Mature-Load — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

195

Trades

2,522

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-10 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776661800	2	$98	83	79	+5	open	—	04-20 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$83	66	66	+0	open	—	04-29 14:15
btc updown 5m 1776835500	4	$76	104	99	+5	open	—	04-22 05:30
btc updown 5m 1776490500	4	$76	100	94	+5	open	—	04-18 05:39
btc updown 5m 1776845700	2	$71	64	61	+2	open	—	04-22 08:18
btc updown 5m 1776154200	2	$70	91	86	+5	open	—	04-14 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 12:49
btc updown 5m 1776510600	6	$63	119	112	+7	open	—	04-18 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776414900	3	$60	72	52	+20	open	—	04-17 08:36
btc updown 5m 1776519300	6	$57	57	54	+2	open	—	04-18 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776776400	2	$55	50	48	+2	open	—	04-21 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$52	49	39	+9	open	—	04-26 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$51	54	54	+0	open	—	04-29 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$51	42	42	+0	Up	+$21	05-07 10:01
btc updown 5m 1776416100	3	$47	40	38	+2	open	—	04-17 08:57
btc updown 5m 1776773700	3	$46	64	56	+8	open	—	04-21 12:17
btc updown 5m 1776152400	2	$45	67	64	+4	open	—	04-14 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$43	43	43	+0	open	—	04-29 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$43	34	34	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 13:53
btc updown 5m 1776405600	2	$43	46	44	+2	open	—	04-17 06:02
btc updown 5m 1776339000	2	$42	31	30	+1	open	—	04-16 11:34
btc updown 5m 1776415500	5	$42	49	41	+7	open	—	04-17 08:47
btc updown 5m 1776518700	2	$41	41	39	+2	open	—	04-18 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$40	35	30	+5	Up	+$10	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$39	38	38	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 10:28
btc updown 5m 1776147000	2	$39	38	36	+2	open	—	04-14 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$39	61	35	+26	open	—	04-26 04:51
btc updown 5m 1776521700	2	$38	38	37	+2	open	—	04-18 14:18
btc updown 5m 1776096000	2	$37	31	29	+1	open	—	04-13 16:03
btc updown 5m 1776836400	3	$36	47	34	+13	open	—	04-22 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x885259…
05-10 09:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x632485…
05-10 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x01da85…
05-10 08:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x41a9f1…
05-10 08:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8b2c47…
05-10 08:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xfdebaa…
05-10 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7c5d42…
05-10 08:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc14532…
05-10 08:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd9c8e5…
05-10 08:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x501432…
05-10 08:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6d9303…
05-10 08:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xa95286…
05-10 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x61f524…
05-10 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x486ca7…
05-10 08:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x09bc37…
05-10 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x1e6a47…
05-10 08:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x98d24f…
05-10 08:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf6de01…
05-10 08:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0e1137…
05-10 08:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x49310b…
05-10 08:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x86a9bb…
05-10 08:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8a6bc3…
05-10 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x3c4c66…
05-10 08:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x192e3e…
05-10 08:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x82be29…
05-10 08:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6dc523…
05-10 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc7fc6c…
05-10 08:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x41c1ba…
05-10 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9024c4…
05-10 08:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x866b1a…
05-10 08:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2c53f0…
05-09 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x69894e…
05-09 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6eb4d5…
05-09 13:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xddd914…
05-09 13:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x650a5e…
05-09 13:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x249899…
05-09 13:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd265ca…
05-09 13:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xff0ab9…
05-09 13:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe0bd98…
05-09 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0x0c88a2…
05-09 13:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc26600…
05-09 13:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x254b8f…
05-09 13:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc39304…
05-09 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb8f78c…
05-09 12:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x6938e5…
05-09 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfb17be…
05-09 12:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x3163b9…
05-09 12:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x614ee8…
05-09 12:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x12ab5c…
05-09 12:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9699c1…
05-08 09:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6cc56a…
05-08 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xf7b5b7…
05-08 09:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x19b3e8…
05-08 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfc53fb…
05-08 08:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x08f791…
05-08 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf4bf23…
05-08 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x69f46a…
05-08 08:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2ba645…
05-08 08:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0x47be5e…
05-08 08:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6bdd58…
05-08 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5f4aa6…
05-08 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x66b488…
05-08 08:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x301bc0…
05-08 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x2b98ec…
05-08 08:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2b6bb2…
05-08 08:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xc60628…
05-08 08:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x953a18…
05-08 08:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xa28ead…
05-08 08:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9146ee…
05-08 08:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xdccfdf…
05-08 08:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x68c35a…
05-08 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x5da729…
05-08 08:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x53bd75…
05-08 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xe08e8e…
05-08 07:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x47b800…
05-08 07:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x821490…
05-08 07:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x13ee48…
05-08 07:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x19e8b6…
05-08 07:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc9c2c…
05-08 07:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x3b6d57…
05-08 07:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7126e6…
05-08 07:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x47e149…
05-08 07:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfb31ee…
05-08 07:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x54560c…
05-08 07:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x349f01…
05-08 07:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1dbb05…
05-08 07:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x333ac1…
05-08 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdff3d7…
05-08 07:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	64¢	$17	0x52153a…
05-08 07:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x803f72…
05-08 07:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7d595f…
05-08 07:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa430fc…
05-07 13:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xea4845…
05-07 13:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x61870c…
05-07 13:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x506071…
05-07 13:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x339b07…
05-07 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe34995…
05-07 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x961261…
05-07 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8c0f36…
05-07 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x596a32…