Soft-Knitting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$766

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-03 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 42% +$70

Sports

5% 50% +$21

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$123	160	83	+77	Down	$-17	05-13 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$60	111	111	+0	Down	+$20	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-20 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$36	34	21	+13	Down	+$6	05-13 21:26
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$33	28	28	+0	Sean Strickland	+$23	05-10 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$25	57	0	+57	Down	+$10	05-13 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$24	35	29	+7	Up	$-7	05-13 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$23	43	0	+43	Down	+$0	05-13 21:12
btc updown 5m 1780516800	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-03 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$20	64	0	+64	Down	$-20	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	Up	$-20	05-13 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	05-13 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$15	58	0	+58	Up	$-15	05-13 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	$-10	05-13 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	+$40	05-13 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	$-10	05-13 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	05-13 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-13 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	333	0	+333	Up	$-10	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	30	0	+30	Down	$-10	05-13 20:27
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$7	21	0	+21	Down	$-7	05-13 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$7	64	0	+64	Up	+$57	05-13 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$7	19	0	+19	Up	+$12	05-13 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	Up	+$8	05-13 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa4ad4e…
06-03 20:01:54	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6ead38…
05-20 21:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01f049…
05-20 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x208397…
05-20 21:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x346120…
05-20 21:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e4324…
05-20 20:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x736ef6…
05-20 19:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x2dcd16…
05-20 19:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x673025…
05-14 07:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbb4f3c…
05-14 07:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x625d91…
05-13 22:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x229e55…
05-13 22:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1a2417…
05-13 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xe15b04…
05-13 22:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	33¢	$9	0x2e633d…
05-13 22:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x68f2da…
05-13 22:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x62328a…
05-13 22:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe8dffe…
05-13 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x298923…
05-13 22:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc0f5e6…
05-13 22:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc9f7e5…
05-13 22:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd38240…
05-13 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x8ed750…
05-13 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8530c5…
05-13 22:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x23780e…
05-13 22:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x07b196…
05-13 22:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0xfecaf7…
05-13 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8c8858…
05-13 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xbaa4f7…
05-13 21:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0x349ef7…
05-13 21:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7449fd…
05-13 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x540e46…
05-13 21:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x00bcf8…
05-13 21:40:45	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x761234…
05-13 21:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xafc556…
05-13 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x42c38b…
05-13 21:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x60f4d8…
05-13 21:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x592ad6…
05-13 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbcea84…
05-13 21:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa53d2b…
05-13 21:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb32439…
05-13 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7fb0b1…
05-13 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x046a24…
05-13 20:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x52e59e…
05-13 20:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbe36fa…
05-13 20:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe40c71…
05-13 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xa97552…
05-13 19:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5c9430…
05-13 19:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf42cd9…
05-13 19:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7336d6…
05-13 19:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x600260…
05-13 19:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc9085d…
05-13 18:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x782d45…
05-13 18:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x7faecf…
05-13 17:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb0966f…
05-13 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xb6e7aa…
05-13 17:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xa5fed9…
05-13 17:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x062146…
05-13 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x047576…
05-13 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd1d7be…
05-13 06:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe02c5b…
05-13 05:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x461bf0…
05-12 18:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5a65d4…
05-12 18:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d3515…
05-12 18:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa64de1…
05-12 18:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x256c00…
05-12 18:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8622ca…
05-12 18:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xecc014…
05-12 17:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe748e3…
05-12 17:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x372182…
05-11 15:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x640b49…
05-11 15:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x226815…
05-11 15:12:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd0d331…
05-11 11:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb39add…
05-11 11:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x38904d…
05-10 21:22:54	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x427f4e…
05-10 21:22:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4bd31a…
05-10 20:03:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x072d2d…
05-10 19:54:02	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x01098e…
05-10 19:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2f5e69…
05-10 19:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8ed701…
05-10 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0ea981…
05-10 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x04d593…
05-10 19:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x41d088…
05-10 11:09:21	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf43c14…
05-10 10:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfb2d3d…
05-10 04:52:31	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd6ac65…
05-10 04:43:17	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x384f2a…
05-09 18:54:01	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x125ba0…
05-09 18:52:15	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xfc6e4b…
05-09 14:55:19	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x9e9ea0…
05-09 14:54:11	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xff20a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	58	$39.5K	1,345	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	57	$21.3K	3,576	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	56	$13.4K	3,479	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	56	$13.0K	1,947	06-03 20:03
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	56	$12.3K	2,082	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	56	$12.1K	3,140	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	56	$11.6K	1,692	06-03 20:03
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	56	$7.46K	662	06-03 20:03