:23:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x224249…
10-18 07:13:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x81dd59…
10-18 07:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x035a5b…
10-17 09:58:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6a475b…
10-17 09:43:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcd80be…
10-17 09:43:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd693cb…
10-17 09:33:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e3bc3…
10-17 09:33:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc93cf0…
10-17 09:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4e7200…
10-17 09:18:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95abfe…
10-17 09:13:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd739f7…
10-17 09:13:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7075bc…
10-17 09:08:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2ee08…
10-17 09:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x790664…
10-17 09:03:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2a8a9c…
10-17 08:58:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x118e14…
10-17 08:53:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xfe9c46…
10-17 08:48:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x442d04…
10-17 08:43:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd5a74c…
10-17 08:43:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x135434…
10-17 08:34:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc802cb…
10-17 08:34:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x86a20b…
10-17 08:28:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x5f120b…
10-17 08:28:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcc4d59…
10-17 08:28:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0cebbb…
10-17 08:18:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5da1dc…
10-17 08:18:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6c834c…
10-17 08:13:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5a85b0…
10-17 08:13:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x05c15b…
10-17 08:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4634aa…
10-17 08:03:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2f44dd…
10-17 07:58:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x56f41a…
10-17 07:53:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x904014…