Untrue-Sonata — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

692

Trades

2,255

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-02 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 49% $-1,306

Sports

12% 29% $-296

Other

6% 18% $-78

Politics

2% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+6	$4	82¢	$5	+$1	05-29 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$634	545	545	+0	Up	+$234	05-07 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$521	560	560	+0	Up	+$121	05-09 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$493	426	426	+0	Up	+$93	05-07 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$450	357	357	+0	Down	+$100	05-12 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$443	580	548	+32	open	—	05-16 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$435	341	341	+0	Down	+$35	05-07 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$430	438	368	+70	Up	+$30	05-10 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$426	358	358	+0	open	—	05-14 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$341	492	492	+0	Up	$-109	05-12 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$321	310	310	+0	Down	+$101	05-10 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$315	673	40	+633	open	—	05-14 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$303	209	209	+0	open	—	05-14 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$293	560	265	+296	Up	$-75	05-12 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$264	355	355	+0	open	—	05-14 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$263	230	230	+0	open	—	05-14 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$263	355	0	+355	Up	$-23	05-08 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$260	498	498	+0	Up	$-176	05-09 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$250	374	135	+239	Down	$-80	05-13 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$246	203	108	+95	Up	$-34	05-08 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$242	435	435	+0	Down	$-158	05-08 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$241	475	475	+0	Down	$-174	05-09 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$241	487	328	+158	Up	$-175	05-09 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$234	190	190	+0	Down	+$34	05-13 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$234	295	0	+295	Up	$-7	05-09 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$228	664	0	+664	Up	$-212	05-09 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$223	489	0	+489	Down	+$240	05-08 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$218	343	0	+343	Up	$-218	05-08 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$216	390	390	+0	Up	$-84	05-13 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	11	$213	353	68	+285	Up	$-155	05-09 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$208	407	0	+407	Up	$-208	05-09 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc99497…
06-02 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xa17cf7…
06-02 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x07de5f…
06-02 14:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x571e73…
06-02 14:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03b526…
06-02 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xdb33e2…
06-02 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x0ed3dc…
06-02 14:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xeafc03…
06-02 14:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe3bd3a…
06-02 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xaa700d…
06-02 13:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xaae8eb…
06-02 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xaf5a2c…
06-02 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x267e71…
06-02 13:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1ffb8a…
06-02 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6b9cb3…
06-02 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5e93ef…
06-02 12:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbf55b6…
06-02 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xd80020…
06-02 12:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1df3dc…
06-02 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x39ab02…
06-02 12:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf70ae1…
06-02 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdf242…
06-02 11:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xa091bc…
06-02 11:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6c5dd1…
06-02 11:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x79a2bb…
06-02 11:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4fe9b3…
06-02 11:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2f50ff…
06-02 11:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x83368e…
06-02 11:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x518185…
06-02 11:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2972f4…
06-02 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa8315e…
06-02 10:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x86645e…
06-02 10:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf734b0…
06-02 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb71f96…
06-02 10:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x08fd5c…
06-02 09:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e1574…
06-02 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x584001…
06-02 09:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd221b0…
06-02 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xa46bc2…
06-02 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x1d3861…
06-02 08:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x482d33…
06-02 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x590fae…
06-02 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc9c487…
06-02 08:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xdc5caf…
06-02 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x314865…
06-02 07:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb12763…
06-02 07:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x61de81…
06-02 07:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8c382d…
06-02 07:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0dfccd…
06-02 07:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3622ef…
06-01 22:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb8874…
06-01 22:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe6cef0…
06-01 22:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0a4869…
06-01 22:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x701273…
06-01 21:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x579928…
06-01 21:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfe926c…
06-01 21:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe695bb…
06-01 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0x1f865a…
06-01 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x29cd7a…
06-01 21:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x97d654…
06-01 21:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8a2986…
06-01 21:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x4fd4ca…
06-01 21:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0092b5…
06-01 21:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3f21ae…
06-01 21:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6fa03e…
06-01 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb1e4da…
06-01 21:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8270c6…
06-01 20:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdacd77…
06-01 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf0105b…
06-01 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcda232…
06-01 20:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaca6f5…
06-01 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa57c20…
06-01 19:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x075b3d…
06-01 19:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe0477d…
06-01 19:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc69798…
06-01 19:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa189fa…
06-01 19:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfac2cf…
06-01 19:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9914bf…
06-01 18:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa9fcae…
06-01 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9dfad6…
06-01 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x046232…
06-01 18:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0c18a2…
06-01 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd26225…
06-01 18:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x27904c…
06-01 18:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x040ded…
06-01 17:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7ee479…
06-01 17:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x36b25b…
06-01 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc1a4c3…
06-01 17:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1cdf52…
06-01 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x58de0e…
06-01 16:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf5f891…
06-01 16:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x37a566…
06-01 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x38ddeb…
06-01 16:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x718a07…
06-01 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcdf0c9…
06-01 16:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7c070a…
06-01 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbc6fae…
06-01 15:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x776ac9…
06-01 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c9dba…
06-01 15:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe10e15…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	859	$297.8K	26,218	06-02 15:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	845	$976.7K	34,273	06-02 14:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	804	$183.4K	19,429	06-02 15:09
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	735	$1.53K	3,130	06-02 15:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	720	$143.7K	41,625	06-02 15:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	720	$131.8K	38,216	06-02 15:09
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	713	$141.8K	25,636	06-02 15:07
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	705	$135.4K	5,046	06-02 15:08