Graceful-Cation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$819

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,062 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.10K

$38.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$176

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-28 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Sports

78% 45% +$30

Other

21% 24% -$2,246

Politics

2% 17% -$520

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No		+550	$136	31¢	$170	+$35	10-28 17:59
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes		+200	$14	3¢	$6	-$8	10-07 01:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	11	$1.0K	998	390	+609	Yes	+$246	04-12 18:23
nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	15	$851	900	599	+301	Over	+$310	06-12 02:40
Oilers vs. Ducks	19	$754	1,000	976	+24	Ducks	+$409	04-27 04:49
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	8	$632	700	313	+387	Over	+$243	04-30 03:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	21	$620	900	548	+352	Yes	+$314	04-30 03:17
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5	13	$565	400	400	+0	Over	+$134	05-01 02:18
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	5	$560	400	400	+0	Over	+$240	04-29 02:49
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5	8	$543	326	326	+0	Over	+$109	04-26 00:07
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	6	$521	700	0	+700	Under	-$521	05-26 01:47
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5	9	$505	400	400	+0	Over	-$15	05-21 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	13	$482	1,253	600	+653	No	-$341	04-30 04:18
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	8	$479	400	400	+0	Avalanche	+$240	05-04 04:19
nhl car las 2026 06 06 total 5pt5	8	$476	800	0	+800	Over	+$324	06-07 02:04
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	3	$456	300	300	+0	Hurricanes	+$144	05-08 02:49
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	11	$446	863	0	+863	No	-$446	05-09 16:32
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	5	$444	300	250	+50	Under	+$87	05-24 01:15
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	10	$443	390	380	+10	Yes	+$4	04-30 05:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	4	$431	250	249	+1	Yes	+$67	04-23 02:18
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	14	$407	502	117	+386	Under	+$190	05-14 02:24
Avalanche vs. Wild	18	$403	500	300	+200	Avalanche	-$59	05-12 01:16
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5	5	$397	600	100	+500	Over	+$237	05-02 04:46
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5	10	$387	507	507	+0	Under	-$101	05-02 01:59
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	16	$376	500	279	+221	Over	+$177	05-21 02:49
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5	5	$360	500	0	+500	Under	-$360	05-23 01:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$359	800	0	+800	No	-$359	05-04 12:21
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5	2	$349	200	200	+0	Over	+$49	05-01 01:16
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	16	$346	400	392	+8	Utah	+$98	04-28 03:56
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	9	$343	200	200	+0	Under	+$43	05-13 01:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	8	$342	536	250	+286	Yes	+$244	04-29 12:30
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5	4	$339	210	210	+0	Over	+$75	05-08 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:59:44	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	300	25¢	$76	0x6b24ce…
10-28 17:57:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0x88b4bb…
10-28 17:57:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x5eb50c…
10-28 17:56:35	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xbcfc96…
10-28 17:56:28	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	111	24¢	$27	0xb060c7…
10-28 17:56:19	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc6f297…
10-28 17:54:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x009312…
10-27 00:57:39	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0xf01ee3…
10-27 00:52:24	Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xeebb6e…
10-27 00:25:17	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x8ddeec…
10-27 00:21:14	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x35b92d…
10-27 00:17:41	Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xe8a27d…
10-27 00:14:50	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x7ef1b1…
10-27 00:14:48	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x2c445b…
10-27 00:11:57	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x249e70…
10-27 00:11:50	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2103a2…
10-27 00:10:27	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xa9a2e2…
10-24 23:55:39	Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4bb643…
10-24 23:01:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x944626…
10-24 22:58:32	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xe92929…
10-24 22:58:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x0b6841…
10-24 22:57:48	Milwaukee Brewers Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xb77ace…
10-24 22:57:20	Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0x56f93e…
10-24 22:56:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2e2d6f…
10-24 22:56:44	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x10ff2f…
10-24 22:56:29	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x0db9be…
10-24 22:56:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xbba05e…
10-14 00:15:39	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x0b5b86…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd6caf4…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd2c85e…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb84f5b…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xa363ab…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6e894e…
10-14 00:15:04	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 4pt5	Over	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0x540bf0…
10-14 00:10:21	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total cle 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x384e69…
10-14 00:10:18	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total cle 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xf6adda…
10-14 00:07:58	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 team total tb 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xa051b5…
10-14 00:07:40	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 spread home 2pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1d95dd…
10-14 00:05:19	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xc66c99…
10-14 00:04:49	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x0e002f…
10-12 21:54:21	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	300	36¢	$107	0x0cb471…
10-12 21:13:08	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	98	32¢	$32	0x58439a…
10-12 21:07:14	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xc60957…
10-12 21:01:03	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xeb6d12…
10-12 21:00:27	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x49dbc7…
10-12 20:59:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1c654e…
10-12 20:59:38	Milwaukee Brewers Team Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x0ba360…
10-12 20:59:14	Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x47e2dd…
10-12 20:58:54	Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x83c4ec…
10-09 02:22:20	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x6b8cc6…
10-09 02:22:00	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x0f76b9…
10-09 01:26:00	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	98	8¢	$8	0xb54a3c…
10-09 00:11:48	Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9727ac…
10-09 00:11:24	Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x1bde65…
10-09 00:10:42	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x8bf54e…
10-09 00:10:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x3cb3f5…
10-09 00:10:05	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x32f93f…
10-09 00:09:15	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x2fb8ff…
10-09 00:08:35	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x452d50…
10-08 03:32:13	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8b1e01…
10-08 03:29:19	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x3ca0ef…
10-08 03:29:02	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x00075c…
10-08 03:28:56	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xa6d747…
10-08 03:28:35	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x708dff…
10-08 03:20:59	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xb1d334…
10-08 03:20:59	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	75	21¢	$16	0x21e94c…
10-08 03:20:14	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xb31bd7…
10-08 03:19:28	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	74	8¢	$6	0xfcbe2a…
10-08 03:19:28	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x2930aa…
10-08 03:18:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x20064a…
10-08 03:17:19	Milwaukee Brewers Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x2b86d4…
10-08 03:16:31	Milwaukee Brewers Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	99	59¢	$58	0xddf776…
10-08 03:16:28	San Diego Padres Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xdf8a78…
10-08 03:16:28	San Diego Padres Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x2c5beb…
10-08 01:22:11	Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x12967e…
10-08 00:21:04	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0x6f4775…
10-08 00:20:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x1bf32a…
10-07 23:53:01	Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xf37541…
10-07 23:47:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	195	20¢	$38	0x18aa18…
10-07 23:46:10	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xf2f5f1…
10-07 23:45:05	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd10e82…
10-07 23:41:26	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	99	12¢	$12	0xaec5ec…
10-07 23:41:26	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1c2dce…
10-07 23:40:43	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x7ee348…
10-07 23:39:29	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2a3e54…
10-07 23:38:58	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xa2a46d…
10-07 23:34:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xac0b90…
10-07 23:34:10	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf4d933…
10-07 23:31:38	Atlanta Braves Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9eb3a2…
10-07 23:31:38	Atlanta Braves Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x507f70…
10-07 23:29:40	Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x64f560…
10-07 23:22:32	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x050245…
10-07 23:17:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$11	0x319f60…
10-07 22:56:25	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9c12ea…
10-07 02:07:39	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8cfc61…
10-07 02:07:30	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa5c27c…
10-07 01:42:32	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe27d42…
10-07 01:23:24	Plague case in US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xe0c805…
06-15 02:39:27	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Golden Knights	BUY	268	6¢	$16	0xd5fa3e…
06-15 02:39:24	nhl car las 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	Golden Knights	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0xc9cc9b…