Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-30 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-10

Sports

12% 100% +$5

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+12	$8	68¢	$8	+$0	06-19 08:36
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		+6	$5	80¢	$5	+$0	06-11 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
X Money released by April 3, 2026?	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	03-16 02:34
will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	03-11 07:57
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	04-13 01:51
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-13 06:16
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-28 09:53
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-02 08:08
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-02 15:44
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-16 06:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	$-10	04-07 18:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-28 02:28
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	02-27 18:42
Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-14 09:07
will sofr hit 3pt76 high between march 1 and march 31 489 342	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	03-16 02:34
will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-11 07:58
zelenskyy of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	03-24 07:13
will trump post department of defense or dod on truth social this week march 15	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-10 07:27
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 07:47
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-31 20:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	06-19 08:36
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	1	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	06-18 17:04
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	1	$6	23	0	+23	open	—	06-19 04:04
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	1	$6	17	0	+17	open	—	06-22 08:56
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	1	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	06-22 08:56
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	06-22 09:06
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	06-20 08:30
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	1	$6	23	0	+23	open	—	06-20 04:02
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	06-21 20:51
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	06-22 10:40
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	06-21 08:46
will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-12 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:03:56	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x183ff7…
06-30 13:03:53	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xadb7f0…
06-30 00:09:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9ee1de…
06-29 21:20:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1c638b…
06-29 00:47:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6d8094…
06-25 02:45:26	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x665129…
06-25 01:43:08	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x5bea6d…
06-24 01:24:26	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xec60ed…
06-23 18:06:50	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x78ab8c…
06-22 10:40:13	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	29	19¢	$5	0x862495…
06-22 09:06:28	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x82ccc9…
06-22 08:56:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xf6e854…
06-22 08:56:29	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x7ca7fa…
06-21 20:51:50	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	28¢	$5	0x861407…
06-21 08:46:52	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x934f05…
06-20 08:30:38	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xafadf4…
06-20 04:02:40	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	Ecuador	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x4dbf4b…
06-19 08:36:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x3efcfc…
06-19 04:04:17	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x8cdc21…
06-18 17:04:41	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x7e0a64…
06-16 04:03:04	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x97e98a…
06-15 17:12:28	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4c311e…
06-15 13:12:25	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x8fef52…
06-14 14:05:39	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xa60c8c…
06-14 06:48:10	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7c9040…
06-13 22:41:55	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2df300…
06-12 11:15:54	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbfdcb4…
06-12 06:55:03	will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5c805a…
06-12 04:03:18	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x57bbdf…
06-11 14:33:31	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x567fc2…
06-11 09:52:31	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd57aa9…
05-31 20:58:36	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xdd2931…
05-14 09:07:22	Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd0015d…
04-13 01:51:27	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xde2cae…
04-07 18:05:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb1bdeb…
03-24 07:13:23	zelenskyy of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	No	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x27d677…
03-23 07:47:55	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeaaa25…
03-23 07:47:43	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x55c2f7…
03-16 06:50:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdbb0c3…
03-16 02:34:51	will sofr hit 3pt76 high between march 1 and march 31 489 342	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x02c2f0…
03-16 02:34:13	X Money released by April 3, 2026?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xcce750…
03-13 06:16:27	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcbb84f…
03-12 08:21:39	X Money released by April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc6c7bd…
03-11 07:58:59	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x40b0e0…
03-11 07:57:45	will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x2c3c8a…
03-10 07:27:15	will trump post department of defense or dod on truth social this week march 15	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xe12f2a…
03-10 07:25:25	will russia enter shevchenko by march 31	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x048774…
03-02 15:44:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd08a50…
03-02 08:08:59	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa0de22…
02-28 09:53:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x371fa5…
02-28 02:28:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x68537f…
02-27 18:42:53	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x912e87…
02-27 05:51:38	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xde0b73…